19h30OptimazingOutcomesforEquitativeEfficientSafeandGreenMobilityNancyVandyckeandWalidAbdelwahab.pptx

Green mobility

1. Optimizing Outcomes for Equitable, Efficient, Safe, and Green Mobility Nancy Vandycke Walid Abdelwahab

2. MAKING THE MOST OUT OF TRANSPORT INVESTMENT Transport commitments, by MDB (US$ billions, 2015) Source: Progress Report on the MDB Working Group on Sustainable Development (Jan 2017).

3. TRANSPORT FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

4. THE ROLE OF TRANSPORT FOR THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS Source: SLOCAT

5. TRANSPORT FOR A DIFFERENT FUTURE? MORE EQUITABLE? MORE EFFICIENT? SAFER? GREENER?

6. A GLOBAL RESPONSIBILITY Ensure equity in access to opportunities EQUITY Increase efficiency of transport systems and services EFFICIENCY Improve “safety” of mobility (SDG target 3.6 on road safety) SAFETY Shift transport infrastructure and services to a “green”, clean and resilient path GREEN Trade-offs Between Objectives

7. OUR ULTIMATE IMPACT Improved lives and livelihoods of billions of people across the world —including health , environment , quality of life , and climate change stabilized over the long term.

8. OUR PROJECTS DO NOT AIM AT THE 4 OBJECTIVES 100% 100% 100% 100% Percentage of FY17 World Bank Transport Projects whose Project Development Objective and Indicators align with the 4 objectives Project Development Objectives PDO Indicator * Transport Projects approved in FY17. Excludes Additional Financing. ** Percentages shown are for PDO Indicators

9. DESIGN AND MEASUREMENT FOCUSES ON OUTPUT Most Common Project Development Indicators are Roads Improved, Number of Direct Beneficiaries , Travel Time M&E provides insight about project execution and project outputs However, these short term indicators lead to sustained long term outputs and impacts

10. MOVING FROM OUTPUT TO OUTCOMES Output - Kilometers of Roads Built - Jobs (direct) Construction - Beneficiaries Intermediate Outcomes - Job Opportunities Accesibile - Firm Investment - Mode choice - Trade - Travel Time - Labor Productivity - Prices - Land Use - Congestion - GHG Emissions - Crash Rates Final Outcomes/ Impact - Household income - Regional Integration - Preservation of Ecosystems - Health Costs - Women Economic Empowerment

11. ieCONNECT FOR IMPACT: OPTIMIZING 4 OBJECTIVES Equity - Women Economic Empowerment - Labor Market Outcomes: incomes, participation… Efficiency Road Safety - Crash, Injury and Fatality Rates - Social Costs (economic and health related) Green Mobility - Social Costs ( e.g. due to air pollution) - Preservation of Ecosystems - GHG Emissions - Productivity - Industrial or Agricultural Output - Regional Trade and Integration

12. Partnership : UK Department for International Development (DFID) World Bank Development Impact Evaluation (DIME) Team World Bank Transport and ICT Global Practice Goal : Transform the Growth Potential of Transport Investments SCALING UP IMPACT EVALUATION Phase I of ieConnect for Impact program was launched in 2015: Contribution : Initial Allocation of $2.15 million through i2i to Transport and ICT Strategic Priorities : Urban Mobility, Development Corridors, Road Safety

13. WHAT IECONNECT FOR IMPACT HAS DONE SO FAR Nicaragua Peru Colombia Brazil Nigeria Mauritania Rwanda Ethiopia Kenya Tanzania ICT Corridors Urban Safety Rural Roads

14. LAUNCHING PHASE II 22 New Experiments with the following priorities: Regional Distribution 1. Africa (75%) 2. South and Southeast Asia (10%) Transport Focus 1. Transport Corridors (30%) 2. Urban Mobility (25%) 3. Road Safety (25%) Thematic Distribution 1. Low/lower middle income (100%) 2. Gender (30%) 3. Fragile and Conflict States (50%) 1. Co-financed programs 2. Non-WB co-funded IE 3. Additional MDBs involved at operational level Expansion to other MDBs

15. WHAT WE EXPECT FROM YOU Use your project to think about contributing towards the 4 global objectives Stretch your mind for impact evaluation design and measurement Open your project to new ideas

16. Thank You!

17. ANNEX: WHAT IS IMPACT EVALUATION? Impact Evaluation assesses the outcomes that can be attributed to a particular project , program , or policy . The central question: How would outcomes have changed if the project or policy had not been implemented?

18. ANNEX: THE ieCONNECT FOR IMPACT INITIATIVE Tests interventions (policies, regulations and infrastructure) in order to optimize outcomes for equitable , efficient , safe , and green mobility Uses experimental methods to test complementary interventions that may enhance the development benefits of transport projects Uses non-experimental methods to assess the impact of infrastructure

19. ANNEX: WHAT ARE IMPACT EVALUATION METHODS? Whenever possible, create or identify a control and a treatment group with same underlying characteristics In these conditions, differences in outcomes between the treatment and control groups can be attributed to the intervention The treatment group receives an intervention whereas the control group does not When treatment and control groups are systematically different , rely on statistical methods to help gauge actual outcomes