Transformation Survey and SIG (Special Interest Group)
For those who are passionate about industry transformation, and who would like to become part of the ISSIP Industry Transformation Special Interest Group (SIG) please fill in the survey here: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfBX4N-4RjwkZqnj4l3BGuwmCOi-dknJNJiu3y-KIzlQ2riPQ/viewform
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Size: 10.81 MB
Language: en
Added: Jun 27, 2024
Slides: 33 pages
Slide Content
2024 Industry Transformation Event Series Engineering the 21 st Century Service Economy June 26, 2024 https:// issip.org /psu-issip-industry-transformation-discovery-series-launch-engineering-the-21st-century-service-economy/
Healthcare – May 1 Finance – June 26 Education – August 28 Energy & Information Tech – December 11 Supply Chain & Logistics – November 20 Retail & Hospitality – October 30 Vittal Prabhu
Finance – June 26 Vittal Prabhu Penn State University (PSU) 1 st Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering 1 st Service Systems Engineering Broaden the aperture… ISSIP-PSU Industry Sector Transformation Speaker Series Survey Events Whitepaper
In the news… June 19, 2024 Citi predicts that AI will automate more banking jobs than any other sector, but more AI upskilled & augmented managers and compliance staff will be needed.
Challenge - Industry Sector Transformation: Observations & question Costs down Marginal cost of computing going to zero Productivity up Early service robots and AI digital twins of people Which service system characteristics matter most? New measures? Concerns: Energy-Climate, Skills-Jobs, Institutions-Investing in new social contract Lens: Service system entities investing/becoming better future versions of themselves Old measures? Nation: GDP/Worker Business: Revenue/Employee Jim Spohrer William Bruce Cameron
Jensen: You imagine a tiny chip… The H100 weighs 70 pounds… 35000 parts… $250K cost… It replaces a data center… Full of computers and cables… Jim: Driving the marginal cost of computing to zero… Drives the demand for new service offerings based on computing through the roof We see the marginal cost of computation going to zero…
We see early-stage service robots and AI digital twins of people… Watch: https:// youtu.be /-HizP4UQvug Watch: https:// youtu.be /-HizP4UQvug
1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 $1,000,000,000,000 (Trillion) $1,000,000 (Million) $1,000,000,000 (Billion) $1,000 (Thousand) $1 Gigascale (10 9 ) Terascale (10 12 ) Petascale (10 15 ) Exascale (10 18 ) Zettascale (10 21 ) Yottascale (10 24 ) Ronnascale (10 27 ) GDP/Employee Trend We wonder about the new sector transformation measures? Based on USA Historical Data Year Value 1960 $10K 1980 $33K 2000 $78K 2020. $151K 2023 $169K Kiloscale (10 3 ) Megascale (10 6 ) Cost of computation goes down by 1000x every 20 years (left to right diagonals), driving knowledge worker productivity up.
Shanker’s position statement: Hard truths to comforting realities Six hard truth’s CEO’s must face… 29 th edition of IBM C-suite study series 4 elements of the generative AI opportunity canvas 5 pillars to scale transformation & value delivery with generative AI 6 hard truths… transformed into comforting realities 2 final reflections… don’t be used by AI and disrupt yourself while you can! Shanker Ramamurthy
Kartik’s position statement: Key points to prime discussion Point 1: Economy is going high-tech ATOM to Third Millenium Economics Point 2: Innovation anywhere … … impacts innovation everywhere Kartik_Gada < Additional interview ISSIP YouTube https:// youtu.be /5ljPpl5xtcM
THIRD MILLENNIUM ECONOMICS Kartik Gada
Third Millennium Economics Today’s Hi-Tech advancement increases productivity rapidly by reducing costs sharply through non-material goods (e.g. software) Non-material knowledge-based goods alter economic assumptions because they meet infinite demand with almost no variable cost per unit A rethinking of macro-economics is needed to reflect these new changes The proportion of knowledge-based/high-tech goods in the economy is rising exponentially Economic progress comes almost entirely through technological progress Tech value creation and diffusion are accelerating exponentially in our times Economically, knowledge-based goods cause a money supply gap through deflationary effects 7 1 3 6 4 5 2
Robert’s (“Bob’s”) position statement: Introduction & key quotes Introduction and book Key quotes to prime discussion Progress measure: AI helps end poverty Robert Kozma < Additional interview ISSIP YouTube https:// youtu.be /hv6MvHoq3H0
Robert B. Kozma, Ph.D. Author, Make the World a Better Place: Design with Passion, Purpose, and Values, 2023 Emeritus Principal Scientist, SRI International, 2002-Present Independent international consultant, 2002-2014 Principal Scientist, SRI International, 1994-2002 Professor and Research Scientist, University of Michigan, 1974-1994
“Whatever you do in life, leave the world a better place than you found it.” Robert A. Kozma “Everyone designs who changes existing situations into preferred ones.” Herbert Simon, Nobel Laureate in Economics “… technologies are inherently moral entities, it implies that designers are doing ‘ethics by other means’: they are materializing morality.” Peter-Paul Verbeek, Rector, University of Amsterdam and philosopher of technology “This will be the greatest technology humanity has yet developed.” Sam Altman, CEO OpenAI “There is one and only one social responsibility of business–to use it resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits …” Milton Friedman, Nobel Laureate in Economics
“I believe that at the end of the century the use of words and general educated opinion will have altered so much that one will be able to speak of machines thinking without expecting to be contradicted.” Allan Turing 1950 “… to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.’” Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI “… let's be aspirational. After all, this is a technology that will change the world. Perhaps a truly aspirational benchmark for intelligence would be to come up with a way to end poverty, something we humans haven't yet figured out.” Robert B. Kozma
Eoin’s position statement: Key points to prime discussion From ideas to execution Gartner hype cycle Innovation adoption curve Forecasting reality What are key financial sector measure? Convenience of paying for something? Lower opex ratios and plateauing of staffing levels? < Additional interview ISSIP YouTube https:// youtu.be /bYXLBlsp5WE Eoin Cumiskey
Markus’s position statement: Interview Point 1: Service systems & Service-Dominant (S-D) logic Point 2: Service-Dominant Architecture (SDA) Hyper-personalization coming Measure: Are you able to attract & retain key talent? Markus Warg < Interview ISSIP YouTube https:// youtu.be /dkGj9y6PTdc
Q&A Moderators’ questions & comments Panelists’ questions & comments Participant’s questions & comments feel free to use chat and/or come off mute Panelists’ last comments Moderators’ closing
Healthcare – May 1 Finance – June 26 Education – August 28 Energy & Information Tech – December 11 Supply Chain & Logistics – November 20 Retail & Hospitality – October 30 Closing – and Next Event
Backup Slides Thoughts… Interviewees Additional perspectives Transformation of Industry Sectors Marginal Cost of Computing Goes To Zero AI for roles in business and society Digital Twins of People to Accelerate Communications, Coordination, Collaboration – Win-Win Outcomes Change Requiremennts David Nordfors & Toyama (2015) Geek Heresy Name (Actionable - Will), Definition (Logic - Mind), Narrative (Story – Heart) Interviewees Markus Warg