Chapt-2 Economic Analysis of FS handout.

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. Business establishments are not classified in the service or manufacturing subsectors on the basis of their engagement in service or manufacturing activities, but rather because they collectively respond to the need for services or manufactured goods. Business establishments that respond to the ne...


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Chapter Two Economic Analysis of Financial Structure 1 5/10/2021

Learning objectives: Basic facts about the Financial Structure Throughout the World Transaction Costs Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Financial Development and Economic Growth, and Factors Causing Financial Crisis. 2 5/10/2021

2 .0. Introduction 3 5/10/2021 A healthy and vibrant economy requires a financial system. Financial system moves funds from people who save to people who have productive investment opportunities .

2.1. Basic facts about the Financial Structure Throughout the World 5/10/2021 4 The financial system includes many different types of institutions: Banks , Insurance companies, Mutual funds, stock and bond markets, and so on , all of which are regulated by government . W e find eight basic facts about the financial system:

Cont… 1. Stocks are not the most important source of financing than others . Because: Asymmetric information (Adverse selection and moral hazard). It has not tax benefit . Debt Contract 2. Marketable securities (debt and equity) are not the primary source of financing than others. Because: Asymmetric information (Adverse selection and moral hazard). 5 5/10/2021

Cont… 3. Indirect finance is many times more important than direct finance. Because : They reduce transaction costs They reduce asymmetric information: Adverse selection and moral hazard . 4. Financial intermediaries, particularly banks, are the most important source of finance used to finance businesses. 6 5/10/2021

Cont… 7 5/10/2021 What makes banks so important to the workings of the financial system ? They reduce asymmetric information (Adverse selection and moral hazard). 5. The financial system is among the most heavily regulated sectors of the economy. to promote the provision of information (to reduce the asymmetric information, and to ensure the soundness (stability) of the financial system.

Cont… 6. Only large, well-established corporations have easy access to securities markets to finance their activities. Because as a regulation large firms are allowed to issue marketable securities . Collateral and Net worth 7. Collateral is a prevalent feature of debt contracts. Because: The presence of adverse selection in credit markets (loan defaults). It is guarantee, if borrower is unable to make debt payment. 8 5/10/2021

Cont… 8. Debt contracts typically are extremely complicated legal documents. Because: The presence of moral hazard problem (the borrower not to participate in other activities). Monitoring and enforcement of restrictive covenants. The borrower to be more care for their activities, etc. 9 5/10/2021

Cont… Example of Sources of External Funds For Nonfinancial Businesses 10 5/10/2021

2.2. Transaction Costs How Transaction Costs Influence Financial Structure? Example : Say you have birr 5,000 you would like to invest, and you think about investing in the stock market. Because you have only birr 5,000, you can buy only a small number of shares. Even if you use online trading, your purchase is so small that the brokerage commission for buying the stock you picked will be a large percentage of the purchase price of the shares. If instead you decide to buy a bond, the problem is even worse because the smallest denomination for some bonds you might want to buy is as much as birr 10,000 , and you do not have that much to invest. 11 5/10/2021

Cont… How Financial Intermediaries Reduce Transaction Costs ? They help to reduce transaction costs, and They allow small savers and borrowers to benefit from the existence of financial markets. How? Economies of Scale Expertise   5/10/2021 12

2.3. Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Asymmetric information a situation that arises when one party’s insufficient knowledge about the other party involved in a transaction makes it impossible to make accurate decisions. The presence of asymmetric information leads to adverse selection and moral hazard problems . 5/10/2021 13

2.3.1. Adverse Selection How Adverse Selection Influences Financial Structure Example : Suppose that Mr.Melaku the investor, a potential buyer of common stock, can’t distinguish between good firms with high expected profits and bad firms with low expected profits. In this situation, Mr.Melaku will be willing to pay only a price that reflects the average quality of firms issuing securities, a price that lies between the value of securities from bad firms and the value of those from good firms. If the owners or managers of a good firm have better information than Melaku , they know that their securities are undervalued and will not want to sell them to Melaku at the price he is willing to pay. The only firms willing to sell Melaku securities will be bad firms (because his price is higher than the securities are worth). Mr. Melaku is not want to hold securities in bad firms, if he has not full information about the securities market. Therefore , as a result of this adverse selection, the securities market will not work very well because few firms will sell securities in it to raise capital. 5/10/2021 14

Cont… Tools to Solve Adverse Selection Problems Private Production and Sale of Information Government Regulation to Increase Information Through releasing negative information about firms. By encouraging firms to reveal honest information about themselves through regulation. 3. Financial Intermediation 4. Collateral and Net worth 5/10/2021 15

2.3.2. Moral Hazard Moral hazard is the asymmetric information problem that occurs after the financial transaction takes place, when the seller of a security engage in activities that are undesirable for the purchaser of the security. Moral hazard problem almost equivalent to the problem of honest. How Moral Hazard affects Equity Market: The Principal–Agent Problem Equity contracts are subject to a particular type of moral hazard called the principal–agent problem 5/10/2021 16

Cont… Example: To understand the principal–agent problem more fully, suppose that your friend Sisay asks you to become a silent partner in his ice cream store. The store requires an investment of $10,000 to set up and Sisay has only $1,000. So you purchase an equity shares for $ 9,000. If Sisay works hard to make tasty ice cream, keeps the store clean, etc, after all expenses (including Sisay’s salary), the store will have $50,000 in profits per year, of which Sisay receives 10% ($5,000) and you receive 90% ($45,000). But if Sisay doesn’t provide quick and friendly service to his customers, uses the $50,000 in income to buy artwork for his office, and even sneaks off to the beach while he should be at the store, the store will not earn any profit. 5/10/2021 17

Cont… Sisay can earn the additional $5,000 (his 10% share of the profits) over his salary only if he works hard and forgoes unproductive investments (such as art for his office). Sisay might decide that the extra $5,000 just isn’t enough to make him expend the effort to be a good manager; he might decide that it would be worth his while only if he earned an extra $10,000. If Sisay feels this way, he does not have enough incentive to be a good manager and will end up with a beautiful office, a good tan, and a store that doesn’t show any profits. Because the store won’t show any profits, Sisay’s decision not to act in your interest will cost you $45,000 (your 90% of the profits if he had chosen to be a good manager instead). 5/10/2021 18

Cont… Tools to Solve the Principal–Agent Problem Production of Information Government Regulation to Increase Information Financial Intermediation Debt Contracts 5/10/2021 19

2.4. Financial Development and Economic Growth Why many countries stay poor while others? Because: A poor legal system (inadequate government regulation), Government intervention through directed credit programs Weak accounting standards, and State ownership of banks 5/10/2021 20

Cont… A poor legal system (inadequate government regulation ) 5/10/2021 21

Cont… b. Government intervention through directed credit programs Relatively , Which one has more incentive to solve adverse selection and moral hazard? Which one can lend to borrowers with the most productive investment sector? 5/10/2021 22

Cont… c. Weak accounting standards d. State Ownership of Banks 5/10/2021 23

Questions How can economies of scale help explain the existence of financial intermediaries? Describe two ways in which financial intermediaries help lower transaction costs in the economy. Would moral hazard and adverse selection still arise in financial markets if information were not asymmetric? Explain. How do standard accounting principles help financial markets work more efficiently? Which firms are most likely to use bank financing rather than to issue bonds or stocks to finance their activities? Why? How can the existence of asymmetric information provide a rationale for government regulation of financial markets? Rich people often worry that others will seek to marry them only for their money. Is this a problem of adverse selection ? “ The more collateral there is backing a loan, the less lender has to worry about adverse selection.” Is this statement true, false, or uncertain? Explain your answer. Explain how the separation of ownership and control in corporations might lead to poor management. How does the provision of several types of financial services by one firm lead to conflicts of interest? How can conflicts of interest make financial service firms less efficient? Describe one conflicts of interest that occur in accounting firms. You are in the market for a used car. At a used car lot, you know that the blue book value for the cars you are looking at is between $20,000 and $24,000. If you believe the dealer knows as much about the car as you, how much are you willing to pay? Why? Assume that you only care about the expected value of the car you buy and that the car values are symmetrically distributed. Now, you believe the dealer knows more about the cars than you. How much are you willing to pay? Why? How can this be resolved in a competitive market?   Why do financial crises occur and why are they so damaging to the economy, and give example? 5/10/2021 24

5/10/2021 25 End of Chapter Two