Counter Trend Trading

tradingeveryday 2,710 views 23 slides Feb 13, 2009
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About This Presentation

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Slide Content

“I did not get good at trading
until I realized I was not good at trading.”
Leroy Rushing

Counter Trend Trading For Profits

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Major Price Action is trending upward and you are focused on SHORTING
Major Price Action is trending downward and you are focused on going LONG
Major Price Action is trading in a sideways consolidation pattern and
Your focused on price action trending upward or
Your focused on price action trending downward
Price Action gaps
Up and you are focused on FADING the gap
Down and you are focused on the gap FILLING
Price Action is relatively
Strong in multiple markets and your focusing on weak price action setups for shorting
Weak in multiple markets and your focusing on strong price action setups for going long

Ideal trading
situation
ENTRY
LONG Entry
•Up trend
•Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Price
Action

Ideal trading
situation
ENTRY
LONG Entry
•Up trend
•Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Price
Action
4
4
4
4
4
4 Natural pullbacks
in price action

ENTRY
Price
Action
4
4
4
4
4
4 Natural pullbacks
in price action
B
A
C
Flags
Parallel
1
2
3
Higher highs and higher
lows provide evidence of
uptrend
Major Up Trend
•Higher Highs & Higher Lows

200 MA
20 MA
B
A
C
Flag
Trading against the major trend
1
2
3
Setup
Signal
•2B/3B Candlestick Reversals
•Crossing MA’s
•RSI – Short/Sell signals
•Stochastic – Oversold signals
•MACD – Down trending histogram
•Volume decreasing
•Divergence
•No Upside Follow Thru
Major Trend
•Higher timeframe uptrend

2. Bullish Rally
3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
4. Bearish Rally
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Focus on Speed of
uptrend
Long Setups
Focus on Speed of
downtrend
Short Setups

Most traders are NOT aware they are counter trend trading price action until they
are actually in the trade and managing it.
Often, the speed of the uptrend can assist traders with determining the profit
opportunity and “odds” of success for counter trend trading
Aggressive up trends often have aggressive retracements
Setups, Signals, and Strategies have to be very focused and fast for entry to
maximize potential profit
Remember counter trends are short in duration
Very dependent on the timeframe for performance

Often traders loose trying to accurately trade the countertrend paradigm
Buying New Lows:
“Bottom-fishing” to pick the market bottoms and focus on exactly getting in at the low of the
price action downtrend.
Traditional trading suggest waiting for confirmation that support has held and prices are
moving in an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows
Selling New Highs:
Traders trying to pick the market tops and focus on exactly getting out or shorting at the high
of the price action uptrend.
Traditional trading suggest waiting for confirmation that overhead resistance has held and
prices are moving in a downtrend with lower highs and lower lows

When countertrend trading know:
Support and resistance levels where traders identify entry and exit opportunities when
trading.
Fibonacci percentage "retracement" levels where savvy traders use them to improve their
entry and exit points.
How traders often try buying into support
▪If the major price action trend is in a downtrend, more than likely, it will continue
How traders often try buying a breakout
▪Buying breakouts in an uptrend is often chasing the move; similar to buying new highs or shorting new lows
How traders often try shorting into resistance
▪If the major price action trend is in a up trend, more than likely, it will continue
How traders often try shorting a breakdown

1
2 3
1
32
Use Fib levels, sideways
consolidation and
Breakouts for BUY
signals
Use Fib levels, sideways
consolidation and
Breakdowns for SHORT
signals
Trading with the trending price action.

2. Bullish Rally
3. Sideways Topping
Action
1. Sideways Bottoming
Action
4. Bearish Rally
1. Sideways Bottoming
Action
1
2 3
1
32

REWARD
REWARD
RISK
RISK
STOP
ENTRY
TARGET
TARGET
ENTRY
STOP
LONG Entry
•Up trend
•Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Short Entry
•Down trend
•Lower Highs & Lower Lows
Price
Action
(1R)
(1R)
(multiple R)
(multiple R)

2. Bullish Rally
3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
4. Bearish Rally
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Chart pattern
confirms buy signal
Chart pattern
confirms sell signal

2. Bullish Rally
3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
4. Bearish Rally
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Aggressive Short
Aggressive Buy

Lack of patience and discipline
Tunnel vision in reference to market conditions
Inter-market Analysis
Improper money management or risk management
Over-trading
Too many markets at one time – not enough trades setups
Excessive trades – trying to recoup losses
Pursuit of Perfection and High expectations of
“Winnings” and “Profits”
Catching “The falling Knife”
Trying to Pick “Tops” and/or “Bottoms”
Not having a “trust-worthy” trading plan for trading
trends
NO accountability for actions

Like fast-paced, risk-filled environment
Looking for “Instant Gratification”
Trading from a mindset of “greed” or
“desperation”
Overconfidence
Have a very demanding ego that unfortunately
distorts one’s rational thinking
Emotions empower your actions
Remaining in position to avoid admitting wrong
Relying on “Sense of Timing” or
“Trading Intuition”

2. Bullish Rally
3. Sideways Topping Action
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
4. Bearish Rally
1. Sideways Bottoming Action
Chasing Short entry
Chasing Long entry

End of counter trend
End of counter trend
(1R)
(1R
)

Reduce targets
Tighten stops
Reduce targets
Tighten stops
(1R)
(1R)
End of counter trend
End of counter trend

Pre-Market
Late Day
Breakdown
High
Low
Yesterday Today
Gap
Gap
Fill Immediate exit
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