Future Dreaming 2024 | AI and the future of skills "Measures and implications for education"

This presentation from the OECD Future Dreaming 2024: Career Guidance in the Age of Digital Technologies looks at AI and the future of skills "Measures and implications for education".
Presented by Margarita Kalamova.

Discover the videos and other sessions from the OECD Future Dreaming 2024 conference at https://www.youtube.com/@EduSkillsOECD

Find out more about our work on Career Readiness https://www.oecd.org/en/about/projects/career-readiness.html

1. AI and the Future of Skills: Measures and implications for education OECD 22 May 2024 Stuart Elliott (Project Leader), Abel Baret , Margarita Kalamova , Aurelija Masiulyte , Sam Mitchell, Nóra Révai and Marc Fuster

2. 2 An evidence-informed understanding of how technology will be affecting skills demand and education systems. No robust and accessible measures on what AI can and cannot do. A shared understanding of what technology is capable of. Scale development: Describe AI capabilities Example tasks Show evolving use of AI in tasks Educational actors rely on lay knowledge to assess the implication of AI on education. Educational actors (incl. OECD) embrace a responsible and informed use of AI in educational settings . Exploratory studies to understand the changing skills demand and the transformation of education AI and the Future of Skills

3. 3 ChatGPT taking PISA

4. 4 ChatGPT taking PISA

5. 5 ChatGPT taking PISA

6. 6 ChatGPT taking PISA

7. 7 Measuring AI in four broad domains Language Language understanding Sensor i motor … Language generation Manipulation Vision Planning Integration Reasoning … Meta-cognition Critical thinking Problem solving Knowledge, memory and learning Social … Social perception Social reasoning and decision-making Social action

8. 8 Evolution of an Example Task: Changing Human Role Without AI None ChatGPT Provide initial draft Human Collect, structure and describe information Draft text and revise With ChatGPT With improved ChatGPT (+) Writing a short paper Prompt ChatGPT Review draft and identify errors to fix Collect information and revise ChatGPT draft Provide initial draft that includes fact-checking Prompt ChatGPT+ Review draft and identify alternative arguments Prompt ChatGPT to revise draft

9. Language and reasoning examples Preparing a lecture Reviewing an engineering proposal … Sensorimotor examples Installing an electrical system Providing emergency first aid … Social examples Resolving customer complaints Negotiating with employee union … 9 Project is sampling a range of job tasks for analysis

10. AI will perform many cognitive tasks at near-human levels Application will take time (~5 years?) but AI will be used In most contexts we will perform cognitive tasks with AI help AI will reduce the effects of cognitive inequality People with weaker cognitive skills will be helped more 10 Implications of AI Forms of denial Resistance Initial thoughts

11. AI will move more quickly on some job tasks than others Faster on language and reasoning tasks Slower on sensorimotor tasks Faster on social tasks using language Slower on social tasks using sensorimotor capabilities 11 Implications of AI: Education and training for jobs

12. 12 Implications of AI: Larger for Higher Education Graduates Source: OpenAI, 2023, GPTs are GPTs, arXiv:2303.10130v5

13. short-term & medium term 13 Implications of AI: General strategy for explorations Curriculum Job training Assessment Teaching and Learning Schools and the classroom How will AI change what students learn? How will AI change post-secondary education and training? How will AI change educational assessment? How will AI change the way teachers teach and students learn? How is AI used in schools and classrooms?

14. For more information: [email protected] (Project leader) [email protected] www.oecd.org/education/ceri/future-of-skills.htm 14 Thank you