Future Technological Developments Final.ppt

This presentation presents a number of emergent technologies in the field of information and communication technologies and their possible future trends.

1. Future Technological Future Technological
DevelopmentsDevelopments
ICT from a Managerial Perspective
Strategic Emergent Technologies
Ray Vassallo

2. Labour Force Composition
in the USA (20th c.)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1900191019201930194019501960197019801996
YEAR
% SERVICE
% WHITE COLLAR
% BLUE COLLAR
% FARMING

3. Technology Diffusion

4. Exponential Growth
4

5. 25
30 ADOPTI
ON
TIM
E

6. Moore’s Law
6
According to Moore’s Law of Technology, how
quickly does processing speed grow?

7. Moore’s Law
7
According to Moore’s Law of Technology, how
quickly does processing speed grow?

8. “SAN FRANCISCO — By now, seeing one
of
 Google’s experimental,
driverless cars
zipping down Silicon Valley’s Highway 101,
or parking itself on a San Francisco street, is
not all that unusual.”
- 

Nick
Bilton, NY Times, July 2013
8

9. Web, Semantic Web, Social Software, Metaweb
THE EVOLUTION OF THE INTERNET
WEB
2.0

10. Social Software, Lifelogs
Gmail preserves, for the first time, everything we’ve ever typed.
Gmailers are all bloggers who don’t know it. Next, some of us
will store everything we’ve ever said. Then everything we’ve
ever seen. This storage (and processing, and bandwidth) will
continue to make us all networkable in ways and at a level we
never imagined.
Lifeblog, SenseCam, What Was I Thinking, and MyLifeBits (2003)
are early examples of “LifeLogs.” Systems for auto-archiving
and auto-indexing all life experience. Add NLP, collaborative
filtering, and other early AI to this, and data begins turning into
wisdom.

11. Tomorrow’s Fastspace:
User-Created 3D Persistent Worlds
•Future Salon in Second Life
Streaming audio for main speaker, chat for others.
Streaming video added 2005.
Cost: $10 for life + fast graphics card ($180)

12. Automated Workforce
12
AMAZON

13. AI & Superintelligence
•Moore’s Law
•First human-level computer by 2020
•Ubiquitous computers with human-brain-
level calculating power by 2040

14. Artificial Intelligence
14

15. Artificial Intelligence
15
Baxter

16. Internet Of Things (IoT)
16

17. 17

18. “NBICS”: 5 Choices for Strategic
Technological Development
•Nanotech (micro and nanoscale technology)
•Biotech (biotechnology, health care)
•Infotech (computing and comm. technology)
•Cognotech (brain sciences, human factors)
•Sociotech (remaining technology applications)
It is easy to spend lots of R&D or marketing money on a still-
early technology in any field.
Infotech examples: A.I., multimedia, internet, wireless
It is almost as easy to spend disproportionate amounts on older,
less centrally accelerating technologies.
Every technology has the right time and place for innovation and
diffusion.
First mover and second mover advantages.

19. Nanotechnology
•Dramatic progress in recent years
•Nanodevices and nanorobots
•Universal assembler
•Nanotech in the body, supplementing immune system
•Nanotech in the brain
•Foresight Institute
–http://foresight.org/
•CRNano
–http://crnano.org/

20. Neurotechnology
•Neurotechnology is the
set of tools that influence
the human central nervous
system, especially the
brain, to achieve a desired
effect.
 
The EconomistThe Economist
defines neurotech as
any
 "technology that
makes it possible to
manipulate the brain."

21. Predicting 2020 & Beyond
21

26. QUALCONW\
TRICORDER
Health
Competition Details Media
Introducing the Qualcomm
Tricord,
A $1O miWoncompetitionto bring healthcare to
the pall
Imagine a portable, wireless device in the palm of your hand
th That's the technology envisioned by this competition. and it
wil metrics. The end result: Radical innovation in healthcare
that w and how they receive care.

27. Faces & Smiles

29. Art
Masterworks of Art -
Frida Kahlo and Diego
Rivera
Frid
a
a,11
1ltp.-llW.'\w,
lpo...
Web
Masterworks of Art · Frida Kahl o
and Dieg o Rive a Art b F i da . ..
1Fr da Kahlo (1907 - 1954) was a egendary
.1e>ucan pam1er whose stri ing art •rorks
rt?flected a lifetime of unbearnble pa·n• .•.

30. PRODUCTS BUSINESS APPS SUPPORT MY ACCOUNT
EWS ABOl!T SAMSUNG LOGIN
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Home > Cameras >
New! NXlOOO (Black) 20.3 Megapixel Compact System Camera
NXlOOO JUNE 2012 O REVIEWS OVERVIEW
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FEATUES SPECS GALLERY REVIEWS ACCESSORI ES SUPPO T
•20.3MP APS-C Sensor
•8 Frames Per Second
•1080P Full HD Stereo Movie Recording
Instant Sharing via Wi-Fi
June 2012
Black White

31. 0 '

32. I
Image Correction

33. C O URT E S Y: L YT R
O

34. Ubiquity
Person Recognition
Object Recognition
Focus & Cropping

35. “UBIC
AM”

37. “UBIC
AM”

38. “UBIC
AM”

39. “UBIC
AM”

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41. Conclusions: Where, how and when a
solar powered mobile phone works best
POSTEDON OCTOBER 24120 11 BY
Joa
According to the Guinness Book of World Records,the city of Yuma in Arizona is the
sunniest place on earth.Of the possible 4.456 hours of daylight each year, the sun
shines in Yuma for roughly 4,174 hours,or about 94% of the time. But if you're not
one of the city's 77,000 inhabitants,what's the best part of the world to have a solar
powered mobile phone? After our four-month field study,we have a better idea of
the answer to this and many other questions.
How welldo solar powered phones work inAfrica?
Near to the equator Amos,our Kenyan tester, was able to harvest charge for near1y
12 hours a day v1ith Lokld, our sol ar powered mobile phone prototype. His best
charging current was 32mA. If we assume the peak theoretical harvesting time is •
peak•2/n, Amos's theoretical maximum harvesting is 230mAh. However,his actual
best was 134mAh, or 60% yielded capacity of the theoretical maximum.
Nonetheless,in 59 days, Amos gained 20 hours talk time or sufficient standby for 41
days. If you ignore the variations in weather.at the equator these values should stay
the same
91
Dlggt
IILike
3
5
Y, Twoet
LATEST UPDATE
CONCLUSIONS:WHERE.
HOW AND
WHEN A SOL.AR POWERED MOB I
LE
PHONE WORKS BEST
Kenya
Amos Isa33 year old security
officer working in Narobl,Kenya
He'll be seeing wnether solar
mobile charging
is a pract cal opt ion for his
life.
eryday
Baltic Sea
Petterl Wiii be salllng onthe Baltic
sea

46. Drone Cameras
Swarm Robotics
Computer Vision

48. “IRREPRESSIBLE
PANOPTICON ”

49. “IRREPRESSIBLE
PANOPTICON ”

50. “IRREPRESSIBLE
PANOPTICON ”

51. Mind Machine Interfacing

52. Genetic Engineering
•Corrective somatic engineering
•Genetic enhancement
•Germline engineering
•Greg Stock’s 2002 Redesigning
Humans

53. What is the Singularity?
•A future point when humans are no longer
the dominant species on Earth;
•A point in time when the rate of
technological change is so great that
predicting the future becomes nearly
impossible

54. Uploading

55. Uploading
•Silicon-neural interfaces
•Brain prostheses
•Brain imaging
•Reading the information in the brain
•Backing up human consciousness for
uploading
•Mind Uploading Research Group
–http://minduploading.org/

56. Humanism vs. Sacred Limits
•Playing God: antibiotics,
IVF, organ transplants?
•Human intervention will
always end in disaster
•Nature is too complicated
to ever understand

57. The Singularity
Singularity: technological progress and
societal change accelerate due to the advent
of superhuman intelligence, changing our
environment beyond the ability of pre-
Singularity humans to comprehend or
reliably predict.
Exponentially accelerating change in
technology and society
Kurzweil: Singularity by 2045

58. The Singularity

59. The Singularity
•Teilhard de Chardin 1959 The
Future of Man
–Integration of noosphere leading to Omega Point
•Hans Moravec and Marvin Minsky
•Vernor Vinge
–1993 “The Coming Technological Singularity: How to
Survive in the Post-Human Era”
•Ray Kurzweil http://kurzweilai.net
–2005 “The Singularity is Near”
•Charles Stross http://antipope.org
–2005 “Accelerando”

60. Digital Activism:
User-Created 3D Persistent Worlds

61. Possible Modes of Being
accessible by humans
accessible by transhumans
accessible by animals
accessible by posthumans

62. Life Extension
•Radical life extension
•Biologic/cybernetic
immortality
•Live long enough to
live forever

63. Predicting the Future
63
Ray Kurzweil
Called "the restless genius"
by The Wall Street Journal
and "the ultimate thinking
machine" by Forbes
Magazine.

64. Predicting the Future
64
1990 – By the 21
st
century people
will be able to:
•Talk to their computers to give
commands.
•Use computers the size of rings,
pins, credit cards, & books.
•Most books will be read on
screens instead of on paper.

65. Predicting 2020 & Beyond
65

•Eyeglasses & headphones as
we know them are obsolete
•Computers capable of creating
knowledge on their own
•Robots automate
manufacturing, agriculture and
transportation sectors

66. 2012
2020
2030
2040

67. AI INTERNET INTERFACES SENSORS UBICOMP ROBOTICS BIOTECH
MATERIALS ENERGY SPACE GEOTECH

72. The Omega Point
•Destiny of
intelligent life in
the Universe
•Teilhard de
Chardin 1959
The
Future of
Man
-
Integration
of noosphere
leading to Omega
Point

73. Is the universe a simulation?

74. In Closing…
Technology is growing
faster than ever before.
Robotics will be
everywhere.
Embrace the future to
harness it.
74