Introduction 17
never been written at all. For most of the 1960s and 1970s, there were few sources
to challenge the official view, apart from the works of a few academics. In the 1980s,
this paucity of evidence worsened, with even the simplest matters politicised and
virtually all information secret. In the 1990s, the situation reversed, as liberalisation,
democracy and press freedom resulted in an explosion of media comment, much of
it violently polemical. Meanwhile, official sources of information became suspect,
even on such fundamental issues as population, GDP, forest cover or exports, and
were supplemented or supplanted by international institutions’ and donors’ reports,
creating multiple, often competing ‘truths’. Given that little of this information makes
its way into the public sphere, and that many politicians have a limited understanding
of the country’s economic circumstances, some decisions were made with limited
knowledge of the ‘facts’. There is also a tendency towards conspiracy theories in the
popular imagination. As a result, it is sometimes necessary to introduce generally
accepted beliefs (though these may be false), rumour and gossip if such beliefs drive
behaviour. In politics, perception is often reality.
The remainder of the book is divided into 13 chapters, structured by distinct periods
of policy and practice. Chapter 2 introduces Kenya’s history up to independence,
focusing on the late colonial period and showing how decolonisation established the
themes of conflict seen since. Chapter 3 describes the first giddy years of independence,
the rush for growth, the impact of the land settlement schemes, the establishment
of single-party rule and the growing tension over the country’s course. Chapter 4
describes the second period of multi-party competition, which ended with Mboya’s
death and the re-establishment of one-party rule. Chapter 5 takes us into the 1970s,
the ‘golden years’ of the Kenyatta era, in which his conservative, bureaucratic but
authoritarian writ was still law, although the country’s problems were deepening.
The declining years of the monarch are covered in Chapter 6, which shows how
power slipped into other, equally authoritarian hands. It describe the struggle for the
presidential succession and – partly as a consequence – how tribalism, corruption
and economic performance worsened.
Chapter 7 describes the instabilities of the early Moi years, in which a younger,
non-Kikuyu president sought to change Kenya’s course, but was driven by his need
for survival to concentrate power in his own hands, close political space and create a
new ethnically centred power structure. Chapter 8 recounts the dark days of the late
1980s, the missed opportunities for economic reform and growing corruption and
political repression. Chapter 9 presents the seismic changes of 1990–2, during which
Kenya was forced onto a new economic and political trajectory, which also saw the
emergence of state sponsored ethnic and political violence. Chapter 10 describes the
period 1993–7, during which a reinvigorated KANU presided over a gradual political
and economic liberalisation, but this took place alongside corruption, tribalism and
state decay. Chapter 11 recounts the dying days of the Moi administration, with the
president a ‘lame duck’, and KANU weakened by years of misrule, but still able to
dominate, entice or divide its opponents, until Moi’s cataclysmic mistake of 2002 in
selecting his successor, which handed victory to his opponents.
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