Weekly Notes Born Nationality Alma mater Died British 1702, London, England University of Edinburgh 1961, Tunbridge wells, Kent, England Aged 59
Thomas Bayes was the son of London Presbyterian minister Joshua Bayes He came from a prominent nonconformist family from Sheffield. In 1719, he enrolled at the University of Edinburgh to study logic and theology. On his return around 1722, he assisted his father at the latter's chapel in London before moving to Tunbridge Wells, Kent, around 1734. There he was minister of the Mount Sion Chapel, until 1752. In his later years he took a deep interest in probability. Contents of this template
. “ Bayes's solution to a problem of inverse probability was presented in "An Essay towards solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances" which was read to the Royal Society in 1763 after Bayes' death.”
Awards 01 .
Bayes was elected as a Fellow of the Royal Society in 1742. .
R eal time Applications 02 .
Bayes’ primary contribution was Bayes Rule, a law of conditional probability that bears his name. Bayes Rule led to the field of Bayesian Inference, a very powerful approach to data analysis that continues to gain momentum. Now there is an International Society for Bayesian Analysis devoted to promoting and developing Bayesian methods Contents of this template
In 2018, the University of Edinburgh , opened a £45 million research centre connected to it informatics department named after its alumnus, Bayes. In April 2021, it was announced that Cass Business School , whose City of London campus is on Bunhill Row , was to be renamed after Bayes.
Greatest Achievements 02 .
Biographical Sketches of Bayes 1857 1941 1950 - 70 1970 - 80 1990’s A 19th Century biography appears in Fisher 20th Century biographies are given in Anderson Barnard (1958), Holland (1962) Pearson (1978), Hacking (1970-80) Dale (1991) and Edwards (1993), Lesson 1: The title goes here
Bayes Theorem 04 .
B ooks Divine Benevolence Tuesday An introduction to the doctrine of fluxions Attempt to solve a problem of the calculus of probability Hour 08:00-09:00 10:00-11:00 Attempting to Solve a Problem in the Doctrine of Chance: Method for Calculating the Exact Probability of Any Induction-Based Conclusions
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JMP is celebrating the International Year of Statistics by honoring an influential statistician each month. This month they take a look at Thomas Bayes, a whose name is literally attached to statistical inference. .
— THOMAS BAYES .
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4,498,300,000 Big numbers catch your audience’s attention
Some Concepts to Remember Venus Earth Jupiter Venus has a beautiful name, but also high temperatures Earth is the third planet from the Sun and the only one Jupiter is a gas giant and the biggest planet
To-do List! To Do! My Tasks! Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here Write a pending task here
Recommended Time per Unit It’s the farthest planet from the Sun Neptune Saturn is a gas giant made of hydrogen Saturn Despite being red, Mars is a cold place Mars Venus has a beautiful name Venus To modify this graph, click on it, follow the link, change the data and paste the resulting graph here 50% 10% 20% 20%
Class Material Mercury Mercury is the smallest planet Jupiter Jupiter is the biggest planet Mars Mars is actually a cold place Venus Venus has high temperatures
Name of Activity 1 Do you know what helps you make your point clear? Lists like this one: Because they’re simple You can organize your ideas clearly And because you’ll never forget to buy milk! And the most important thing: the audience won’t ever miss the point of your presentation Monday
earths is the Sun’s mass 333,000.00 is Jupiter’s rotation period 24h 37m 23s is the distance between Earth and the Moon 386,000 km
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50% Despite being red, Mars is cold Mars 75% Venus has a beautiful name Venus 25% It’s the ringed one and a gas giant Saturn Scores per Unit
Test Answers Question 2 A B C D E A B C D E Question 1 Question 3 A B C D E Question 4 A B C D E
Future International Lecture It’s the farthest planet from the Sun Neptune Despite being red, Mars is a cold place Mars Venus has a beautiful name Venus
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P ( H ∣ E )= P ( E\H ) P ( E ) P ( H ). Bayes' theorem is a formula that describes how to update the probabilities of hypotheses when given evidence. It follows simply from the axioms of conditional probability , but can be used to powerfully reason about a wide range of problems involving belief updates. .
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October Mon Tue Web Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 28 30 31 Week of October 19 Mercury is the closest planet to the Sun and the smallest one in the Solar System
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Exercises Book List Venus Jupiter Mars Venus has a beautiful name Jupiter the biggest planet Despite being red it is cool Neptune Mercury Saturn Neptune is the farthest planet Mercury the closer planet Saturn is the ringed one
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Homework Review Exercise name Result Score Mars: Despite being red, Mars is a cold place full of iron 8 Earth: Earth is the third planet from the Sun 1.5 Venus: Venus has a beautiful name 10 Jupiter: Jupiter is a gas giant and the biggest planet 4 Saturn: Saturn is a gas giant made of hydrogen 7 Notes:
Class Objectives Neptune Earth Neptune is the farthest planet from the Sun and the fourth-largest one Earth is the third planet from the Sun and the only one that harbors life
Daily Schedule Venus Venus has a beautiful name Saturn Saturn is a gas giant with rings Neptune Neptune is the farthest planet 08:00 09:00 10:00 11:00 12:00
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Weekly Events Monday Tuesday Venus has a beautiful name Wednesday Mercury is the closest planet Thursday Jupiter is the biggest planet Friday Neptune is the farthest planet Mars is a cold planet
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