Operations Management
Instructor: Dr. Rizwan Ahmed
Capacity Management
Strategic Capacity Planning
Defined
Capacity can be defined as the ability to,
do, make, hold, receive, store, or
accommodate etc
Production capacity the ability to produce
Strategic capacity planning is an approach
for determining the overall capacity level
of capital intensive resources, including
facilities, equipment, and overall labor
force size
Capacity Decisions
Capacity increase/decrease depends on
volume and certainty of anticipated demand
strategic objectives
costs of expansion and operation
Best operating level
Max. capacity utilization that minimizes unit costs
Capacity for which the process was designed
Capacity cushion
% of capacity held in reserve for unexpected
occurrences
Best Operating
Level
Example: Engineers design equipment and assembly lines to
operate at an ideal or “best operating level” to maximize
output and minimize wear and tear
Underutilization
Best Operating
Level
Average
unit cost
of output
Volume
Overutilization
Example of Capacity
Utilization
During one week of production, a plant
produced 83 units of a product. Its historic
highest recorded capcitywas 120 units per
week. What is this plant’s capacity
utilization rate?
Answer:
Capacity utilization rate = Capacity used .
Best operating level
= 83/120
=0.69 or 69%
Economies of Scale
Capacity has a relationship with Economies of
Scale
it costs less per unit to produce high levels of
output
fixed costs can be spread over a larger number of units
production or operating costs do not increase linearly
with output levels
quantity discounts are available for material purchases
operating efficiency increases as workers gain more
experience
Diseconomies of Scale
Occur above a certain level of output when
marginal cost start to increase
Reasons to Diseconomies of Scale can be:
Communication and coordination
Cost of distribution
Duplication of efforts
Bureaucracy/Management layers
Internal politics and conflicts
Fatigue, demotivation
Process bottlenecks and breakdowns
Determining Capacity
Requirements
1. Forecast sales within each individual
product line
2. Calculate equipment and labor
requirements to meet the forecasts
3. Project equipment and labor utilization
over the planning horizon
Example of Capacity
Requirements
A manufacturer produces two variations of mustard by
packaging size; packaged as small and family-size plastic
bottles.
The following table shows forecast demand for the next four
years.Year: 1 2 3 4
Small (000s) 150 170 200 240
Family (000s) 115 140 170 200
•Three machines with capacity of 100,000 units-per-year are available for
small-bottle production. Two operators required per machine.
•Two machines with capacity of 120,000 units-per-year are available for
family-sized-bottle production. Three operators required per machine.
Using Decision Trees for Capacity
Decisions
A glass factory specializing in crystal is experiencing a
substantial backlog, and the firm's management is
considering three courses of action:
A) Arrange for subcontracting
B) Construct new facilities
C) Do nothing (no change)
The correct choice depends largely upon demand, which
may be low, medium, or high. By consensus, management
estimates the respective demand probabilities as 0.1, 0.5,
and 0.4.
Example of a Decision Tree
Problem (Continued): The Payoff
Table0.1 0.5 0.4
Low Medium High
A 10 50 90
B -120 25 200
C 20 40 60
The management also estimates the profits
when choosing from the three alternatives (A,
B, and C) under the differing probable levels of
demand. These profits, in thousands of dollars
are presented in the table below:
Example of a Decision Tree
Problem (Continued): Step 1. We
start by drawing the three
decisions
A
B
C
Example of Decision Tree Problem
(Continued): Step 2. Add our
possible states of nature,
probabilities, and payoffs
A
B
C
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
$90k
$50k
$10k
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
$200k
$25k
-$120k
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
$60k
$40k
$20k
Example of Decision Tree
Problem (Continued): Step 3.
Determine the expected value of
each decision
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
A
$90k
$50k
$10k
EV
A=0.4(90)+0.5(50)+0.1(10)=$62k
$62k
Example of Decision Tree
Problem (Continued): Step 4.
Make decision
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
A
B
C
High demand (0.4)
Medium demand (0.5)
Low demand (0.1)
$90k
$50k
$10k
$200k
$25k
-$120k
$60k
$40k
$20k
$62k
$80.5k
$46k
Alternative B generates the greatest expected profit, so
our choice is B or to construct a new facility
Planning Service Capacity vs.
Manufacturing Capacity
Time: Services can not be stored for later
use and capacity must be available to
provide a service when it is needed
Location: Service must be at the customer
demand point and capacity must be located
near the customer
Volatility of Demand: Much greater than in
manufacturing
Capacity Utilization &
Service Quality
Usually best operating point is near 70% of
capacity
From 70% to 100% of service capacity, what
do you think happens to service quality?
5-22
Some Short-Term Capacity
Options
lease extra space temporarily
authorize overtime
staff second or third shift with
temporary workers
add weekend shifts
alternate routings, using differentwork
stations that may have excess capacity
schedule longer runs to minimize
capacity losses
5-23
Some Short-Term Capacity
Options
level output by building up inventory
in slack season
postpone preventive maintenance
(risky)
use multi-skilled workers to alleviate
bottlenecks
allow backorders to increase, extend
due date promises, or have stock-
outs.
subcontract work