RPO Assessment_PS Review_10112023_R2.pptx

MP RPO assessment

1. RPO ASSESSMENT Up to FY 2029-30 PS Review Dated: 10.11.2023

2. Key Changes in MoP Targets dated 20 th October 2023 S. No Particulars Previous Provisions Revised Provisions 1. Project Qualification Wind Projects commissioned after the 31 st March, 2022 Hydro Projects commissioned after the 08 th March, 2019 Wind Projects commissioned after the 31 st March, 2024 Hydro Projects commissioned after the 31 st March, 2024 Inclusion of Hydro Project located outside India 2. Inter category adjustment Wind Hydro Wind + Hydro Other 3. Distributed Renewable Energy (DRE) Under Other RPO Category Introduction of DRE targets RE Projects of < 10 MW Wind Hydro Other

3. Targets Comparison (WIND) Year MoP Initial MoP Revised MPERC 2024-25 2.46% 0.67% 2.46% 2025-26 3.36% 1.45% 3.36% 2026-27 4.29% 1.97% 4.29% 2027-28 5.23% 2.45% 5.23% 2028-29 6.16% 2.95% 6.16% 2029-30 6.94% 3.48% 6.94%

4. Targets Comparison (HYDRO) Year MoP Initial MoP Revised MPERC 2024-25 1.08% 0.38% 1.08% 2025-26 1.48% 1.22% 1.48% 2026-27 1.80% 1.34% 1.80% 2027-28 2.15% 1.42% 2.15% 2028-29 2.51% 1.42% 2.51% 2029-30 2.82% 1.33% 2.82%

5. Targets Comparison (OTHER) Year MoP Initial MoP Revised MPERC 2024-25 26.37% 27.35% 25.63% 2025-26 28.17% 28.24% 26.13% 2026-27 29.86% 29.94% 26.63% 2027-28 31.43% 31.64% 27.13% 2028-29 32.69% 33.10% 27.63% 2029-30 33.57% 34.02% 28.13%

6. Targets Comparison (DRE) Year MoP Initial MoP Revised MPERC 2024-25 - 1.50% - 2025-26 - 2.10% - 2026-27 - 2.70% - 2027-28 - 3.30% - 2028-29 - 3.90% - 2029-30 - 4.50% -

7. Targets Comparison (TOTAL) Year MoP Initial MoP Revised MPERC Difference w.r.t MoP 2024-25 29.91% 29.91% 29.17% -0.74% 2025-26 33.01% 33.01% 30.97% -2.04% 2026-27 35.95% 35.95% 32.72% -3.23% 2027-28 38.81% 38.81% 34.51% -4.30% 2028-29 41.36% 41.36% 36.30% -5.06% 2029-30 43.33% 43.33% 37.89% -5.44%

8. Projects Considered 1

9. Wind Projects (MW) Name Month 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Blended SECI Dec-2023 668 1200 SECI - MP Specific Dec-2023 July-2024 330 110 Hybrid RUMSL Dec-2025 309 650 MW RE RTC Dec-2025 3200 Morena - Wind March-2026 500

10. Hydro Projects (MW) Name Month 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Amhata -II March-2024 3.8 Amhata -IV October-2024 3.8 NHPC - Lower Subhansiri March-October 2023 13 92 NHPC - Tiesta 500 MW April-2024 90 NHPC - Rangit 120 MW May-2024 43 NHPC - Ratle 850 MW February-2026 94

11. Solar Projects (MW) Name Month 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 ASN RUMSL – 1199 MW MP Share Dec 2023 – March 2024 1330 170 Blended SECI Dec-2023 32 NHPC Dec-2023 & April-2024 380 620 Omkareshwar Phase 1 Dec-2023 & March-2024 278 CPSU September-2024 1000 Hybrid RUMSL December-2025 441 Omkareshwar Phase 2 September-2025 300 SECI 650 MW RE RTC December-2025 800 Morena - Solar March-2026 600

12. Storage Projects (MWh) Name Month 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 SECI 650 MW RE RTC December-2025 - - 800 Morena RUMSL March-2026 - - 1500 PSP – 500 MW December-2029 3000

13. DRE(MW) Name 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 KUSUM-A (500 MW) 3 200 150 100 47 KUSUM-C (1250 MW) - 8 350 400 492 Source Capacity upto FY 2024-25 (MW) Generation MUs CUF/PLF Rooftop WZ 129.20 165.05 15% CZ 106.79 136.43 15% EZ 70.37 89.90 15% Wind 510.65 719.92 16% MSW - - - Biomass 9.50 10.31 12% Hydel 23.55 33.64 16% Solar 41.87 74.66 21%   Generation for FY 2024-25 1,229.90  

14. RPO Assessment 2

15. As per Ministry of Power Revised Target dated 20 th October 2023 Year Wind Hydro Other Total Target (MUs) Achievement (MUs) Capacity Required (MW) Target (MUs) Achievement (MUs) Capacity Required (MW) Target (MUs) Achievement (MUs) Capacity Required (MW) Target (MUs) Achievement (MUs) Capacity Required (MW) Solar @28% Wind @38% Hydro @48% 2024-25 654 223 130 371 775 - 26,711 29,065 - 27,736 30,063 - - - 2025-26 1,509 1,145 109 1,269 984 68 29,380 31,300 - 32,158 33,429 - - - 2026-27 2,204 5,128 - 1,499 1,301 47 33,492 34,284 - 37,194 40,713 - - - 2027-28 2,929 5,128 - 1,698 1,301 94 37,831 34,284 1,446 42,459 40,713 712 524 415 2028-29 3,770 5,128 - 1,815 1,301 122 42,303 34,284 3,270 47,888 40,713 2,925 2,156 1,706 2029-30 4,754 5,128 - 1,817 1,301 123 46,474 34,284 4,970 53,045 40,713 5,028 3,705 2,933

16. As per MPERC WIND FY RPO Targets % - Wind Wind Energy Required - MUs Wind Energy Available - Assessed MUs Achievement % Target Achieved % Surplus/Deficit - MUs Utilization of Hydro Resulting Achievement Achievement after credit to hydro & other RPO Capacity Required (MW) 2022-23 0.81% 694 363 0.42% 52.30% -331 - 52% 52.3% 99 2023-24 1.60% 1,439 1,272 1.41% 88.38% -167 - 88% 88.4% 50 2024-25 2.46% 2,403 3,986 4.08% 165.91% 1,583 - 166% 100.0% - 2025-26 3.36% 3,496 4,759 4.57% 136.14% 1,263 - 136% 100.0% - 2026-27 4.29% 4,799 8,742 7.82% 182.18% 3,944 - 182% 100.0% - 2027-28 5.23% 6,253 8,742 7.31% 139.80% 2,489 - 140% 100.0% - 2028-29 6.16% 7,873 8,742 6.84% 111.05% 870 - 111% 100% - 2029-30 6.94% 9,481 8,742 6.40% 92.21% -738 - 92% 92% 222 HYDRO FY RPO Targets % - HPO Hydro Energy Required - MUs Hydro Energy Available - Assessed MUs Achievement % Target Achieved % Surplus/Deficit - MUs Utilization of Wind Resulting Achievement Achievement after credit to Wind & other RPO Capacity Required (MW) 2022-23 0.35% 300 113 0.13% 37.82% -186 - 38% 38% 44 2023-24 0.66% 594 148 0.16% 24.99% -445 - 25% 25% 106 2024-25 1.08% 1,055 973 1.00% 92.27% -82 82 100% 100% - 2025-26 1.48% 1,540 1,183 1.14% 76.81% -357 357 100% 100% - 2026-27 1.80% 2,014 1,500 1.34% 74.48% -514 514 100% 100% - 2027-28 2.15% 2,571 1,500 1.25% 58.34% -1,071 1,071 100% 100% - 2028-29 2.51% 3,208 1,500 1.17% 46.75% -1,708 870 74% 74% 199 2029-30 2.82% 3,852 1,500 1.10% 38.93% -2,353 - 39% 39% 560 OTHER FY RPO Targets % - Other RPO Renewable Energy Required - MUs Renewable Energy Available - Assessed MUs Achievement % Target Achieved % Surplus/Deficit MUs Utilization of Wind & Hydro Resulting Achievement   Capacity Required (MW) 2022-23 23.44% 20,087 19,724 23.02% 98.19% -363 - 98.19%   148 2023-24 25.13% 22,604 18,090 20.11% 80.03% -4,514 - 80.03%   1,840 2024-25 25.63% 25,031 24,327 24.91% 97.19% -704 1,502 103.19%   - 2025-26 26.13% 27,185 27,482 26.42% 101.09% 297 906 104.43%   - 2026-27 26.63% 29,789 31,386 28.06% 105.36% 1,597 3,430 116.87%   - 2027-28 27.13% 32,439 32,377 27.08% 99.81% -62 1,418 104.18%   - 2028-29 27.63% 35,312 32,377 25.33% 91.69% -2,935 - 91.69%   1,197 2029-30 28.13% 38,428 32,377 23.70% 84.25% -6,051 - 84.25%   2,467

17. Storage S. No Particulars 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 1 Energy Requirements (MUs) - Till FY 2026-27 as per MYT and from FY 2028 to 30 extrapolated at same growth. Energy requirements is updated with yearly ARR 104,036 111,863 119,568 127,805 136,609 2 Targets % - Storage 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3 Renewable Energy Required - MUs 1,040 1,678 2,391 3,195 4,098 4 Storage Capacity Available - MUs 36 692 692 692 938 5 Achievement % 0.03% 0.62% 0.58% 0.54% 0.69% 6 Target Achieved % 3% 41% 29% 22% 23% 7 Surplus/Deficit - MUs (1,004) (986) (1,700) (2,504) (3,160) 8 Storage Capacity Required MW - 3 Hours & 1 Cycle (BESS) 917 901 1,552 2,286 2,886 9 Storage Capacity Required MW - 6 Hours & 1 Cycle (PSP) - 365 Days 459 450 776 1,143 1,443 10 Storage Capacity Required MW - 6 Hours & 1 Cycle (PSP) - 6 Months 917 901 1,552 2,286 2,886

18. DRE S. No Particulars 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 2029-30 1 Energy Requirements (MUs) - Till FY 2026-27 as per MYT and from FY 2028 to 30 extrapolated at same growth. Energy requirements is updated with yearly ARR 97,663 104,036 111,863 119,568 127,805 136,609 2 RPO Targets % - Other RPO 1.50% 2.10% 2.70% 3.30% 3.90% 4.50% 3 Renewable Energy Required - MUs 1,465 2,185 3,020 3,946 4,984 6,147 4 Renewable Energy Available - Assessed MUs 1,635 2,557 3,477 4,468 4,468 4,468 5 Achievement % 1.67% 2.46% 3.11% 3.74% 3.50% 3.27% 6 Target Achieved % 112% 117% 115% 113% 90% 73% 7 Surplus/Deficit - MUs 170 372 457 523 (516) (1,679) 7 Additional Capacity Required @28% CUF - MW - - - - 210 684

19. Thanks