Swing Trading
Swing trading is a trading strategy
that involves holding stocks for a
short period, typically a few days to
a few weeks, to profit from short-
term price swings.
In the Indian market, stocks usually
rise by 25-40% before either moving
sideways or falling back to their
base level.
The goal is to avoid
dead time and keep on
turning your edge as
much as possible.
Consolidation phase = Dead time
Time is money
“In a bull market you may run out of money but never
opportunities”
Timing is everything in stock trading
Scanners i use to shortlist stocks
1) Monthly 20% gainers
2) 3-monthly 30% gainers
3) Stocks within a 25% range of 52-week
high
4) IPOs ( I add them manually)
VCP = Volatility Contraction PatternMarkminervini
Foundation of supply & demand Action & Reaction
Always trade in the direction of domination
Both cases have different results.
Don't buy anything blindly just because it is forming
VCP. Context matters a lot in trading.
1) Big base
2) Continuation base
3) Flags/Character change
4) EP
5) Pullback Setup
6) IPOs
7) Shakeouts
Setups/Patterns I trade
Pullback Setup
When a stock's price shoots up
quickly, it often "takes a break" or
drops a bit, called a pullback.
Why pullback happen in the stock?
After a big price jump, some
investors sell to keep their profits,
which pushes the price down.
New buyers might think the stock is
too expensive now and wait for a
cheaper price.
Conditions:1) Strong prior uptrend required.
2) Stock should be in a stage-2 uptrend.
3) Pullback should be in an orderly manner. It should be a
hard pullback.
4) Pullback should be within 12-20% range from the high.
5) Strong stocks respect 10,20 ema beautifully. So, plan your
entry near 10,20 ema.
6) Volume should have to contract during pullback ( Shows
selling is getting absorbed)
7) Entry- Place order above the mother candle high.
8) Stoploss- Previous day low.
1) Strong prior uptrend required.
3) Pullback should be in an orderly manner. It should
be a hard pullback. Orderly pullbackA gradual, controlled
decline in a stock's price
after a big rise.
The price drops slowly
over days or weeks,
often in small, steady
steps.
Hard pullback
A sharp, rapid drop in a stock's
price after a strong move up.
The price falls quickly,
sometimes in a single day or a
few days, with big swings.
Hard pullback
=
More selling pressure
=
More supply
=
More time is required to absorb the supply.
Examples:
Trail sl to breakeven after 2R move in your
direction“Winning Horses Don't Come back to the gates"
-Dan Zanger
Trade management
Bull Market Bear Market
Book 1/3 at 4R
Trail rest 1/3 with 10 EMA
Trail rest 1/3 with 20 EMA
Book 1/2 at 4R
Trail rest half with 10 EMA
How to trail in normal conditions?
Condition 1:
Closing below 10ema
Condition 2:
Exit on breach of that closed candle’s low
Agressive profit booking
R-multiple of June-2023
Total trades = 17
Winners = 8
Losers = 9
Accuracy = 47%
Total R of winners = 58.45R
Total R lost on losers = -8.1R
Final R = 50.35R
Avg % risk per trade = 0.8%
Total Profit = 50.35R X 0.8%
= 40.28%