08
On this Narak Chaturdashi, may every shadow
fade and your life shine with the light of courage,
health, and joy.
Dr
JAGDEESH CHANDRA, CMD & Editor-in-Chief
THOUGHT OF THE DAY
Postal Reg No. JPC/006/2025-27Jaipur, Sunday | October 19, 2025 ZZZ?UVWLQGLDFRLQ?UVWLQGLDFRLQHSDSHUVMDLSXUWKH?UVWLQGLDWKH?UVWLQGLDWKH?UVWLQGLD
If Rahul Gandhi and
Tejashwi Yadav fail to
reach an agreement on
ticket distribution, could
Bihar witness a repeat of
Haryana or Delhi?
Dr Jagdeesh Chandra:
Of course, if there?s no
agreement on ticket distri-
bution, it could lead to
chaos. So far, no consen-
sus has been reached. No
one knows where Rahul
Gandhi is ? he seems to
be waiting in Patna while
KC Venugopal is saying
something else. In fact, he
narrowly escaped being
attacked at Patna airport.
Krishna, who is in charge
there, appears to be in an
entirely different world.
Everyone within Con-
gress stationed in Bihar is
disheartened. Ashok Ge-
hlot is confused about
why he even came. Other
leaders and in-charges are
clueless about how to
handle the situation. Bhu-
pesh Baghel seems equal-
ly lost.
At present, situation is
completely uncertain. The
only faint ray of hope is
that neither Congress nor
RJD has announced a sin-
gle candidate yet. That?s
the only thin thread of pos-
sibility left, a 24-hour win-
dow to find a compromise.
If they fail, both parties
will face certain political
death. Frankly, whether
they come together or not,
a repeat of Delhi and Har-
yana is inevitable.
Is Cong hesitant to de-
clare Tejashwi as CM face
due to his image crisis?
That?s a feeling held by
some within Congress.
There are two groups, one
led by idealists like Ajay
Maken and Rahul Gandhi,
who emphasise ethics, in-
tegrity, and values. The
other consists of grass-
roots leaders like Ashok
Gehlot, who often feel
subdued in front of central
leadership. Now, every-
thing depends on the next
24 hours. Ticket distribu-
tion will reveal whether
Tejashwi is being project-
ed as CM face or not. Con-
gress has been cautioned
that declaring Tejashwi
could be a major political
risk and liability due to
chargesheet filed against
him in a Delhi court. If he
is declared CM candidate,
battle will be Nitish versus
Tejashwi, one perceived as
honest, other tainted by
corruption allegations.
The party fears that might
harm them. But such as-
sumptions are misplaced.
In Bihar?s politics, people
hardly care about
chargesheets, they have
seen Lalu Yadav facing
cases for 20 years and still
returning to power. So, the
Congress is caught in a
dilemma, to declare or not
to declare. If they don?t,
it?s practically over for
them. Without projecting
him, alliance loses seri-
ousness. At present, Con-
gress and RJD are already
behind, while JD(U) is
leading. Together they
might reach around 130
seats, but the real test is
political coherence. The
only hope for Congress-
RJD lies in striking an
agreement and declaring
Tejashwi as their CM
face. It?s a 50-50 situation
now, the next 24 hours
will be decisive.
How do you see the im-
pact of internal disputes
within Lalu Yadav?s fami-
ly on the elections?
Not much. The people of
Bihar are used to the inter-
nal dramas of the Lalu
family, their quarrels, and
occasional scuffles. Even
when Tej Pratap advises
his younger brother to act
like Ram and uphold dhar-
ma, it?s seen as part of the
family?s regular theatrics.
During Tejashwi?s nomi-
nation, entire Yadav fami-
ly was present, along with
Sanjay Yadav, who acts as
an extra-constitutional au-
thority in the household.
The daughter who donated
a kidney to Lalu, now liv-
ing abroad, also wants
tickets for a few of her as-
sociates. But just as Rahul
calls the shots in Congress,
Tejashwi rules his family.
He doesn?t listen to any-
one. It?s a disappointed
family, yes, but this won?t
significantly impact poll
outcome.
Do you think Nitish Ku-
mar?s women-focused ini-
tiatives have now shifted
towards Narendra Modi?
Yes, absolutely. Modi has
emerged as a national hero
for women across India.
Consider this ? 1.21
crore women and millions
more have benefited from
welfare schemes that
could not have been im-
plemented without the fi-
nancial backing of the
central government. Nit-
ish Kumar couldn?t have
funded these from the
state exchequer alone. It?s
Narendra Modi?s stature
that he didn?t take sole
credit but stood beside Ni-
tish while distributing
cheques to 75 lakh wom-
en. Across India, Modi
continues to rise ? even
at 75, there?s no sign of
decline, neither physically
nor in popularity. The
?women card? has effec-
tively shifted from Nitish
to Narendra Modi.
With both alliances
promising populist
schemes, what is likely
state of Bihar?s economy?
Bihar?s economy is already
in tears. The total budget is
Rs 3.25 lakh crore, of
which 33% goes to salaries
and pensions. The new
women?s scheme will con-
sume another 33%. Around
Rs 5,000 crore is already
allocated to free electricity
promises, 125 units per
household, which adds up
to Rs 9,000 crore more.
Add pensions and subsi-
dies, and you?ll see how
fragile finances are. But in
polls, politics trumps eco-
nomics, winning votes is
the priority. The only sav-
ing grace is that Modi?s
government at the Centre is
financially strong and can
support the states. If the
BJP fulfills its promises,
Bihar might just manage.
Otherwise, the economy
will be in a very bad shape.
If the NDA fails to se-
cure a majority, could Bi-
har see a Maharashtra-
style political scenario?
Unlikely. Nitish cannot be
another Eknath Shinde,
neither by age nor tem-
perament. Bihar lacks the
conditions that made Ma-
harashtra?s episode pos-
sible. There?s no Ajit Pa-
war, no Sharad Pawar,
and no Fadnavis-type fac-
tor here. Such moves hap-
pen only when one is des-
perate to form a govern-
ment, in Bihar, a govern-
ment will form regardless.
However, politics is un-
predictable. If Nitish wins
50 seats and 25 MLAs
defect, creating a new
?Shinde,? that?s another
story. It?s not impossible,
but chances are very low
at this stage.
What are the key issues
on which BJP, JDU, RJD,
and Cong are contesting
on? Is there a similarities?
The similarity is that all
sides are pushing populist
agendas. The BJP prom-
ises jobs for one crore peo-
ple in five years, women?s
empowerment, 35% res-
ervation for women, and
125 units of free electric-
ity. Congress focuses
mainly on caste and reser-
vation, even proposing to
break 50% ceiling. Over-
all, both camps are relying
on welfare schemes and
emotional appeal rather
than economic realism.
Will GST rate cuts an-
nounced by PM Modi in-
fluence voters in Bihar?
Absolutely, 100%. Bihar
may be caste-oriented, but
merit and economic relief
also matter. The Rs 2.5
lakh crore GST relief has
brought down rates from
12% to 5% on essential
items. This affects nearly
every household. Even
saving Rs 100 means
something to people here.
It creates a ?feel-good fac-
tor.? When everyday ex-
penses reduce, say, travel
from Rs 300 to Rs 200,
people feel direct relief.
That sentiment will defi-
nitely translate into votes.
How do you assess PK
(Prashant Kishor) factor,
and who stands to lose
more from his entry?
PK is a mystery, a mirage,
a googly. Whenever peo-
ple outside Bihar discuss
the elections, the first
question they ask is, ?What
about PK?? The curiosity
around him is enormous. If
curiosity could turn into
votes, he?d be CM already.
But in reality, PK lacks an
organisational structure,
financial strength, and
grassroots network. More
importantly, he?s not con-
testing himself, a major
negative move. His candi-
dates (around 116) will
have to win on their own
merit, though the credit
will go to PK. He?s fielded
31 Muslims, which will
primarily hurt RJD and
Congress by splitting anti-
BJP votes, especially in
Muslim-dominated areas.
Overall, he might win 5?8
seats at best. Buzz around
him is far greater than his
actual impact, but he re-
mains a subject of national
curiosity.
Why did PK decide not
to contest at last moment?
Mainly because he wants
to focus entirely on cam-
paigning and managing
the field. His supporters
are disappointed, believ-
ing he should have con-
tested. Stepping back
makes it seem like half the
battle is lost. Contesting
gives a leader political
empowerment and legiti-
macy. By not running, PK
appears more as an advi-
sor than an active player.
May be he wants to focus
on building his base, not
rush for power. If the situ-
ation favours him, he can
return later. That?s his
strategy, cautious, calcu-
lated, and long-term.
Don?t you think that be-
cause of his over-ambition,
PK may eventually face
same fate as Kejriwal?
That seems a bit too harsh,
and I sincerely hope not.
Kejriwal?s fate has been
unfortunate; he ended up
in jail. PK?s situation isn?t
like that, although yes, he
does have ambition and
aspires to emerge as an al-
ternative to Congress.
Many people in history
have destroyed their own
prospects by trying to be-
come an alternative to
someone else, something
either impossible or not
destined for them. PK too
wants to be seen as a Con-
gress alternative, just like
Kejriwal. But if PK main-
tains his integrity and val-
ue system, he will not face
such a tragic outcome. If
destiny does have a ?Kejri-
wal-like? phase in store for
him, it will take another
two or three years to un-
fold. As of now, it is too
early to say. Let?s wish
him best, that he doesn?t
become another Kejriwal.
PK had said where RJD
already has Muslim can-
didate, he wouldn?t field
one. Reports say he broke
his promise. Why did this
happen? Where will Mus-
lim votes go in this poll?
There are two sides to this.
PK claims he did not break
his word. He says he told
Tejashwi to inform him by
the 9th, before he an-
nounced his list, about how
many Muslim candidates
the RJD would field. He
waited, but there was no
response. PK had publicly
said he would declare his
list on the 9th. Since no
update came from RJD, he
went ahead and announced
his list, which included 31
Muslims out of 116. He
still has more seats to fill,
so even more Muslim
names might appear later.
So the point, who will this
hurt the most? Clearly, the
RJD and Congress. Their
votes, particularly the anti-
BJP vote and the Muslim
vote, will be split. PK?s
move will divide opposi-
tion votes and divert a por-
tion of Muslim support
base. Meanwhile, RJD and
Congress are still strug-
gling to even finalise their
own seats. Rahul Gandhi
hasn?t been able to reach
any concrete understand-
ing with Tejashwi yet,
they?re simply out of time.
So yes, promise broke, but
that?s how it happened.
Why did Prashant
Kishor ultimately have to
bow to caste equations in
ticket distribution?
That?s both the truth and
the tragedy of life. PK
wanted to contest on ide-
als, inflation, employment,
development, national
unity, and communal har-
mony. Yet ultimately, even
he had to bow before caste
card. This is the biggest
truth of 21st-century Indi-
an politics, that even an
educated, value-driven
man like PK cannot escape
caste. In Bihar, his compul-
sion is greater than it might
be elsewhere because caste
equations dominate every
level of political calcula-
tion. In other states, the
caste factor may not be as
overpowering. But in Bi-
har, it dictates everything.
So yes, it is true that even
someone like PK, who
speaks of principles and
reform, now stands hum-
bled before the caste card.
Do you think Chirag
Paswan has now emerged
as a Dalit hero in Bihar?
Absolutely. He was al-
ready seen as one, and that
image has only grown
stronger. He now com-
mands about 5 to 5.5 per-
cent of vote share. The way
he has positioned himself
since recent weeks, even if
some of it was stage-man-
aged, has worked in his
favour. All those dramatic
reconciliations, being per-
suaded, then refusing, then
agreeing again, have
boosted his appeal. Even a
momentary act of resist-
ance has added to his mar-
ket value. I expect Chirag
to perform better in this
election. His party is likely
to do well, which will fur-
ther solidify his base as a
Dalit leader. So yes, you
can safely say that Chirag
continues to be the hero of
the Dalits in Bihar.
Some NDA allies report-
edly expressed dissatisfac-
tion over Chirag being giv-
en 29 seats. Do you think
alliance partners will even-
tually unite again?
Yes, absolutely & they al-
ready have. You must have
seen how every partner
released identical state-
ments, as if typed by same
person. It almost looked
coordinated, one com-
mand, one message: ?Say
this in national interest.?
And everyone did. They
all reaffirmed their faith in
NDA, in leadership, in
agenda of national devp.
So everything is fine now.
Delhi leadership often
gives them a long rope,
lets them vent a bit, but
eventually, everyone re-
turns to the fold.
Last time, Chirag
couldn?t stop Nitish. Do
you think he can stop
him this time?
No, this time the story is
completely different. It?s
no longer in Chirag?s
hands. The story now lies
with Amit Shah and Naren-
dra Modi. Chirag?s role is
limited to number of seats
he wins. Last time, around
30 seats were mentioned,
but you can?t directly com-
pare LS and Assembly re-
sults. Even if he wins 10,
15, or 20 seats, those victo-
ries are entirely at the BJP?s
disposal. He doesn?t really
hold the power to harm
anyone now. His command
lies in hands of Amit Shah.
Whatever seats he wins, he
will ultimately offer them
to the BJP. If they need
him, they?ll engage; if not,
he?ll continue as a Union
minister, a young man with
a long political future
ahead. There?s no urgency
for him to chase CM?s post
now. Nitish will remain
where he is; his position is
secure. It does appear that
Nitish may not become
CM again, but if, that hap-
pens, the decision will be
made by Modi and Shah,
not Chirag. His role re-
mains limited.
Amit Shah recently said
Bihar will celebrate Diwa-
li four times this year.
What did he mean?
He said it in a spirit of en-
thusiasm, much like PM?s
earlier remark about ?two
Diwalis.? The first, as the
PM said, was ?GST Di-
wali,? when tax cuts were
announced before Navratri.
The second would be when
NDA wins, around 160
seats. Shah elaborated on
that idea. He said first Di-
wali was the one for Ram
Temple in Ayodhya, a mo-
ment celebrated across In-
dia. The second was when
PM Modi transferred funds
to 75 lakh women in Bihar.
The third was the happi-
ness from GST relief. And
the fourth, will come when
the NDA wins 160 seats in
Bihar. So yes ? let?s hope
and extend our good wish-
es to this spirit of optimism.
During the show
#JConBiharElection2025
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Dr
JAGDEESH CHANDRA, CMD & Editor-in-Chief
THOUGHT OF THE DAY
3RVWDO5HJ1R-3&
Jaipur, Saturday | October 18, 2025
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The JC Show?s head-
line this week is ?Will the
Saffron Flag Fly Over
Patna This Time?? What
is the meaning behind it?
Dr Jagdeesh Chandra:
This message is very
clear: Bihar is now firmly
in the lap of Narendra
Modi and Amit Shah. Ra-
hul Gandhi, Tejashwi Ya-
dav, and Prashant Kishor
are irrelevant in this con-
text. There was some cu-
riosity regarding Prashant
Kishor?people thought
he understood the func-
tioning and strategy of
Modi and Shah in depth,
and might bring some-
thing new or big, but even
he has failed before Nar-
endra Modi. None of
them had imagined that
Modi and Shah would di-
vide the electorate into
several groups, make
them leaders of their re-
spective beneficiary clus-
ters, and transfer such
huge sums of money
through government
schemes just before the
elections. Imagine what it
meant for a woman to re-
ceive Rs 10,000 in her
account right before
Chhath, it was truly a mo-
ment of ?Amrit Kaal? for
her. Families seeing Rs
10,000 credited forgot
everything else. Narendra
Modi will break the myth
that no government in
Patna can be formed
without Nitish Kumar.
Mark my words?on the
14th, BJP will emerge as
the single largest party.
Along with JDU, it will
form the government, and
it will have its own CM.
By the 17th or 18th, you
will see the saffron flag
flying over Patna.
Despite the NDA not
declaring a Chief Minis-
terial candidate, Nitish
Kumar ?s party continues
to project him as CM dur-
ing the campaign. Isn?t
that a contradiction? And
what message does the
equal seat-sharing of
101?101 between BJP &
JDU convey?
Yes, it is a contradiction,
but a bitter one that BJP
is tolerating. Today, there
are hoardings in Patna
proclaiming ?Nitish Ku-
mar ?s leadership from
2025 to 2030.? They
have declared him Chief
Minister for that period.
This is about belief?and
no one controls belief.
Delhi?s control over Nit-
ish Kumar is anyway
limited. As of now, BJP
is tolerating this, but cer-
tainly has reservations in
its mind. That is why he
has not been projected as
Chief Minister. Amit
Shah, in his last inter-
view with India Today,
had said that elections
would be fought under
Modi?s leadership, but
the Chief Minister ?s de-
cision would be taken
later. Amid all these con-
tradictions and political
compulsions, Nitish Ku-
mar is content seeing his
workers raise slogans
like ?The next Chief
Minister should be like
Nitish Kumar.? Let them
remain happy, at least till
the 14th.
Secondly, the message
is clear?BJP is going to
have its own Chief Minis-
ter in Patna on the 14th.
No ?elder brother, young-
er brother ? concept any-
more. They have aptly
termed this new equation
?First Party & First Unity.?
The BJP and PMO media
teams have crafted the
narrative skillfully , no
one is superior, both stand
equal for the first time.
The psychological domi-
nance Nitish Kumar once
held has been neutralized
in one stroke, placing both
on equal footing. The
message is clear: BJP will
stake its claim for the
Chief Minister ?s post.
When the ticket distri-
bution decided in Delhi
reached Patna, reports
suggest Nitish Kumar was
angry and asked his team
how they accepted that
formula. Did you also
hear about this?
Yes, I heard it and it is
true. People often say
Nitish Kumar remains in
a semi-conscious state,
but that is a myth, a mys-
tery. Those close to him
say his ?antenna? switch-
es on and off and when
news of ticket distribu-
tion came, it was ?fully
on? that day. Two JDU
Dalit MLAs, Kaushal
Kishore and Ratnesh,
whose tickets were cut
and given to Chirag Pas-
wan?s candidates, met
Nitish Kumar in distress.
Already upset with the
system, they informed
him about their ticket de-
nial. Nitish, mentally
alert that day, grew furi-
ous and the next day re-
placed five candidates
earlier allotted to Chirag
with his own party nom-
inees. The incident was
real, Nitish Kumar was
clearly upset. Sanjay Jha
later claimed all was well
and Nitish remained the
NDA?s united face, a
statement meant to paci-
fy. The matter was brief-
ly settled, but Nitish?s
anger that day was un-
mistakably real.
What is the real story
behind giving 29 seats to
Chirag Paswan? It is be-
ing said that BJP is effec-
tively contesting not 101
but 142 seats. What does
that mean?
This is not just a story?it
shows Narendra Modi?s
deep understanding of
public sentiment. His
grasp of the people?s pulse
and ground realities is un-
matched. While others
focus on strategy, Modi?s
personal assessment is al-
ways a class apart. From
the start, he believed Chi-
rag Paswan is a compul-
sory component of the
government. For the NDA
to win decisively with a
sweeping majority, no gap
should be left, and Chirag,
both compulsory and pop-
ular, fits that role. In the
last Lok Sabha election,
he had a 100% strike rate,
winning all five seats.
That impressed the PM,
who has a soft corner for
Chirag. I heard Modi said,
?Do whatever you must?
make it 29 or 19?but
Chirag should not leave
the alliance.? Last time,
opposing Nitish cost him
30?35 seats. Though Chi-
rag contested 135 seats
and won none then, his
Lok Sabha success?five
wins?impacted around
30 assembly constituen-
cies, showing his contin-
ued influence. Politically,
the top leadership chose to
accommodate him, know-
ing he has nowhere else to
go. BJP is effectively con-
testing 142 seats?101
directly, 29 via Chirag,
and about 12 through
Manjhi and Kushwaha.
This showcases BJP?s po-
litical arithmetic, a mas-
terstroke by Amit Shah
and JP Nadda: 101 direct,
142 by proxy.
Political observers say
Nitish Kumar ?s farewell
time has come. Do you
agree? And if so, what
should be the tone of that
farewell?
Every leader, especially
every Chief Minister, has
a time to bid farewell.
Whether it was Jyoti Basu
or Naveen Patnaik, all had
their moment when their
innings ended. It appears
Nitish Kumar ?s time for
farewell has now arrived.
His exit could happen in
two ways?either the
public will send him off
by giving him very few
seats (perhaps around 40),
or even if the alliance
wins, BJP will bid him
farewell after the election.
That is the perception. De-
parture is a part of life.
After twenty years in
power, Nitish Kumar
should now choose the
path of dignity?some-
thing like a ?Vanaprastha
Ashram.? He has ruled
with grace and should
take pride in that legacy.
But the attachment to
power is hard to let go.
You are right in saying
that his farewell song
needs to be written care-
fully. Our assessment is
that there will be a new
Chief Minister in Patna?
a BJP Chief Minister,
someone other than Nitish
Kumar. But it won?t be
easy. History shows that
whenever his chair has
been in danger, Nitish Ku-
mar has found a way to
retain it. He has switched
sides four times to save his
position. So, even now,
something must be going
on in his mind to prevent
losing power. All visible
indications point toward
his exit, yet his track re-
cord suggests otherwise.
Given his background and
his unrelenting efforts to
stay in power, it cannot be
said with certainty that he
will leave easily. Let us
wait for the 14th to see
how the story unfolds.
Will Nitish Kumar ?s
poor governance and de-
teriorating law and order
over the past two years
make him a liability for
the NDA in this election?
To some extent, yes, but
not significantly. This
election is being fought
under Narendra Modi?s
leadership. Modi?s appeal
in Bihar far exceeds Nitish
Kumar ?s. As for law and
order, people are not deep-
ly affected. While national
media recently portrayed
Bihar as the ?murder cap-
ital? and suggested a re-
turn of the ?Jungle Raj,?
the reality is different. The
recent murders were not
organised crimes like dur-
ing Lalu?s time, they were
individual incidents aris-
ing from property dis-
putes, domestic conflicts,
or relationship issues.
These were crimes of pas-
sion, not systemic crimi-
nality. Moreover, voters
are asking?if not Nitish,
then who? Will they bring
back Lalu or Tejashwi Ya-
dav, who carry the bag-
gage of Jungle Raj? The
choice before them is
poor. So, even if govern-
ance or law and order has
declined slightly, it will
not hurt Nitish Kumar
much because the alterna-
tive is not convincing.
Political observers be-
lieve that if BJP fails to
make Nitish Kumar Chief
Minister due to political
constraints, Congress and
RJD may extend outside
support to him to help
him retain power. Do you
see that possibility?
Absolutely. It has hap-
pened before and may
happen again. Narendra
Modi and Amit Shah are
well aware of this. BJP?s
policymakers recognize
that possibility too. In
fact, if Nitish Kumar were
given a choice today be-
tween BJP and Tejashwi
Yadav, he would surpris-
ingly choose Tejashwi.
He does not want BJP?s
Chief Minister to be
formed. His instinctive
inclination is towards
Tejashwi, and RJD still
holds a sense of sympathy
for him. Apart from
Kushwaha, Manjhi, and
others, RJD?s campaign is
not strongly anti-Nitish?
it is primarily anti-BJP.
They are trying to evoke
local sentiment by saying
that ?outsiders from Gu-
jarat are running the elec-
tion.? Essentially, their
attacks are aimed at BJP,
not Nitish. So yes, this
possibility exists in Nit-
ish?s mind. But circum-
stances are different now.
I firmly believe that even
if such a situation arises,
Nitish Kumar will not be
able to execute another
switch. If he tries to leap
from one side to another,
he will get stuck midway.
Amit Shah has made it
clear: ?Enough is
enough.? Political dis-
honesty will not be toler-
ated this time.
Given the current polit-
ical situation in Bihar,
what do you see as the fu-
ture of Nitish Kumar ?s
party, JDU? Since 1995,
no political party in Bihar
has been able to form a
government on its own.
Do you believe that histo-
ry will repeat itself this
time as well?
JDU, for all practical pur-
poses, has been hijacked
by the BJP. As I said ear-
lier, Nitish Kumar is abso-
lutely unaware of how
much of his support base
and loyalists have drifted
away. Among JDU?s leg-
islators, there is a strange
sense of fear?without
even being told, they are
leaning toward the BJP in
Patna. It?s as if they are
just waiting for a call from
the BJP to switch sides.
The JDU?s future de-
pends entirely on the post-
election government. Nit-
ish Kumar ?s return as CM
appears unlikely, though
destiny is unpredictable.
Even if he does regain the
post, it would be by sheer
luck, leading a remotely
controlled party with min-
imal real power, as is al-
ready evident. not hold
real power.
The BJP?s perfor-
mance, on the other hand,
seems likely to be stronger
this time. Gradually, with-
in the next two to two-
and-a-half years, the JDU
could merge with the BJP.
Politically, Amit Shah
may decide that a formal
merger isn?t necessary?
that it?s better to keep the
JDU at a distance but
within their orbit, like
Chirag Paswan?s party.
The JDU may stay nomi-
nally independent, called
upon only when needed,
like a reserve force. Its ex-
istence isn?t immediately
threatened, but the party is
clearly in decline and los-
ing relevance.
Secondly, yes, history
is already repeating it-
self?no party is in a posi-
tion to win 122 seats on its
own this time. Neither the
BJP, nor the JDU, nor the
RJD can secure a simple
majority independently.
Bihar continues to operate
under a multiparty rule.
The era of ?single-party
rule? in Bihar ended with
Lalu Prasad in 1995, and
since then, neither Nitish
Kumar nor any other lead-
er has been able to secure
an absolute majority.
That?s an unchangeable
fact of Bihar politics?
and it?s going to be repeat-
ed once again this time.
Bihar remains the only
Hindi-speaking state
where the BJP has never
been able to form a gov-
ernment entirely on its
own. Why is that the
case?
The first reason is that Ni-
tish Kumar, through a
well-calculated strategy,
prevented any strong Hin-
dutva leader from emerg-
ing by dividing caste
groups and keeping power
fragmented over the past
35 years. The political and
social structure of Patna
and Bihar, in general, has
always been deeply caste-
oriented, with governance
shaped around caste equa-
tions rather than ideology.
The second reason is that
the BJP never had a leader
in Bihar with the same po-
litical acumen and net-
work control as Nitish
Kumar, a true ?wire-pull-
er,? who could dominate
state politics. BJP has al-
ways relied on alliances,
lacking the courage to
contest independently.
With Nitish Kumar ?s
health declining, this year
was a chance, but strate-
gists lacked nerve. They
must have done their cal-
culations and decided that
it wouldn?t work, leading
to yet another round of
coalition politics. It?s also
a fact that there is no
prominent Hindutva face
in Bihar. The BJP has ac-
cepted this reality, even
though at the top level?
within the leadership of
Narendra Modi, Amit
Shah, and JP Nadda?this
question is frequently dis-
cussed: how long will Bi-
har remain the exception
where the BJP doesn?t
have its own Chief Minis-
ter? They have been con-
templating finding a lead-
er who can be groomed
over the next 25 years?
someone they can train
and shape into a strong
future face for Bihar. Ni-
tyanand Rai?s name often
comes up in these discus-
sions. He is considered
close to the leadership,
sincere, mature, and de-
pendable. For instance, he
recently visited Chirag
Paswan?s mother ?s resi-
dence during the family
dispute, which reflects his
interpersonal skills and
political tact. However,
even today, he is not yet
seen as a fully complete
leader capable of taking
on the role of Chief Min-
ister. The BJP is still
searching for a face it can
build and project for the
long term. Over the next
few decades, the party
hopes to nurture such a
leader, someone who can
carry the BJP?s independ-
ent political identity in
Bihar into the future. So,
let?s see how it unfolds.
During the show
#JConBiharElection2025
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The JC Show
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TO BE CONTINUED...
You read Part-I on OCTOBER 18, 2025