20240925 AI and Democracy Session 3.pptx

issip 177 views 58 slides Sep 25, 2024
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About This Presentation

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September 25, 2024 ISSIP_Events_20240925

Title: 20240925 AI and Democracy (Session 3)

Series_Blog_Post
URL: https://issip.org/2024/06/26/issip-launches-event-series-on-ai-impacts-on-global-democracy/

Host: Michele Carroll https://www.linkedin.com/in/mmcarroll/

Session Leaders
Kazuyoshi S...


Slide Content

2024 Series Final Session Sept 25, 2024 8:00 am PST; 0:00 Tokyo; 17:00 CET (5pm Vienna)

Welcome to Session 2 of 3: AI Challenges to Democracy 2 Michele Carroll Executive Director, ISSIP Silicon Valley, USA Dr. Kazuyoshi Shimada Manager of the Office for Diversity & Inclusiveness Japan Science & Technology (JST) Tokyo, Japan Dr. Christine Leitner Sr. Advisor & Co-Founder Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) London, UK / Vienna, AT

AI Challenges to Global Democracy 3 Science bridges. 8:00 am PST (Silicon Valley); 0:00 Tokyo; 17:00 CET (5pm Vienna) Get a bird's eye view of risks and benefits of AI to democracy. Drill down on the positive & the possible enabled by AI Propose for future research and institutional design.

Agenda Session 3: Defining Next Steps (Research, Funding, Development Needed) Science bridges. 8:00-8:04 Welcome (Preliminary) Survey Findings Introduce Moderator/ Leads Michele Carroll , Executive Director ISSIP 8:04-8:10 Moderators: Recap 1st 2 Events Session/ Frame Discussion Kazuyoshi Shimada , JST (Japan) Christine Leitner, CEPA (London/Vienna) 8:10-8:35 Panel Insights (7 min ea) Hiro Hamada - Araya (Japan) Lee Nackman - WinWinDemocracy.org (USA) Paul Timmers - Cerre, Oxford University (EU) 8:35- 8:55 Moderated Discussion Moderators / All 8:55-9:00 Closing Kazu, Christine, Michele Slides and event recording will be emailed to all registered participants.

AI Challenges for Democracy – Survey Findings (preliminary) 5 Science bridges.

AI Challenges for Democracy – Survey Findings (preliminary) 6 Science bridges.

AI Challenges for Democracy – Survey Findings (preliminary) 7 Science bridges.

AI Challenges for Democracy – Survey Findings (preliminary) 8 Science bridges.

Panelists & Moderators – “Defining Next Steps” 9 Hiro Hamada Chief Researcher Araya Dr. Kazuyoshi Shimada Manager of the Office for Diversity & Inclusiveness Japan Science & Technology (JST) Dr. Christine Leitner Sr. Advisor & Co-Founder Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) Lee Nackman Founder Win-Win Democracy Paul Timmers Research Fellow Cerre, Oxford University

Definitions, Context & Recap - by Kazuyoshi Shimada (JST) 10 Science bridges. AI The AI discussed here is envisioned as an information system that automatically generates both verbal and non-verbal data , influencing human cognitive processes . It is on the agenda because it is a powerful artifact that intervene in the exchange of information and cognitive processes—both essential for decision-making in human communities—potentially leading to either positive or negative outcomes. Furthermore, AI services refer to the use of this technology to provide benefits and is composed of a service provider and a service recipient. Democracy Democracy is the fundamental way of human communal life that should pervade society in general. Democracy is not just a way of doing politics . It is rooted in the spirit of which is to treat every individual with dignified value.

AI Service and Democracy in ISSIP 2024 event series 11 Science bridges. ISSIP defines service as the application of a resource (e.g. knowledge, goods, technology) for the benefit of others. As benefits are enjoyed by some, harms may also result. We believe this definition is closely linked to democracy. AI does not have a spirit of democracy. When creating AI and providing services that use it, what considerations are needed to ensure that it respects the dignity of each person ? How service science contributes to ensure democracy in AI services? In this series, we will explore the potential for AI to either promote or undermine democracy, examining perspectives from AI service providers, users, regulators, and scientists.

1 st Session (June 21, 2024) Recap: Panelists & Moderators – “State of Play” 12 Hiro Hamada Chief Researcher Araya Ivar Tallo Director General GovConsult Foundation Kevin Clark President Content Evolution Ryuichi Maruyama Interim COO AI Alignment Network Dr. Kazuyoshi Shimada Manager of the Office for Diversity & Inclusiveness Japan Science & Technology (JST) Dr. Christine Leitner Sr. Advisor & Co-Founder Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) Summary of the past discussions

Recap of First Session Discussion: June 21, 2024 13 Science bridges. A bird's eye view of risks and benefits of AI to democracy. Benefits Risks Current AI Future AI Radically enhanced data gathering and analysis Manipulation of information by bad actors Realizing democracy through new ways “Laying new bricks" Unintended deterioration of the cognitive system as a society Visualization Mystery Shopper Understanding the bill consists of a vast amount of text Drafting legislation considering relevance, context and mutual benefit Collective intelligence for decision making, Broad Listening Plurality, Decentralized society, Funding to the Commons Sentiment analysis, Mediator, Compromiser, support deliberation Totally new way of interaction of people and gov New currency, Voting system, etc. Security an adequacy for cognition Loss of diversity “AI yet to be seen” AI alignment Hallucination Privacy Copyright Polarization Public opinion manipulation Unconscious bias Filter bubble Echo chamber Summary of the past discussions

Discussion Summary (2) “Current State of Play” (June 21st, 2024) 14 Science bridges. Context by region for AI utilization and impact for democracy Pressure from major powers (Estonia, Taiwan, etc.) Depopulation, Natural disaster and lack of capability of local governments (Japan) Constraints of the democratic governance and operations (US, etc.) Summary of the past discussions

Discussion Summary (3) For the second session (P) 15 Science bridges. What are some efforts to develop current benefits and limit risks to maximize the benefits of future AI for our democracy? At the first session, we captured the rough bird’s eye view map of the benefits and risks for of the AI for our democracy, with some examples. The activities we are expecting can be categorized into 4 quadrants: Countermeasures on the risks of present AI. Developments of benefits of present AI for realizing future democracy. Countermeasures on the risks of future AI. Developments of benefits of future AI realizing future democracy. At the second session, we will discuss the major challenges we are going to face when we utilize AI exploring the democratic opportunity throughout the 4 quadrants. The major challenges identified at the second session will direct the third session to discuss the theme of research, development and funding priorities. We also will discuss and propose institutional design of our future society. Summary of the past discussions

2 nd Session (August 21, 2024) Recap: Panelists & Moderators – “The Opportunity & Progress” 16 Dr. Kazuyoshi Shimada Manager of the Office for Diversity & Inclusiveness Japan Science & Technology (JST) Dr. Christine Leitner Sr. Advisor & Co-Founder Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) Giselle Mota Chief of Product Inclusion - ADP Founder of Versd Lee Rainie Director, Imagining the Digital Future Center, Elon University Ignacio Criado Senior Lecturer / Associate Professor (with tenure). Director, ITGesPub Lab Research Group. Universidad Autónoma de Madrid Jeffrey Borek WW Program Director, Open Technology & Supply Chain Security, Office of the CISO at IBM Takayuki Ito Professor, Department of Social Informatics, School of Informatics Kyoto University Summary of the past discussions

Recap of First Session Discussion: June 21, 2024 17 Science bridges. A bird's eye view of risks and benefits of AI to democracy. Benefits Risks Current AI Future AI Radically enhanced data gathering and analysis Manipulation of information by bad actors Realizing democracy through new ways “Laying new bricks" Unintended deterioration of the cognitive system as a society Visualization Mystery Shopper Understanding the bill consists of a vast amount of text Drafting legislation considering relevance, context and mutual benefit Collective intelligence for decision making, Broad Listening Plurality, Decentralized society, Funding to the Commons Sentiment analysis, Mediator, Compromiser, support deliberation Totally new way of interaction of people and gov New currency, Voting system, etc. Security an adequacy for cognition Loss of diversity “AI yet to be seen” AI alignment Hallucination Privacy Copyright Polarization Public opinion manipulation Unconscious bias Filter bubble Echo chamber Summary of the past discussions

Recap of Second Session Discussion: The Opportunity & Progress” August 21, 2024 Challenges we will face when we utilize AI exploring the democratic opportunity “ 18 Science bridges. Benefits Risks Current AI Future AI ”Fear we have” = Potential harms New narrative / New frontier New opportunities for the business New role of the State Bias Lack of Transparency Invasion of privacy Surveillance Deep fakes Manipulation Hallucination Efforts to fill the gap = Challenges Demand driven service innovation Societal response to needs of all Broader & active participation in democracy / voting Representation of historically marginalized people Better Informed Citizenry Exponential Impacts of unethical manipulation All knowledge, data, information suspect Dissolution of democracies Disinformation Do we have the same “ notion of democracy ”?

19 Science bridges. Efforts to fill the gap for the new opportunities and progresses (provisional) Adding a lens of inclusion to see new opportunities Explainability, Transparency, Accessibility, Inclusivity, Affordability, Equity (Language, Ethnicity, etc…) History and context aware design Communicate ideas from different perspectives and languages Nurturing the shared foundation “Freedom is not free” (e.g. Open software development) Transparency in AI Algorithms + Robust legal frameworks Balanced regulation and freedom Bdfl (benevolent dictator for life) + Meritocracy Adaptation of your organization, personalization, individualization Envisioning the new structure of democracy Crowd-scale deliberation supported by AI agent Standard infrastructure that accepts open criticism Education to adopt changes Discussion Summary (2) “The Opportunity & Progress” (August 21st, 2024) “When good scientists publish their work, they talk about the limitations of their work, and they invite further research on the things that they are not yet sure of, or the things that their work didn't legitimately test. I underline the fact that democratic principles and values need to be baked into these systems to serve democracy.” (Lee)

Panelists & Moderators – “Defining Next Steps” 20 Hiro Hamada Chief Researcher Araya Dr. Kazuyoshi Shimada Manager of the Office for Diversity & Inclusiveness Japan Science & Technology (JST) Dr. Christine Leitner Sr. Advisor & Co-Founder Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) Lee Nackman Founder Win-Win Democracy Paul Timmers Research Fellow, Oxford Univ; Professor, KU Leuven

21 Science bridges. Questions and Quotes for the next discussion (provisional) “Freedom without true knowledge is not really freedom.” (Giselle) “What are humans going to continue to contribute to this evolution?” (Lee) “If we keep business as usual, as we see strong problems in capitalism, we will have problems with AI and with the future of our democracies.” (Ignacio) “Can open-source AI equal democracy freedom?” (Jeffrey) “The structure of democracy will change in the future.” (Takayuki) Discussion Summary (3) “The Opportunity & Progress” (August 21st, 2024) Provisional Draft

What can be a new narrative? 22 Science bridges. We are talking about AI services affecting our democracy. Democracy is not just a way of doing politics . It lies in the heart of everyone. It is the spirit that seeks to treat every human being as an individual with inherent dignity. “Inclusiveness” is a key to see new opportunities for AI services. Not only from business perspective but public administrative perspective. How can we ensure inclusiveness in the AI services without… Excessive surveillance? Manipulation of public opinion? Digital divide? Degradation of national security? Weaponization of AI? Freedom is not free . Inclusive infrastructure must be nurtures in our society. “Laying new bricks” while envisioning our “new house”. Research, Development and Funding to the the new AI services = Technology development of AI = Business and policy development of AI services, regulations = Community development.

23 Science bridges. Questions and Quotes for the next discussion (provisional) “Freedom without true knowledge is not really freedom.” (Giselle) “What are humans going to continue to contribute to this evolution?” (Lee) “If we keep business as usual, as we see strong problems in capitalism, we will have problems with AI and with the future of our democracies.” (Ignacio) “Can open-source AI equal democracy freedom?” (Jeffrey) “The structure of democracy will change in the future.” (Takayuki) Discussion Summary (3) “The Opportunity & Progress” (August 21st, 2024)

24 Science bridges. As a result of our discussions, we aim to formulate key questions for the ISSIP and the broader community to guide future research, development, and funding priorities. What key questions do you have? Discussion Point “Defining Next Steps” (September 25th, 2024) Example of the key questions: What factors within the democratic system have hindered the achievement of its ideal state? (e.g. challenges in respecting minority opinions, ensuring deliberation, and fostering tolerance for differing viewpoints.) (2) What past theories have proposed measures to address the factors that hinder the achievement of the ideal state of democratic institutions? (e.g. the Propagated Investment Currency System (PICSY), Dividend Democracy.) (3) Can you identify any measures that remain theoretical but could potentially be realized through emerging technologies like AI or through efforts to establish new rules and communities that bridge the fields of humanities and technology studies?

Remarks on AI and Democracy Lee R. Nackman, Ph.D. [email protected] https://winwindemocracy.org September 25, 2024 Photo credit: Peshkova on iStock.com

Effective AI Regulation Will Fail Commercial stakes are enormous Major companies pursuing AI are Exceedingly wealthy and economically important Will ask to be regulated, but will aim for safe harbors Militaries will not let regulation stop their pursuit of AI Global rivalries will be used to justify (effectively) unregulated AI, e.g., “China is doing it so we have to do it”

A Different Approach AI worsens underlying existing problems Disinformation Concentration of wealth and power Standard of living for workers, including job loss Theft of intellectual property Using policy and regulation to address those underlying problems will also reduce the harmful impacts of AI

Example: Disinformation Digital signing of content Verification of real identity of people who post (US) Change Section 230 to hold platforms liable for posts by unverified people of unsigned content

Research Needs Approaches to reduce existing threats to democracy Enhanced to study the role of AI in those contexts

More Information Thinking About AI: Part VI - Managing the Impact https://winwindemocracy.org/p/2023-05-thinking-about-ai-part-6-managing-impact My Win-Win Democracy Substack, with posts about threats to democracy (US focused) https://winwindemocracy.org

AI & Democracy R&D funding opportunities 25 Sept 2024 Paul Timmers [email protected]

Overview EU and research in AI & democracy EU AI Act EU AI Coordinated Plan Observations Wider context Some specific challenges Global governance Legitimacy of government and authorities AI and ‘law as is’ 44

EU AI Act Market access regulation Risk-based from minimal … limited … high risk … unacceptable General purpose AI Regulatory sandboxes 45

EU AI Coordinated Plan R&D funding in Horizon Europe for AI & democracy (inclusion) Deployment in Digital Europe & Connecting Europe Facility High performance computing for SMEs to use AI And much more announced: AI Factories initiative of supercomputing for AI startups Apply AI Strategy for new industrial uses and better public services European AI Research Council European Democracy Shield 46

Some comments on AI & democracy research C ontext of geopolitics, war, security, populism, planet, ‘tech’ Global AI governance, AI & political theory Research into AI in democratic and institutional context Research democratic legitimacy such as autonomous-AI versus ‘law as is’ 47 G. Malgieri G. Malgieri

Discussion 48

AI Challenges to Global Democracy 49 Science bridges. NEXT: Please complete the brief Survey. White Paper in Q4 Get a bird's eye view of risks and benefits of AI to democracy. Drill down on the positive & the possible enabled by AI Propose for future research and institutional design.

Science bridges. 50 Appendix 50

Our panelists @Session 3 51 Science bridges. Lee Nackman Software and Management Consultant Veteran software executive who combines technical depth with small- and large-team management expertise gained during a career spanning IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, IBM Software Group (WebSphere and Rational), Microsoft, HP, and a start-up. Global technology experience in large enterprises, start-ups, integrations, and fast-growth business situations. Accomplished at product innovation, formulation and execution of product strategy, and building effective, innovative software development teams. Board member for early stage companies. Paul Timmers Research Associate Oxford University, Adjunct Prof European University Cyprus, Visiting Prof KU Leuven, Rijeka Univ, Chair Supervisory Board eGovernance Academy Estonia, CERRE Research Fellow, CEO iivii BV Previously, he was Director at the European Commission/DG CONNECT where has held responsibility for legislation and funding programmes for cybersecurity, eID, digital privacy, digital health, smart cities, and e-government. At the European Commission, he was also a cabinet member of European Commissioner Liikanen. He worked as manager of a software department in a large ICT company and co-founded an ICT start-up. He holds a physics PhD from Radboud University (Nijmegen, NL), MBA from Warwick University (UK), EU fellowship at UNC Chapel Hill (US), and a cybersecurity qualification from Harvard. His main interests are digital policy, geopolitics, and Europe. He frequently publishes and speaks on the interplay of digital developments with sovereignty, cybersecurity, industrial policy, and sectoral policies such as digital health and is regularly advising governments and think tanks.

Our panelists @Session 3 52 Science bridges. Hiro Hamada Senior Researcher, Araya Hiro is a Senior Researcher at Araya. He received his Ph.D in systems neuroscience at Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology (OIST) in 2019. His research interests are cognitive neuroscience, computational neuroscience and phenomenology of consciousness. He is participated in the project as a principal investigator for Goal 9 "Realization of a mentally healthy and dynamic society by increasing peace of mind and vitality by 2050” of the Cabinet Office's Moonshot Research and Development Program.

Our panelists @Session 1 53 Science bridges. Ryuichi Maruyama Interim COO, AI Alignment Network With a Master's degree in engineering, he spent eight years working at a scientific book publisher, followed by three years at a government think tank for science and technology policy, the Center for Research and Development Strategy at the Japan Science and Technology Agency. He is now working as the interim COO of the AI Alignment Network, a non-profit organization whose mission is to create an ecosystem of researchers and practitioners in the field of AI alignment/AI safety in Japan. Hiro Hamada Senior Researcher, Araya Hiro is a Senior Researcher at Araya. He received his Ph.D in systems neuroscience at Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology (OIST) in 2019. His research interests are cognitive neuroscience, computational neuroscience and phenomenology of consciousness. He is participated in the project as a principal investigator for Goal 9 "Realization of a mentally healthy and dynamic society by increasing peace of mind and vitality by 2050” of the Cabinet Office's Moonshot Research and Development Program.

Our panelists @Session 1 54 Science bridges. Ivar Tallo Director General, GovConsult Foundation With over 20 years in e-governance and ICT development in UN, Ukraine, etc., he specializes in driving digital transformation in the public sector. His career is dedicated to enhancing government efficiency, transparency, and service delivery through innovative technology solutions. As the Director General at GovConsult Foundation, he lead a team of passionate individuals committed to advancing e-governance and e-government globally. His work involves spearheading strategic initiatives, promoting operational excellence, and building robust partnerships. Kevin Clark President, Content Evolution Kevin Clark is an author, innovator, federation and community leader, avid alpine skier, and business metaphysics pioneer. Leaders seek out Kevin for his vibrant and forward-looking perspectives, innovative organization frameworks and strategies, voice-of-people insights & research, enduring brand identities and ecosystems, and customer experience and presence design. He is Director emeritus IBM Brand & Values Experience, and the first global brand steward for ThinkPad notebook computers. Kevin led strategy, branding, customer experience, and intellectual property management for IBM Personal Systems Group, including PC Company, Printer Systems Group, and Retail Store Solutions– with a seat on the corporate Market Management Executive Board and the global Market Intelligence Leadership team.

Our Keynote speaker @Session 2 55 Science bridges. Giselle Mota Chief of Product Inclusion at ADP | Creator of NFTY Collective She is an inclusive futurist and innovative thought leader who is passionate about enabling inclusion in emerging technologies and product design. Currently the Chief of Product Inclusion at ADP, she built and leads the practice of inclusion and equity throughout a 200+ product portfolio, ensuring an inclusive, responsible, and ethical methodology in development, design, and delivery cross-functionally. She has been named Top 100 in HR and Future of Work Thought Leader and has formerly served at ADP as Principal Consultant, providing future of work strategy and guidance to client executives and practitioners. Giselle is also the creator of NFTY Collective, which focuses on bringing disability inclusion into web3, XR, and metaverse. She is also the founder of Versd, an inclusive innovation and strategic ventures group. She has also worked with NASA, PwC, and other organizations on inclusion and emerging tech projects.

Our panelists @Session 2 56 Science bridges. Jeffrey Borek WW Program Director, Open Technology & Supply Chain Security, Office of the CISO at IBM Experienced technology executive driving results through technology leadership, ecosystem engagement, and collaborative execution. Excellent cross-functional team skills which develop and drive business strategies. Highly regarded by clients, colleagues, and business partners for software industry knowledge, relationship skills, and the ability to drive ambitious goals in a highly competitive marketplace. International open source keynote speaker. Lee Rainie Director, Imagining the Digital Future Center, Elon University He is the Director of Elon University's Imagining the Digital Future Center, a research initiative focused on the potential future impact of the digital revolution and what may lie ahead. The Center was established in 2000 and renamed with an expanded research agenda in 2024. Its mission is to discover and broadly share a diverse range of opinions, ideas and original research about the likely evolution of digital change, informing important conversations and policy formation. Before that, he was founding Director of Internet and Technology research at the Pew Research Center, a non-profit, non–partisan “fact tank” that studies the social impact of the internet. He founded the Project in 2000. It was described by the American Sociological Association as the “most authoritative source of reliable data on the use and impact of the internet and mobile connectivity” and the ASA awarded him and the Internet Project its award for “excellence in the reporting on social issues award.”

Our panelists @Session 2 57 Science bridges. Ignacio Criado Senior Lecturer / Associate Professor (with tenure). Director, ITGesPub Lab Research Group. Universidad Autónoma de Madrid J. Ignacio Criado is an associate professor at Department of Political Science and International Relations, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Spain. He has been visiting fellow at Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, and postdoctoral visiting scholar at Center for Technology in Government, State University of New York (SUNY at Albany). He is the author or co-author of books, chapters, and articles published in internationally recognized editorials and journals. He has collaborated in training courses and delivered consultancy projects on open government, e-government, and public sector reform. They include Latin American Center for Developing Administration (CLAD), UNESCO, OIJ, Spanish Agency for Policy and Service Quality Evaluation, Google Spain, and serveral other public agencies. Takayuki Ito Professor, Department of Social Informatics, School of Informatics, Kyoto University His main research interests include Multi-Agent Systems, Group Decision Support Systems, Collective Intelligence, Crowd Intelligence, Consensus, Autoamted Negotiation, Computational Mechanism Design, Game Theory, Auction Theory, Intelligent Agents, Distributed Artificial Intelligence, Agent-mediated Electronic Commerce, Information Economics, and Reasoning under Uncertainty. Recent Research Question: "Why People can Make A Consensus?" and "What is Consensus?” He has tried to implement the consensus building AI agent in Afghanistan, where face-to-face consensus building is often risky in a social climate of constant ethnic conflict.

Hosts 58 Science bridges. Michele Carroll, Executive Director, ISSIP Michele has served as ISSIP’s Executive Director since mid 2022 and continues to serve as president of the international marketing company she founded in 1993. Carrollco Marketing Services has guided hundreds of service and technology providers and startups with US market entry and international growth. She has served as president of several institutions committed to learning, growth and innovation, from the International Society of Service Innovation Professionals (ISSIP), to the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) and MDUUC (working for inclusion and social justice). https://www.linkedin.com/in/mmcarroll/ Christine Leitner, Senior Adviser, CEPA Dr. Christine Leitner is a Senior Advisor and co-founder of the Centre for Economics and Public Administration (CEPA) in London where she focuses on public sector innovation programmes. Since 2013, she has been a Senior Policy Advisor at the Austrian Ministry for Digital and Economic Affairs. Before that she headed the Centre for European Public Administration at Danube University, Austria. From 2002 to 2010, she was the Director of the European e-Government Awards, a “lighthouse” project initiated and funded by the European Commission. Previously, she was Senior Lecturer at the European Institute of Public Administration (EIPA) in Maastricht. https://issip.org/christine-leitner/ Kazuyoshi Shimada, Manager, JST He is a manager of Office for Diversity and Inclusiveness in Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST). He has been working on making stories, strategies, and communities throughout communications with scientists and wider stakeholders. He has incorporated stakeholder engagement into the strategy-making and community building initiatives, with the aim of increasing the social value of the JST. Since 2003, he has worked for JST at the Department of Basic Research, Center for Research and Development Strategy, Center for Science Communication, Department for Promotion of Science in Society, and Washington D.C. Office prior to his present position. https://www.linkedin.com/in/kazusmd/