CCXG global forum, September 2024, Manjeet Dhakal

Presentation from the CCXG global forum

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A1: Taking forward calls on energy transition from para. 28
of the global stocktake(GST) decision in the next NDCs
Climate Change Expert Group (CCXG)
Global Forum on the Environment and Climate Change
17-18 Sept 2024
Manjeet Dhakal

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Context –Para 28
Linkage between GST and NDCs
•Paragraph 4(c) of Annex I of Decision 4/CMA.1 emphasisesa direct link to the GST
outcomes, requiring Parties to specify how “How the Party’s preparation of its NDC has
been informed by the outcomes of the global stocktake, in accordance with PA Art 4.9”
NDCs to be aligned with 1.5
o
C
•Expectation that all NDCs are aligned with 1.5
o
C (para 28 chapeau & para 39, 1/CMA.5)
and each NDC must reflect “progression” and “highest possible ambition” (PA Art 4.4)
•NDCs are nationally determined, so implementing paragraph 28 can be consistent with
this principle.
Implementation timeline
•Some global goals in para 28 have a 2030 timeline, thus emphasizing the importance of
strengthened 2030 targets in current NDCs and as part of new NDCs with 2035 targets.

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ex-anteex-postinformation for NDCs and BTRs
ex-ante information for NDCs, as forward-looking targets.
Possible options:
•Integrate the outcomes of GST, including paragraph 28, into a central section of the NDC,
aligning with paragraph 4(c) of the ICTU guidelines.
•Create a dedicated narrative as a separate sub-section within the NDC’s mitigation
component.
ex-post information in BTRs, to track progress towards NDCs
Possible option:
•Report contributions to paragraph 28 in the BTRs using a quantitative approach, focusing
on measurable targets.
•Use a qualitative or combined approach, offering flexibility to describe progress and
actions beyond just numeric values.
Aligning goals/target, and indicators between NDCs and BTRs could help improve
transparency and trackingof global progress towards GST1 outcomes.

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Para 28, in action
Capacity constraints and need for support:
•Countries may struggle to set targets as per para 28 due to resource limitations, financial constraints,
infrastructure challenges.
•Countries may also lack domestic capacity to collect data for monitoring quantitative indicators and
may require capacity building, technology transfer, and financial support.
Tracking progress
•Quantifying contributions under Para 28 enhances transparency and tracking of collective ambition,
however varied approaches by Parties could result in inconsistent reporting, complicating global
progress tracking and data aggregation.
Opportunity for raising ambition and implementation
•The 2027 negotiations to revise ICTU guidance offers an opportunity further clarify directions for
future NDCs, building on experiences and lessons learnt from GST1.
•The first BTRs, due in Dec 2024, may not fully reflect implementation of para 28 due to time
constraints, but BTRs from 2026 onward should report fully on progress in implementing para 28 calls.

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LDC Context –LDC Group Ministerial Declaration
August, 2024, Lilongwe, Malawi
•Stressthat the COP29 outcome must recognize and ensure the full implementation of the first Global
Stocktakeoutcomes, including submission of the new and updated NDCs aligned to 1.5°C by early 2025 and
formulation of NAPs by 2025 and progress in implementation by 2030, with scaled-up support for the LDCs;
•The COP29 outcome must recognize and ensure the full implementation of the GST outcomes.
•The GST outcomes provide essential guidance for revisiting and strengthening the 2030 emissions reductions
targets in current Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), and submitting new NDCs with 2035 targets,
to align with the Paris Agreement’s goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C.
•The next new and updated NDCs should include information on how the different elements of the GST
outcome have been incorporated and aligned to 1.5°C.
•Transitioning away from fossil fuels and tripling renewable energy capacity and doubling energy efficiency
globally by 2030 must be a key focus of GST implementation. This will require scaling up investments in
renewables this decade,and not pursuing technologies or policy decisions that risk locking in the status quo
and producing stranded assets.
•There is an urgent need to phase out fossil fuels subsidies, consistent with addressing concerns around just
transition and energy poverty.
•There must be increased attention on the rapidly and subsidized transfer of technologies to LDCs including for
renewable energy, energy storage, electric transportation, waste management, and low-carbon fuels to meet
urgent energy needs as well as contributing to climate change mitigation goals.
For full 2024 Lilongwe declaration, please check ldc-climate.org

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Snapshot: LDCs enhanced NDCs covering Energy93.33
77.78
64.44
15.56
46.67
64.44
82.22
46.67
24.44
48.89
28.89
35.56
Renewable Energy
Solar
Hydro
Geothermal
Wind
Biofuels and biomass
Energy Efficiency
Waste-to-energy
Off-grid
Clean cooking
Mini grid
Gas
Energy indicators mentioned (% of LDCs)
All enhanced LDCs’ NDCs account for energy with an
overwhelming majority mentioning renewables.
% of LDCs’ updated NDCs with mentions of energy indicators
•Despite special needs and
circumstances, LDCs have
submitted ambitious NDCs,
with many volunteering
additional information for
comprehensive and 1.5°C-
aligned domestic plans.
•LDCs are leading by actions,
actively engage on reporting,
and will require simplified,
equitable and adequate
access to resources.