Dependenct ratio, total fertality rate, prevelance

Official Statistics

1. Indicator Variables Dependency Ratio Total Fertility Rate Prevalence

2. Dependency Ratio A measure of the % of dependent people (not of working age) / number of people of working age (economically active ).

3. Definition “In   economics, geography and demography the dependency ratio is an age-population ratio of those typically not in the labor force (the dependent part) and those typically in the labor force (the productive part). It is used to measure the pressure on productive population .” The dependency ratio relates the number of children (0-14 years old) and older persons (65 years or over) to the working-age population (15-64 years old).

4. Unit and Placement Unit of Measurement Per hundred persons aged 15-64 . Placement in the CSD Indicator Set : Demographics/Population

5. Importance & Data References The dependency Ratio is important because it shows the ratio of economically inactive compared to economically active. Economically active will pay much more income tax, corporation tax, and, to a lesser extent, more sales and VAT taxes . Past , current and projected dependency ratios are calculated for all countries by the Population Division of DESA and appear in the biennial United Nations publication, World Population Prospects.

6. Working D ependency Ratio Country Name 2009 2010 2011 2012 Pakistan 67 66 65 63 United kingdom 51 52 52 53 United states 49 49 49 50 India 55 54 54 53

7. Pakistan Demographic Profile Total population (July 2013) 193,238,868 Age structure Male FEMALE Total % 0-14 33,774,720 31,967,787 34% 15-24 21,560,699 20,223,691 21.6% 25-54 35,272,193 32,587,417 35.1% 55-64 4,767,260 4,832,047 5% 65 and over 3,877,418 4,375,636 4.3% Dependency Ratio Youth D.R. Elderly D.R. Potential support 61.8% 54.7% 7.1% 14.1 Population G.R. Birth rate Death rate TFR 1.52% 23.76% 6.69% 2.96/w Life expectancy Male (at birth) Female(at birth) 66.71 years 64.84 68.66 66-68% 47.9% 49.9%

8. Total Fertility Rate The ratio of live births in an area to the population of that area; expressed per 1000 population per year.  

9. Fertility By Background Characteristics Fertility analysis is of central importance in demographic analysis as births are a vital component of population growth . Fertility level is directly affected by many socioeconomic factors; such as residence, education, and economic status , therefore, it is crucial to study the relationship between these factors and fertility.

10. Definition Total Fertility Rate (TFR), is the sum of the age-specific birth rates (5-year age groups between 10 and 49) for female residents of a specified geographic area (nation, state, county, etc.) during a specified time period (usually a calendar year) multiplied by 5. ( NOTE: This rate estimates the number of children a hypothetical cohort of 1,000 females in the specified population would bear if they all went through their childbearing years experiencing the same age-specific birth rates for a specified time period.)

11. Related parameters Net reproduction rate Total period fertility rate Replacement rates 

12. World historical TFR (1950–2015) UN, medium variant, 2010 Years TFR 1950–1955 4.95 1955–1960 4.89 1960–1965 4.91 1965–1970 4.85 1970–1975 4.45 1975–1980 3.84 1980–1985 3.59 1985–1990 3.39 1990–1995 3.04 1995–2000 2.79 2000–2005 2.62 2005–2010 2.52 2010–2015 2.36

13. World Fact Book RANK COUNTRY (CHILDREN BORN/WOMAN) DATE OF INFORMATION 1 Niger 6.89 2014 est. 63 Pakistan 2.86 2014 est. 224 Singapore 0.80 2014 est.

14. Prevalence A measure of disease that allows us to determine a person's likelihood of having a disease.

15. Definition Prevalence  or prevalence proportion, in epidemiology, is the proportion of a population found to have a condition (typically a disease or a risk factor such as smoking or seat-belt use ). It is arrived at by comparing the number of people found to have the condition with the total number of people studied, and is usually expressed as a fraction, as a percentage or as the number of cases per 10,000 or 100,000 people. Prevalence is contrasted with  incidence , which is a measure of new cases arising in a population over a given period (month, year, etc.)

16. USES & Related Parameters Prevalence estimates are used by epidemiologists, health care providers, government agencies, and insurers. Lifetime prevalence Point prevalence Period prevalence

17. Prevalence rate in Pakistan Obesity - adult prevalence rate HIV/AIDS - adult prevalence rate Contraceptive prevalence rate 5.5% (2008) 0.1% (2009) 27% (2007/2008) Children under the age of 5 years underweight HIV/AIDS - people living with HIV/AIDS HIV/AIDS deaths 30.9% (2011) 98,000 (2009) 5,800 (2009) Degree of risk Vectorborne disease s food or waterborne diseases High Dengue fever and malaria  Bacterial diarrhea, hepatitis A and E, and typhoid fever 

18. Example With 4,000 people with the condition, Northern Ireland has one of the highest  prevalence rates in the world . ( BBC  Apr 28, 2014) the prevalence of obesity among American adults in 2001 was estimated by the U. S.  Centers for Disease Control (CDC) at approximately 20.9 %.

19. R eferences http:// www.un.org/esa/sustdev/natlinfo/indicators/methodology_sheets/demographics/dependency_ratio.pdf http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.DPND.OL https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2127rank.html http:// en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate http://www.indexmundi.com/pakistan/demographics_profile.html

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