E-Micro Finance Institutions -slides.ppt

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About This Presentation

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Slide Content

SymBanc™:
A Simulator for Microfinance Institutions
Gary Hirsch, Guy Stuart,
Jay Rosengard, Don Johnston
International System Dynamics Conference
July 20, 2005

Microfinance
•Financial services for the poor
•Services
–Savings
–Credit
–Insurance
–Remittances and transfer payments
•Poor = those living in households where the per
capita expenditure is less than $1 per day, in
developing and transitional economies
•2005 is the UN’s Year of Microcredit

Microfinance Institutions (MFIs)
•MFIs range in size and type from local savings
cooperatives to large (divisions of) commercial
banks
–E.g. Grameen Bank, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, BancoSol,
Compartamos, Mann Deshi Mahila Sahakari Bank
–Largest institutions are in Asia, especially South and
South-East Asia
•Mission can be one or all of:
–Financial intermediation
–Economic development
–Poverty alleviation
–Women’s empowerment

Active Clients
•Credit
–Active clients = has outstanding loan at time of report
–Microcredit Summit in 2004 reports that, as of 12/31/2003,
its 2,931 member institutions had just under 81 million active
clients --this is hard to believe
–Good guesstimate: 60m to 70m active clients
•More savers than borrowers
–“Big four” Bangladeshi MFIs have over 10m savers (same #
as borrowers)
–BRI has 30m savers (10x the # of its borrowers)
–Numerous credit unions and cooperatives provide savings
services
•No good count of insurance clients –many borrowers
pay for life insurance to cover the outstanding balance
of their loan in case they die
–New medical insurance products being developed-jury is out

Strategic Questions
•Urban/rural
•Women only, men and women
•Group or individual lending
•Credit only, or credit and savings

Operational Issues:
Information and Cash Flows
•Large number of small transactions:
–Swakrushi Federation of cooperatives in Andhra Pradesh,
India process about 80,000 savings deposits of Rs.20 (40
cents) per month, through 259 coops
–In May 2004 BRI made 211,320 loans with avg. size of just
under $1,000, through approx. 4,000 local offices
–ASA in Bangladesh had 264 borrowers and 290 savers per
staff member as of 12/31/2003 (mixmarket.org)
•Highly reliant on local, non-formal information, and
information feedback from own operations. Results in:
–Step lending
–Aggressive delinquency management based on good MIS
–Great emphasis on maintaining institutional reputation of
“fair but firm”

Overview of MFI Model: Drivers of BorrowingApplicantsBorrowersTarget Borrower
Population
Current Loans
by Stage
Funds Available
for Lending
MFI
Strategy
Branches, Loan
Officers and Other
Staff
Interest Rate
and Terms
Size of
Loans
Product
Design
Area
Demographics

Overview of MFI Model: Sources of FundsApplicants Borrowers
Target Borrower
Population
Current Loans
by Stage
Loan Losses
Funds Available
for Lending
Repayment
MFI
Strategy
Net Income
Branches, Loan
Officers and Other
Staff
Interest and Fee
Income
Interest Rate
and Terms
Size of
Loans
External Sources
of Funds
Product
Design
Savings
Area
Demographics
MFI Equity

Overview of MFI Model:Borrowing by StageStage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
.
New
Borrowers
Current Loans
in Stage NNew to Stage N
Delinquent
in Stage NCuring
Delinquency
Becoming
Delinquent
Default
Repeating
Stage N
Going on to
Next Stage
Dropping
Out

Overview of MFI Model: Delinquency and DefaultApplicants BorrowersTarget Borrower
Population
Current Loans
by Stage
Delinquent Loans
by Stage
Cured
Delinquencies
Defaulted
Loans
Loan Losses
Funds Available
for Lending
Repayment
MFI
Strategy
Net Income
Branches, Loan
Officers and Other
Staff
Interest and Fee
Income
Interest Rate
and Terms
Size of
Loans
Dropout
External Sources
of Funds
Expenses
Product
Design
Savings
Area
Demographics
Cost of
Funds
MFI Equity

Design Features to Enhance Learning: The Model
•Realistic constraints eliminate easy options, require
thoughtful strategies
•Tradeoffs require careful choices--e.g., aggressive
marketing or high interest rates may increase
revenue, but attract poor credit risks or create
repayment problems
•Short-term profitability vs. long-term viability
•Easy to “paint yourself into a corner” and run out of
money despite early breakeven

Design Features to Enhance Learning: Interface
•Students can control how often decisions are made, must
keep their “eye on the ball”
•They can compare results across strategies to identify
relative advantages
•Capability to drill down into detailed results to understand
what’s happening
•Dump results to spreadsheet to do more extensive analysis
•Challenging scenarios let students reality-test strategies

Defining Target Market

Loan Product Design Decisions

Staffing and Productivity Decisions

Results: Profit and Loss

In High Growth Strategy, Borrowers Grow Until
MFI Runs Out of Cash...

…Even Though MFI is Profitable

Rapid Growth of Branch Network Has Kept MFI
from Building Equity Required by Funders

Less Aggressive Growth Strategy Permits
MFI to Build Equity...Capital Adequacy
1
0.75
0.5
0.25
0
06121824303642485460667278849096
Time (Month)
Capital Adequacy : high growth
Capital Adequacy : medium growth
Capital Adequcy Standard : medium growth
Medium
High

...and Ultimately Attract More BorrowersTotal Borrowers
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
06121824303642485460667278849096
Time (Month)
Total Borrowers : high growth
Total Borrowers : medium growth
Medium
High

What Students Learn from Using SymBanc
TM
•There are characteristic ways of failing such as
growth outrunning capital or pursuing high volume at
the expense of profit and building equity
•There is no single right answer; multiple ways to
succeed depending on objectives
•Strategies dorequire internal consistency--the right
combinations of target market, product design,
staffing and branch expansion, and funding sources
•Good strategies under some circumstances may not
survive economic shocks; need to be resilient

SymBanc™ As A Teaching Tool (1)
•SymBanc™ developed initially for FIPED (Financial
Institutions for Private Enterprise Development)
–International executive program at KSG/Harvard University
–2-week program offered once a year since 1995
–Covers both microfinance and SME finance (MSMEs)
–Focuses on the sustainable provision of financial services
for MSMEs and low-income households
–Participants senior executives from financial institutions,
non-governmental organizations, and international
assistance agencies & high-ranking government officials
–Consists of core lectures, applied case studies, practical
exercises, simulated negotiations, participant presentations

SymBanc™ As A Teaching Tool (2)
•SymBanc™ funding from Harvard Provost’s Fund for
Instructional Technology –for promoting the
innovative use of IT in teaching
•Introduced in stages to facilitate familiarization
•Participants divided into three-person teams
•Taught as case studies
–Multiple scenarios with different policy objectives
–Preparation at home with discussions in class
–Interactive, iterative, and competitive
–Everything in one small file on rented laptops

SymBanc™ As A Teaching Tool (3)
•More efficient & effective than conventional means to:
–Introduce complex policy (strategic) and operational
(tactical) interrelationships
–Explore tradeoffs between achievement of institutional
mission and financial sustainability
–Confirm or refute assumptions and preconceptions
•Reflects messiness of real world
–No single “correct” answer -bundles of viable scenarios
–Important to identify and mitigate unanticipated shocks
–SymBanc™ simulation is truly a dynamic system