Chapter Outline Derive Simplifying Formulas to calculate present value Will assume fixed future inflows or inflows that grow at a steady rate Will assume a fixed required return on investment
Problem taxonomy Typical valuation problems Initial outlay, generates periodic payments, ends with a lump sum payment Initial outlay, generates periodic payments, no lump sum ending payment A fixed payout forever An initial outlay then periodic payments grow at a fixed percent Determining a periodic mortgage payment Other mortgages: interest only, balloon, amortized etc.
Problem Taxonomy Interest rate problems The effects of faster compounding Annual Percentage Rate versus Effective Percentage Rate
Future Value Problems Initial Deposit Periodic Deposits of Equal value for the next several periods Two approaches Treat each future cash flow as a single problem and sum results Use an Excel formula shortcut – if the future deposits are equal and end in the final period
Multiple cash flows: future value using Excel and treating each cash deposit as a separate problem You think you will be able to deposit $4,000 at the end of each of the next three years in a bank account paying 8 percent interest. You currently have $7,000 in the account. How much will you have in three years? How much will you have in four years? Ans: Type .08 in a cell, then type 7000, 4000, 4000, and 4000 in rows Assume .08 is in cell a1. 7000 is in a2, 4000 in a3, 4000 in a4, and 4000 in a5 =a2*(1+$a$1)^3 + a3*(1+$a$1)^2 +a4*(1+$a$1)^1+ a5 Note: a1 becomes $a$1 by hitting F4 after typing in a1
Excel Future Value interest rate = 0.08 Unequal Deposits t Deposits FV 7000 8817.98 1 4000 4665.60 2 4000 4320.00 3 4000 4000.00 sum 21803.58 Future Value interest rate = 0.08 Unequal Deposits t Deposits FV 7000 =C361*(1+$F$358)^3 1 4000 =C362*(1+F358)^2 2 4000 =C363*(1+$F$358) 3 4000 =C364 sum =SUM(E361:E364)
Using Excel’s FV function -FV(rate, period, payment, PV) =-FV(.08,3,4000,7000) Note the negative sign PV 7000 Payment 4000 period 3 r 0.08 FV Formula $21,803.58
Examples 7 and 8 C= 100 per year R = .1 per year T for annuity is 10 years Perpetuity PV = C/r = 100/.1 =1000 Annuity PV = C/r*[1-1/(1+r)^t] =(100/.1)*[1- 1/(1+.1)^10] =$614.46 Annuity chops off all cash flows after the end of year 10; therefore, it has a smaller PV than the perpetuity Could use: =-PV(.1,10,100) = 614.46
Excel Payment Formula =PMT (rate, nper, pv, [fv], [type]) Arguments rate - The interest rate for the loan. nper - The total number of payments for the loan. pv - The present value, or total value of all loan payments now. fv - [optional] The future value, or a cash balance you want after the last payment is made. Defaults to 0 (zero). type - [optional] When payments are due. 0 = end of period. 1 = beginning of period. Default is 0.
Using excel pmt formula: Example 13 PV = 250,000 Cell B3 NPER = 360 (30 years * 12 months per year) RATE = 0.58% (Same as .0058) Monthly Payment = ($1,656.55) Formula =PMT(B5,B4,B3) = PMT(.0058,360, 250,000) The payment was left as negative to indicate that it is a cash outflow.
Special excel formula nper Another way of solving this problem is to use the NPER formula NPER(rate, payment, PV) Make sure you give the payment a negative sign NPER(.015,-20,1000)= 93.11
Excel Special Functions for constant multiple payments -FV(rate, nper , payment, PV) -- present value PV is typically 0 in Ch. 5 -PV(rate, nper , payment, FV) -- future value FV is typically 0 in Ch. 5 NPER(rate, payment, PV) payment must be negative Solving for t -PMT( rate,nper,pv ) Solving for C Rate( nper , pay, PV, guess at rate) pay must be negative Solving for r Link: https://exceluser.com/1024/excels-five-annuity-functions/
Summary: How to do Valuation Problems Valuation problems have five elements: PV, FV, C, r, and t. With constant growth add g PV problem – given FV, C, r, and t. Example: How much would you be willing to pay now for the opportunity to receive $1000neach year (C) for 3 years (t) and a lump sum payment at the end of three years (FV), if your required return is 8% (r)? FV problem – You has $10,00 in the bank now (PV) and will deposit $1000 each year (C) for three years (t) if you can earn 5% in the bank (r)? R problem – You borrow $10,000 (PV) and repay $2,000 each year(C) for 12 years (t) what interest rate are you being charged? C problem – You borrow $10,000 (PV) and must pay it off in four years (t). The interest rate charged is 10%.(r), what is your annual payment? If the problem is a monthly payment, divide r/12 and multiply 12*t You can only use the special Excel functions if C is constant.