Linking Placemaking & Mobility to Health Impacts - Rounds Presentation @ U Of T Dalla Lana School

Audio is available here: http://bit.ly/2TQvgSX

This presentation includes an overview of the following interconnected themes of healthy built environments:
- Intro to Metrolinx and the Research & Planning Analytics Team in Planning & Development
- Measuring Early Childhood Development data,
- Development of Healthy Built Environment indicators and linking them to health impacts from the My Health My Community Survey,
- Development the 2041 Regional Transportation Plan,
- The Metrolinx Business Case Framework, and
- Personal advocacy work to improve safety for Vulnerable Road Users.

Anthony is a Senior Advisor in the Planning & Development division at Metrolinx – the regional transit agency for the Greater Toronto Area. He is a professional urban planner who specializes in creating healthy built environments and transportation systems. He has led a wide-range of transportation, land use, urban design, environmental assessment, and population health projects. He has a unique ability to harness geospatial data science and data visualization tools to examine and communicate how transportation planning and land development decisions can improve population health, environmental sustainability and economic prosperity. He is also an avid cyclist and micro-blogger who can be found on Twitter @HealthCityMaps.

***Note: All views expressed are my own, and do not reflect the position of Metrolinx***

1. FEBRUARY 15, 2019, UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO
ACADEMIC ROUNDS, DALLA LANA SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
Senior Advisor (A), Research & Planning Analytics, Planning & Development, Metrolinx
Anthony Smith
Linking Placemaking & Mobility to
Health Impacts with Geospatial Data Science

2. Linking Placemaking & Mobility to
Health Impacts with Geospatial Data Science
Anthony Smith

Senior Advisor (A), Research & Planning Analytics, Planning & Development, Metrolinx

3. 3
Hi,
I’m Anthony from Metrolinx.
Today I would like to tell you a story…

5. ROAD MAP
5
Introduction to Research & Planning Analytics & Story Telling
Linking Healthy Built Environments to Health Outcomes: EDI, HBE, MHMC…
Case Study: Measuring Performance of the 2041 Regional Transportation Plan
a)Regional Trends & Opportunities
b)Focus on Access to Transit
c)RTP KPIs: Measuring What Matters
Business Cases – An evidence-Based Approach to Investment Decisions
A Call to Action: Protection for Vulnerable Road Users

6. 6
Introduction to Research
& Planning Analytics at Metrolinx

7. METROLINX MISSION & VISION
7
We connect our communities
Getting you there better, faster, easier

8. WHAT IS METROLINX?
8
•Metrolinx is responsible for planning
and delivery of transportation networks
in the GTHA
•We operate GO Transit, Presto and UP
Express, but also plan complete
transport system including cycling,
TDM, New Mobility etc.
•Planning involves analysis to determine
economic impacts of decisions, but
there are also indirect impacts on
physical activity, safety, air quality and
other health impacts

9. 9

10. INTRO TO PLANNING & DEVELOPMENT
10
The Planning & Development team
includes nearly 150 dedicated
professionals with expertise in:

•Transportation planning, modelling
and economics
•Transportation engineering
•Urban designers and architects
•Policy analysts
•Real estate professionals
•Researchers
•Accessibility specialists
•Sustainability professionals
•Community engagement specialists
•Project managers

11. INTRO TO RESEARCH & PLANNING ANALYTICS
Currently comprised of two teams

•Modelling & Geomatics
•Planning Analytics

This group informs corporate strategic and tactical decision making through rigorous research
and analytics including leading edge quantitative modelling and geospatial analysis



CPDO
Regional
Planning
Service
Planning
Research &
Planning
Analytics
Project
Planning
Design
Excellence
Sponsor
Office
Corporate
Real Estate
Fare
Integration
EVIDENCE-BASED
FRAMEWORKS
RESEARCH
& MODELS
DATA
VISUALIZATION &
STORY TELLING
11

12. 12
A FOUNDATION FOR EVIDENCE -INFORMED DECISIONS
HLST 4250 – MEASURING HEALTH SYSTEM PERFORMANCE/EFFECTIVENESS

13. 13
Knowledge Translation

14. MELTING THE ICE: TRANSFORMING DATA INTO KNOWLEDGE
14

15. COMMUTER FLOWS BETWEEN CITIES
15
Can you find the signal in this noise?

DATA SOURCE: STATISTICS CANADA

16. COMMUTER FLOWS BETWEEN CITIES – 2D VS 3D
16 DATA SOURCE: STATISTICS CANADA, PRODUCED WITH KEPLER.GL

17. TRANSIT FLOWS BETWEEN CITY REGIONS IN THE GTHA
17
•Shows flow from origin to
destination city on
weekday mornings (6-
11am) excluding trips
within cities

•Majority of trips are to
Toronto in the AM, and
reverse in the PM, however
there are a substantial
number of trips in the
opposite direction

18. COMMUTER FLOWS BETWEEN CITIES (CHORD DIAGRAM)
18 DATA SOURCE: STATISTICS CANADA, PRODUCED WITH CIRCOS

19. TRANSFORMING DATA INTO VIDEOS
19

20. 20
Early Childhood Development
Indicators

21. INTRODUCTION TO EARLY CHILD DEVELOPMENT MONITORING
21
•Research Question: How do
neighbourhood
environments impact Early
Child Development (ECD)
•Primary Dataset was the
Early Development
Instrument (EDI), a
population-level survey of
kindergarten age children
•Mapped patterns of
‘vulnerability’ at multiple
scales of analysis

22. Human Early Learning Partnership (HELP) 2012.

23. THE MDI
23
•Middle Years
Development
Instrument links
well-being to
neighbourhood

•High correlation
with socio-
economic factors,
but also to
presence of
community assets

24. COMMUNITY-BASED INTERACTIVE ASSET MAPPING & CAPACITY BUILDING
24

25. No data, no problem.


No problem, no action.

26. PLANNING TO IMPLEMENTATION

27. EXISTING INDICATOR TOOLS & FRAMEWORKS

27
•Peel Region Healthy Development Assessment (HDA)
•LEED – ND Rating System
•Metro Vancouver Health Impact Assessment Tools
•Health-Enhanced Land Use Planning Software Tool
•‘Places To Grow’ & ‘Big Move’ Key Performance Indicators
•Vancouver Greenest City Action Plan
•Walkscore + People Near Transit (PNT)

28. SYMPTOMS OR
ROOT CAUSES?
Similar to misconception
that widening roads will
reduce traffic congestion

In fact, induced demand
will always fill new supply
of lanes

Sustainable alternatives are
required to address root
cause of road congestion

29. 29 29
HBE Linkages Toolkit &
MHMC Survey
15/02/2019

30. HBE LINKAGES TOOLKIT FROM THE BC PHSA
30
The concept of a “healthy
built environment” is
considered through a
holistic perspective
including 5 core features:

1. Neighbourhood Design
2. Transportation Networks
3. Natural Environments
4. Food Systems
5. Housing
HTTP://WWW.BCCDC.CA/POP -PUBLIC-HEALTH/DOCUMENTS/HBE_LINKAGES_TOO LKIT_2018.PDF

31. HBE LINKAGES TOOLKIT CONTENTS
31

HTTP://WWW.BCCDC.CA/POP -PUBLIC-HEALTH/DOCUMENTS/HBE_LINKAGES_TOO LKIT_2018.PDF

32. MY HEALTH MY COMMUNITY SURVEY
32
•Survey by
Vancouver
Coastal
Health and
Fraser
Health

•Results
mapped in
interactive
portal
HTTPS://WWW.MYHEALTHMYCOMMUNITY.ORG/

33. MY HEALTH MY COMMUNITY SURVEY RESULTS
33

HTTPS://WWW.MYHEALTHMYCOMMUNITY.ORG/PORTALS/0/DOCUMENTS/REPORTS/ MHMC_TRANSPORTATION_WEB.PDF
https://www.myhealthmycommunity.org/

34. MY HEALTH MY COMMUNITY SURVEY RESULTS
34

HTTPS://WWW.MYHEALTHMYCOMMUNITY.ORG/PORTALS/0/DOCUMENTS/REPORTS/ MHMC_TRANSPORTATION_WEB.PDF

35. 35 35
Linking MHMC Survey Data to
Community Design Indicators

36. Photo Album
by Anthony
Land Use

39. Photo Album
by Anthony
Transportation

45. Photo Album
by Anthony
Housing

47. Photo Album
by Anthony
Access to Food

49. Photo Album
by Anthony
Greenspace

53. L e is u r e w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y U t ilit a r ia n w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y T o t a l w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y P h y s ic a lly a c t iv e - 1 5 0 + m in / w e e k S u g a r y b e v e r a g e - 3 + t im e s / w e e k F a s t F o o d 2 + T im e s p e r w e e k F r u it s a n d v e g e t a b le s – 5 + s e r v in g s / d a y S m o k e r – d a ily / o c c a s io n a l N o a lc o h o l - p a s t 1 2 m o n t h s B in g e d r in k in g - n e v e r / in f r e q u e n t ly B in g e d r in k in g - 1 + t im e s / m o n t h S c r e e n t im e - 2 + h o u r s / d a y S le e p – 6 h o u r s o r le s s / d a y H ig h p h y s ic a l w e lln e s s s c o r e ( 1 0 - 1 6   )
Gross Pop u lation Den sity
0.29 0.55 0.47 -0.05 -0.05 0.11 -0.04 0.10 0.03 -0.35 0.34 0.42 0.04 0.18
Net Pop u lation Den sity
0.30 0.56 0.48 -0.03 -0.02 0.08 -0.03 0.25 0.02 -0.38 0.38 0.37 0.05 0.17
Gross Em p loym en t Den sity
0.23 0.34 0.36 0.04 -0.02 0.05 0.08 0.17 -0.11 -0.40 0.42 0.21 0.03 0.18
Net Em p loym en t Den sity
0.21 0.33 0.34 0.04 -0.04 0.04 0.09 0.17 -0.11 -0.39 0.40 0.20 0.03 0.18
Gross Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.28 0.46 0.43 0.01 -0.03 0.08 0.04 0.16 -0.06 -0.41 0.42 0.31 0.04 0.19
Net Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.24 0.43 0.41 0.02 -0.05 0.06 0.06 0.16 -0.09 -0.41 0.42 0.29 0.04 0.20
J ob B a l a n c e
Em p loym en t-Pop u lation Balan ce
0.16 0.23 0.19 -0.06 0.00 0.11 0.05 0.35 0.07 -0.10 0.15 0.03 -0.04 0.15
Ru ral Resid en tial Areas
-0.20 -0.27 -0.11 0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.10 -0.19 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 -0.18 0.02 -0.17
SF, Du p lex an d T H Resid en tial Areas
0.02 -0.04 -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.27 0.21 0.32 -0.34 0.02 0.04 -0.03
Ap artm en t Resid en tial Areas
0.22 0.50 0.47 -0.03 -0.03 0.09 0.01 0.12 -0.10 -0.35 0.34 0.49 -0.03 0.18
M ixed -Use Ap artm en t Areas
0.27 0.36 0.40 0.09 -0.07 -0.03 0.15 0.10 -0.16 -0.47 0.48 0.24 -0.02 0.25
Com m ercial Areas
0.20 0.48 0.35 -0.22 0.10 0.25 -0.23 0.37 0.11 -0.12 0.11 0.40 0.10 -0.05
In stitu tion al Areas
0.11 0.16 0.22 -0.15 -0.08 -0.03 0.15 0.05 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.07 -0.13 0.15
In d u strial Areas
-0.05 0.12 -0.14 -0.01 0.22 0.17 -0.14 0.31 0.28 0.23 -0.15 -0.11 0.01 -0.12
Parks an d Op en Sp ace Areas
-0.29 -0.20 -0.21 0.08 -0.17 -0.25 0.12 -0.18 -0.23 -0.02 0.05 -0.19 -0.05 0.01
L a n d U s e M i x
L an d Use M ix In d ex
0.02 0.26 0.14 -0.04 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.23 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.25 0.03 -0.02
Urb an Cen tres
0.17 0.52 0.45 -0.05 0.12 0.14 -0.15 0.42 -0.02 -0.25 0.23 0.42 0.05 0.06
T ran sit Orien ted Develop m en t
-0.06 0.05 -0.08 -0.10 -0.20 -0.12 0.11 -0.04 -0.03 0.04 -0.05 0.10 -0.13 0.04
Urb an Con tain m en t Bou n d ary
0.11 0.34 0.11 -0.17 -0.23 -0.06 0.03 0.24 0.11 0.15 -0.14 0.18 -0.12 0.11
Distan ce to an Urb an Cen tre
-0.13 0.20 0.10 -0.12 0.09 0.09 -0.13 0.31 0.06 0.04 -0.04 -0.06 0.06 -0.07
Distan ce to CBD -0.08 -0.10 -0.02 -0.06 0.22 0.09 -0.07 0.16 -0.02 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.06 -0.26
W a l k i n g N e twork
In tersection Den sity
0.20 0.40 0.32 -0.01 -0.19 -0.08 0.14 -0.07 0.04 -0.19 0.18 0.33 0.05 0.21
Cyclin g Rou tes
0.15 0.29 0.31 0.14 -0.21 -0.15 0.26 -0.01 -0.16 -0.44 0.46 0.13 -0.07 0.30
Cyclin g Rou te Access
0.16 0.33 0.22 -0.04 -0.16 -0.01 0.11 -0.03 0.02 -0.21 0.20 0.21 0.02 0.22
T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.21 0.48 0.46 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.15 -0.02 -0.26 0.26 0.38 0.05 0.24
T ran sit Access
0.22 0.41 0.31 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 0.14 0.03 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.35 0.01 0.23
Rap id T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.09 0.31 0.29 -0.05 0.07 0.14 -0.06 0.16 -0.02 -0.18 0.19 0.21 0.15 0.02
Rap id T ran sit Access
0.08 0.47 0.39 -0.09 0.05 0.20 -0.06 0.08 0.03 -0.12 0.11 0.36 0.11 0.13
T ran sit Rou te Den sity
0.16 0.52 0.43 -0.04 0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.33 -0.05 -0.34 0.34 0.30 0.07 0.17
T ran sit Service Freq u en cy
0.24 0.44 0.43 0.02 -0.07 -0.01 0.09 0.18 -0.08 -0.39 0.40 0.28 0.03 0.22
M a j or R oa d s Arterial Road s an d Hig h ways0.06 0.38 0.30 -0.12 0.07 0.15 -0.10 0.37 0.04 -0.14 0.16 0.24 0.10 0.03
Grou n d -Orien ted Dwellin g s
-0.05 -0.04 -0.25 -0.20 0.19 0.23 -0.30 -0.10 0.46 0.37 -0.34 -0.27 0.19 -0.21
L ow-Rise Dwellin g s
0.20 0.46 0.42 -0.12 -0.03 0.07 0.02 0.21 0.10 -0.15 0.13 0.43 -0.07 0.09
Hig h -Rise Dwellin g s0.12 0.48 0.42 0.00 0.06 0.11 0.00 0.17 -0.11 -0.24 0.23 0.41 0.00 0.22
Grocery Stores Den sity
0.33 0.49 0.44 -0.01 0.03 0.09 -0.01 0.28 -0.07 -0.46 0.46 0.40 0.04 0.12
Grocery Store Access
0.20 0.45 0.33 -0.06 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.21 0.05 -0.19 0.19 0.35 -0.02 0.17
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Area
-0.13 -0.34 -0.23 0.01 0.22 0.24 -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 0.02 -0.05 -0.20 -0.01 -0.10
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Access -0.08 -0.30 -0.12 0.10 0.27 0.18 -0.06 -0.11 -0.04 -0.08 0.06 -0.20 0.08 -0.09
Park Area
-0.14 0.02 -0.08 -0.07 -0.23 -0.23 0.08 -0.13 -0.03 0.06 0.01 -0.01 0.05 0.09
Park Access
0.11 0.27 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 -0.05 0.03 0.09 0.12 -0.01 0.05 0.17 0.01 0.20
Green sp ace Area
-0.18 -0.29 -0.11 0.25 -0.16 -0.29 0.18 -0.21 -0.32 -0.18 0.18 -0.18 -0.04 0.01
Green sp ace Access
-0.37 -0.43 -0.27 0.19 0.04 -0.12 0.17 -0.05 -0.27 0.01 0.01 -0.37 0.06 -0.10
T rails Den sity
-0.20 -0.14 -0.13 0.13 -0.26 -0.26 0.20 -0.27 -0.21 0.01 0.00 -0.11 -0.17 0.18
T rail Access -0.34 -0.23 -0.21 0.11 -0.18 -0.24 0.15 -0.16 -0.29 -0.02 0.04 -0.28 -0.01 0.11
H e a l th B e h a v i ors
L a n d U s e
P op u l a ti on
a n d
E m p l oy m e n t
D e n s i ty
L a n d U s e A re a s
F oc u s e d G rowth
D i s ta n c e to C i ty
T ra i l s
N a t u ra l A re a s
P a rk s
G re e n s p a c e
T r a n s p o r t a t i o n
T ra n s i t N e twork
Food
G roc e ry S tore s
P rote c te d A g ri c u l tu ra l
L a n d
H o u s i n g
D we l l i n g T y p e s
C y c l i n g N e twork L e is u r e w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y U t ilit a r ia n w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y T o t a l w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y P h y s ic a lly a c t iv e - 1 5 0 + m in / w e e k S u g a r y b e v e r a g e - 3 + t im e s / w e e k F a s t F o o d 2 + T im e s p e r w e e k F r u it s a n d v e g e t a b le s – 5 + s e r v in g s / d a y S m o k e r – d a ily / o c c a s io n a l N o a lc o h o l - p a s t 1 2 m o n t h s B in g e d r in k in g - n e v e r / in f r e q u e n t ly B in g e d r in k in g - 1 + t im e s / m o n t h S c r e e n t im e - 2 + h o u r s / d a y S le e p – 6 h o u r s o r le s s / d a y H ig h p h y s ic a l w e lln e s s s c o r e ( 1 0 - 1 6   )
Gross Pop u lation Den sity
0.29 0.55 0.47 -0.05 -0.05 0.11 -0.04 0.10 0.03 -0.35 0.34 0.42 0.04 0.18
Net Pop u lation Den sity
0.30 0.56 0.48 -0.03 -0.02 0.08 -0.03 0.25 0.02 -0.38 0.38 0.37 0.05 0.17
Gross Em p loym en t Den sity
0.23 0.34 0.36 0.04 -0.02 0.05 0.08 0.17 -0.11 -0.40 0.42 0.21 0.03 0.18
Net Em p loym en t Den sity
0.21 0.33 0.34 0.04 -0.04 0.04 0.09 0.17 -0.11 -0.39 0.40 0.20 0.03 0.18
Gross Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.28 0.46 0.43 0.01 -0.03 0.08 0.04 0.16 -0.06 -0.41 0.42 0.31 0.04 0.19
Net Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.24 0.43 0.41 0.02 -0.05 0.06 0.06 0.16 -0.09 -0.41 0.42 0.29 0.04 0.20
J ob B a l a n c e
Em p loym en t-Pop u lation Balan ce
0.16 0.23 0.19 -0.06 0.00 0.11 0.05 0.35 0.07 -0.10 0.15 0.03 -0.04 0.15
Ru ral Resid en tial Areas
-0.20 -0.27 -0.11 0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.10 -0.19 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 -0.18 0.02 -0.17
SF, Du p lex an d T H Resid en tial Areas
0.02 -0.04 -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.27 0.21 0.32 -0.34 0.02 0.04 -0.03
Ap artm en t Resid en tial Areas
0.22 0.50 0.47 -0.03 -0.03 0.09 0.01 0.12 -0.10 -0.35 0.34 0.49 -0.03 0.18
M ixed -Use Ap artm en t Areas
0.27 0.36 0.40 0.09 -0.07 -0.03 0.15 0.10 -0.16 -0.47 0.48 0.24 -0.02 0.25
Com m ercial Areas
0.20 0.48 0.35 -0.22 0.10 0.25 -0.23 0.37 0.11 -0.12 0.11 0.40 0.10 -0.05
In stitu tion al Areas
0.11 0.16 0.22 -0.15 -0.08 -0.03 0.15 0.05 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.07 -0.13 0.15
In d u strial Areas
-0.05 0.12 -0.14 -0.01 0.22 0.17 -0.14 0.31 0.28 0.23 -0.15 -0.11 0.01 -0.12
Parks an d Op en Sp ace Areas
-0.29 -0.20 -0.21 0.08 -0.17 -0.25 0.12 -0.18 -0.23 -0.02 0.05 -0.19 -0.05 0.01
L a n d U s e M i x
L an d Use M ix In d ex
0.02 0.26 0.14 -0.04 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.23 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.25 0.03 -0.02
Urb an Cen tres
0.17 0.52 0.45 -0.05 0.12 0.14 -0.15 0.42 -0.02 -0.25 0.23 0.42 0.05 0.06
T ran sit Orien ted Develop m en t
-0.06 0.05 -0.08 -0.10 -0.20 -0.12 0.11 -0.04 -0.03 0.04 -0.05 0.10 -0.13 0.04
Urb an Con tain m en t Bou n d ary
0.11 0.34 0.11 -0.17 -0.23 -0.06 0.03 0.24 0.11 0.15 -0.14 0.18 -0.12 0.11
Distan ce to an Urb an Cen tre
-0.13 0.20 0.10 -0.12 0.09 0.09 -0.13 0.31 0.06 0.04 -0.04 -0.06 0.06 -0.07
Distan ce to CBD -0.08 -0.10 -0.02 -0.06 0.22 0.09 -0.07 0.16 -0.02 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.06 -0.26
W a l k i n g N e twork
In tersection Den sity
0.20 0.40 0.32 -0.01 -0.19 -0.08 0.14 -0.07 0.04 -0.19 0.18 0.33 0.05 0.21
Cyclin g Rou tes
0.15 0.29 0.31 0.14 -0.21 -0.15 0.26 -0.01 -0.16 -0.44 0.46 0.13 -0.07 0.30
Cyclin g Rou te Access
0.16 0.33 0.22 -0.04 -0.16 -0.01 0.11 -0.03 0.02 -0.21 0.20 0.21 0.02 0.22
T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.21 0.48 0.46 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.15 -0.02 -0.26 0.26 0.38 0.05 0.24
T ran sit Access
0.22 0.41 0.31 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 0.14 0.03 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.35 0.01 0.23
Rap id T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.09 0.31 0.29 -0.05 0.07 0.14 -0.06 0.16 -0.02 -0.18 0.19 0.21 0.15 0.02
Rap id T ran sit Access
0.08 0.47 0.39 -0.09 0.05 0.20 -0.06 0.08 0.03 -0.12 0.11 0.36 0.11 0.13
T ran sit Rou te Den sity
0.16 0.52 0.43 -0.04 0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.33 -0.05 -0.34 0.34 0.30 0.07 0.17
T ran sit Service Freq u en cy
0.24 0.44 0.43 0.02 -0.07 -0.01 0.09 0.18 -0.08 -0.39 0.40 0.28 0.03 0.22
M a j or R oa d s Arterial Road s an d Hig h ways0.06 0.38 0.30 -0.12 0.07 0.15 -0.10 0.37 0.04 -0.14 0.16 0.24 0.10 0.03
Grou n d -Orien ted Dwellin g s
-0.05 -0.04 -0.25 -0.20 0.19 0.23 -0.30 -0.10 0.46 0.37 -0.34 -0.27 0.19 -0.21
L ow-Rise Dwellin g s
0.20 0.46 0.42 -0.12 -0.03 0.07 0.02 0.21 0.10 -0.15 0.13 0.43 -0.07 0.09
Hig h -Rise Dwellin g s0.12 0.48 0.42 0.00 0.06 0.11 0.00 0.17 -0.11 -0.24 0.23 0.41 0.00 0.22
Grocery Stores Den sity
0.33 0.49 0.44 -0.01 0.03 0.09 -0.01 0.28 -0.07 -0.46 0.46 0.40 0.04 0.12
Grocery Store Access
0.20 0.45 0.33 -0.06 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.21 0.05 -0.19 0.19 0.35 -0.02 0.17
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Area
-0.13 -0.34 -0.23 0.01 0.22 0.24 -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 0.02 -0.05 -0.20 -0.01 -0.10
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Access -0.08 -0.30 -0.12 0.10 0.27 0.18 -0.06 -0.11 -0.04 -0.08 0.06 -0.20 0.08 -0.09
Park Area
-0.14 0.02 -0.08 -0.07 -0.23 -0.23 0.08 -0.13 -0.03 0.06 0.01 -0.01 0.05 0.09
Park Access
0.11 0.27 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 -0.05 0.03 0.09 0.12 -0.01 0.05 0.17 0.01 0.20
Green sp ace Area
-0.18 -0.29 -0.11 0.25 -0.16 -0.29 0.18 -0.21 -0.32 -0.18 0.18 -0.18 -0.04 0.01
Green sp ace Access
-0.37 -0.43 -0.27 0.19 0.04 -0.12 0.17 -0.05 -0.27 0.01 0.01 -0.37 0.06 -0.10
T rails Den sity
-0.20 -0.14 -0.13 0.13 -0.26 -0.26 0.20 -0.27 -0.21 0.01 0.00 -0.11 -0.17 0.18
T rail Access -0.34 -0.23 -0.21 0.11 -0.18 -0.24 0.15 -0.16 -0.29 -0.02 0.04 -0.28 -0.01 0.11
H e a l th B e h a v i ors
L a n d U s e
P op u l a ti on
a n d
E m p l oy m e n t
D e n s i ty
L a n d U s e A re a s
F oc u s e d G rowth
D i s ta n c e to C i ty
T ra i l s
N a t u ra l A re a s
P a rk s
G re e n s p a c e
T r a n s p o r t a t i o n
T ra n s i t N e twork
Food
G roc e ry S tore s
P rote c te d A g ri c u l tu ra l
L a n d
H o u s i n g
D we l l i n g T y p e s
C y c l i n g N e twork COMMUNITY DESIGN INDICATORS (CDIs)

56. L e is u r e w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y U t ilit a r ia n w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y T o t a l w a lk in g - 3 0 + m in / d a y P h y s ic a lly a c t iv e - 1 5 0 + m in / w e e k S u g a r y b e v e r a g e - 3 + t im e s / w e e k F a s t F o o d 2 + T im e s p e r w e e k F r u it s a n d v e g e t a b le s – 5 + s e r v in g s / d a y S m o k e r – d a ily / o c c a s io n a l N o a lc o h o l - p a s t 1 2 m o n t h s B in g e d r in k in g - n e v e r / in f r e q u e n t ly B in g e d r in k in g - 1 + t im e s / m o n t h S c r e e n t im e - 2 + h o u r s / d a y S le e p – 6 h o u r s o r le s s / d a y H ig h p h y s ic a l w e lln e s s s c o r e ( 1 0 - 1 6   )
Gross Pop u lation Den sity
0.29 0.55 0.47 -0.05 -0.05 0.11 -0.04 0.10 0.03 -0.35 0.34 0.42 0.04 0.18
Net Pop u lation Den sity
0.30 0.56 0.48 -0.03 -0.02 0.08 -0.03 0.25 0.02 -0.38 0.38 0.37 0.05 0.17
Gross Em p loym en t Den sity
0.23 0.34 0.36 0.04 -0.02 0.05 0.08 0.17 -0.11 -0.40 0.42 0.21 0.03 0.18
Net Em p loym en t Den sity
0.21 0.33 0.34 0.04 -0.04 0.04 0.09 0.17 -0.11 -0.39 0.40 0.20 0.03 0.18
Gross Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.28 0.46 0.43 0.01 -0.03 0.08 0.04 0.16 -0.06 -0.41 0.42 0.31 0.04 0.19
Net Pop . an d Em p . Den sity
0.24 0.43 0.41 0.02 -0.05 0.06 0.06 0.16 -0.09 -0.41 0.42 0.29 0.04 0.20
J ob B a l a n c e
Em p loym en t-Pop u lation Balan ce
0.16 0.23 0.19 -0.06 0.00 0.11 0.05 0.35 0.07 -0.10 0.15 0.03 -0.04 0.15
Ru ral Resid en tial Areas
-0.20 -0.27 -0.11 0.03 -0.04 0.02 0.10 -0.19 -0.21 -0.01 -0.01 -0.18 0.02 -0.17
SF, Du p lex an d T H Resid en tial Areas
0.02 -0.04 -0.11 -0.10 -0.06 -0.03 -0.06 -0.27 0.21 0.32 -0.34 0.02 0.04 -0.03
Ap artm en t Resid en tial Areas
0.22 0.50 0.47 -0.03 -0.03 0.09 0.01 0.12 -0.10 -0.35 0.34 0.49 -0.03 0.18
M ixed -Use Ap artm en t Areas
0.27 0.36 0.40 0.09 -0.07 -0.03 0.15 0.10 -0.16 -0.47 0.48 0.24 -0.02 0.25
Com m ercial Areas
0.20 0.48 0.35 -0.22 0.10 0.25 -0.23 0.37 0.11 -0.12 0.11 0.40 0.10 -0.05
In stitu tion al Areas
0.11 0.16 0.22 -0.15 -0.08 -0.03 0.15 0.05 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.07 -0.13 0.15
In d u strial Areas
-0.05 0.12 -0.14 -0.01 0.22 0.17 -0.14 0.31 0.28 0.23 -0.15 -0.11 0.01 -0.12
Parks an d Op en Sp ace Areas
-0.29 -0.20 -0.21 0.08 -0.17 -0.25 0.12 -0.18 -0.23 -0.02 0.05 -0.19 -0.05 0.01
L a n d U s e M i x
L an d Use M ix In d ex
0.02 0.26 0.14 -0.04 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.23 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.25 0.03 -0.02
Urb an Cen tres
0.17 0.52 0.45 -0.05 0.12 0.14 -0.15 0.42 -0.02 -0.25 0.23 0.42 0.05 0.06
T ran sit Orien ted Develop m en t
-0.06 0.05 -0.08 -0.10 -0.20 -0.12 0.11 -0.04 -0.03 0.04 -0.05 0.10 -0.13 0.04
Urb an Con tain m en t Bou n d ary
0.11 0.34 0.11 -0.17 -0.23 -0.06 0.03 0.24 0.11 0.15 -0.14 0.18 -0.12 0.11
Distan ce to an Urb an Cen tre
-0.13 0.20 0.10 -0.12 0.09 0.09 -0.13 0.31 0.06 0.04 -0.04 -0.06 0.06 -0.07
Distan ce to CBD -0.08 -0.10 -0.02 -0.06 0.22 0.09 -0.07 0.16 -0.02 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.06 -0.26
W a l k i n g N e twork
In tersection Den sity
0.20 0.40 0.32 -0.01 -0.19 -0.08 0.14 -0.07 0.04 -0.19 0.18 0.33 0.05 0.21
Cyclin g Rou tes
0.15 0.29 0.31 0.14 -0.21 -0.15 0.26 -0.01 -0.16 -0.44 0.46 0.13 -0.07 0.30
Cyclin g Rou te Access
0.16 0.33 0.22 -0.04 -0.16 -0.01 0.11 -0.03 0.02 -0.21 0.20 0.21 0.02 0.22
T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.21 0.48 0.46 -0.03 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.15 -0.02 -0.26 0.26 0.38 0.05 0.24
T ran sit Access
0.22 0.41 0.31 -0.05 -0.07 -0.05 0.14 0.03 0.05 -0.05 0.06 0.35 0.01 0.23
Rap id T ran sit Stop Den sity
0.09 0.31 0.29 -0.05 0.07 0.14 -0.06 0.16 -0.02 -0.18 0.19 0.21 0.15 0.02
Rap id T ran sit Access
0.08 0.47 0.39 -0.09 0.05 0.20 -0.06 0.08 0.03 -0.12 0.11 0.36 0.11 0.13
T ran sit Rou te Den sity
0.16 0.52 0.43 -0.04 0.01 0.06 -0.01 0.33 -0.05 -0.34 0.34 0.30 0.07 0.17
T ran sit Service Freq u en cy
0.24 0.44 0.43 0.02 -0.07 -0.01 0.09 0.18 -0.08 -0.39 0.40 0.28 0.03 0.22
M a j or R oa d s Arterial Road s an d Hig h ways0.06 0.38 0.30 -0.12 0.07 0.15 -0.10 0.37 0.04 -0.14 0.16 0.24 0.10 0.03
Grou n d -Orien ted Dwellin g s
-0.05 -0.04 -0.25 -0.20 0.19 0.23 -0.30 -0.10 0.46 0.37 -0.34 -0.27 0.19 -0.21
L ow-Rise Dwellin g s
0.20 0.46 0.42 -0.12 -0.03 0.07 0.02 0.21 0.10 -0.15 0.13 0.43 -0.07 0.09
Hig h -Rise Dwellin g s0.12 0.48 0.42 0.00 0.06 0.11 0.00 0.17 -0.11 -0.24 0.23 0.41 0.00 0.22
Grocery Stores Den sity
0.33 0.49 0.44 -0.01 0.03 0.09 -0.01 0.28 -0.07 -0.46 0.46 0.40 0.04 0.12
Grocery Store Access
0.20 0.45 0.33 -0.06 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.21 0.05 -0.19 0.19 0.35 -0.02 0.17
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Area
-0.13 -0.34 -0.23 0.01 0.22 0.24 -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 0.02 -0.05 -0.20 -0.01 -0.10
Ag ricu ltu ral L an d Access -0.08 -0.30 -0.12 0.10 0.27 0.18 -0.06 -0.11 -0.04 -0.08 0.06 -0.20 0.08 -0.09
Park Area
-0.14 0.02 -0.08 -0.07 -0.23 -0.23 0.08 -0.13 -0.03 0.06 0.01 -0.01 0.05 0.09
Park Access
0.11 0.27 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 -0.05 0.03 0.09 0.12 -0.01 0.05 0.17 0.01 0.20
Green sp ace Area
-0.18 -0.29 -0.11 0.25 -0.16 -0.29 0.18 -0.21 -0.32 -0.18 0.18 -0.18 -0.04 0.01
Green sp ace Access
-0.37 -0.43 -0.27 0.19 0.04 -0.12 0.17 -0.05 -0.27 0.01 0.01 -0.37 0.06 -0.10
T rails Den sity
-0.20 -0.14 -0.13 0.13 -0.26 -0.26 0.20 -0.27 -0.21 0.01 0.00 -0.11 -0.17 0.18
T rail Access -0.34 -0.23 -0.21 0.11 -0.18 -0.24 0.15 -0.16 -0.29 -0.02 0.04 -0.28 -0.01 0.11
H e a l th B e h a v i ors
L a n d U s e
P op u l a ti on
a n d
E m p l oy m e n t
D e n s i ty
L a n d U s e A re a s
F oc u s e d G rowth
D i s ta n c e to C i ty
T ra i l s
N a t u ra l A re a s
P a rk s
G re e n s p a c e
T r a n s p o r t a t i o n
T ra n s i t N e twork
Food
G roc e ry S tore s
P rote c te d A g ri c u l tu ra l
L a n d
H o u s i n g
D we l l i n g T y p e s
C y c l i n g N e twork

57. LINKING DESIGN TO HEALTH
57
•Masters Project measured 49
Community Design Indicators for
Vancouver neighbourhoods in GIS

•Statistically linked each CDI to
health and wellbeing indicators
from MHMC

•Significant correlations are shown
in the infographic to the right
SOURCE: ANTHONY SMITH

58. 58
CASE STUDY: Measuring Performance of the
2041 Regional Transportation Plan

59. 59 59
Regional Demographic
Trends & Opportunities

60. THE REGION’S TRANSPORTATION CHALLENGES
60
110,000 new residents every year
1 in every 4 trips crosses a regional boundary
79% of trips made by car
3.46 million cars owned in the GTHA

61. REGIONAL DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
61
$
$$$
Population Employment Seniors Diversity Unaffordability

62. THE REGION IS GROWING
62
•The regional
study area is
defined
geographically
as the GTHA and
temporally as
2041

63. THE REGION IS GROWING
63
•We can break
Growth Plan data
down into cities to
illustrate that rate of
growth is much
higher outside
Toronto

64. THERE IS RAPID GROWTH IN DOWNTOWN AND THE 905
64
•Strong residential
growth in 905 centres
and outer edge of build
up areas
•Employment growth in
Toronto has significantly
outpaced Growth Plan
projections, projected
to meet target by 2025
•GO Expansion provides
faster travel between
suburbs and Downtown

65. A DIVERSE COMMUNITY WITH MANY UNIQUE NEEDS
65
•This map shows Census
data on the Top Five
Mother Tongue
languages in the Region
•Engagement requires
understanding different
ethnicities and unique
needs

66. INCOME INEQUALITY IS INCREASING
66
•This map shows Census
data on the fraction of
people with low income
by area
•Transit investments can
reduce the cost of living
and increase access to
employment
opportunities

67. THE POPULATION IS GETTING OLDER
67
•This map shows the fraction of people who are over age 65
•As the population ages, aging in place will require new mobility options including
transit, autonomous vehicles and mixed use communities

68. WALKING DISTANCE TO TRANSIT
68
•Improving the built
environment can
improve access to
transit

•First and Last Mile
connections are
critical to improving
ridership

69. TRIPS ARE COMPLICATED
70
•This map shows
Transportation
Tomorrow Data
•As the population ages,
aging in place will
require new mobility
options including
transit, autonomous
vehicles and mixed use
communities

70. A PATCHWORK OF TRANSIT AGENCIES
71
•The region
includes 12 MSPs,
GO & UP with
multiple fare and
transfer policies

•We use GTFS Data
feeds to track
routes for all local
agencies

71. BETTER PLANNING WITH ANONYMIZED PRESTO TTC -GO TRANSFER LOCATIONS
72
•Locations of
population and
employment have
significant impacts on
travel patterns

72. SUMMARY OF REGIONAL CHALLENGES
73
1.Align transportation and land use planning
2.Focus on moving people, not just vehicles
3.Improve the traveller experience
4.Respond to emerging future mobility options
5.Integrate fares and services across the region
6.Coordinate decision-making
7.Provide sustainable and long-term funding

73. 74 INSERT FOOTER
Evaluating the RTP Performance:
Measuring Impact & Outcomes

74. 75
THE PLAN & FIVE CORE STRATEGIES
Strategy 1:
Complete
Delivery of
Current
Regional
Transit
Projects
Strategy 2:
Connect more
of the Region
with Frequent
Rapid Transit
Strategy 3:
Optimize the
Transportation
System
Strategy 4:
Integrate
Land Use and
Transportation
Strategy 5:
Prepare for an
Uncertain
Future
38 Priority Actions to Support the 5 Strategies*

75. FREQUENT RAPID TRANSIT NETWORK
76

76. 77
THE FRTN – A MULTI-LAYERED RAPID TRANSIT NETWORK
•Integrated network
•Fast, reliable service
•Frequent (every10-15 minutes all-day)
•Customer focus

77. 2041 RTP KPI DASHBOARD
78
Key Performance Measures:

•Length of Infrastructure
•Transit Travel Time
•Total Trips & Mode Share
•People in Walking
Distance to Transit

•Congested Travel (VKT)
•GHGs per capita from auto
driver trips

78. 79
EXPANDED TRANSIT, CYCLING AND HOV INFRASTRUCTURE

79. 80
SHORTER TRAVEL TIME

82. INCREASE IN TRANSIT TRIPS
83

83. 84

84. 85
GREATER ACCESS TO FREQUENT RAPID TRANSIT – INCREASING EQUITY

85. BENEFITS OF THE 2041 RTP
86

86. Business Cases:
How We Make Decisions

87. 88
THE FRTN – A MULTI-LAYERED RAPID TRANSIT NETWORK
•Integrated network
•Fast, reliable service
•Frequent (every10-15 minutes all-day)
•Customer focus
Developing this diverse network in a cost effective way requires a robust
methodology to maximize value for money through ridership growth and
customer benefits  business cases

88. COMPONENTS OF A METROLINX BUSINESS CASE
METROLINX BUSINESS CASES
FINANCIAL
CASE
STRATEGIC
CASE
ECONOMIC
CASE
DELIVERABILITY &
OPERATIONS CASE
•Determines the strategic
value of addressing a
problem
•Options are evaluated
against strategic objectives
•Establishes ‘why’ a project
should be pursued
•Assesses economic costs
and benefits to individuals
and society
•Establishes ‘what the benefit
to society’ is in economic
terms
•Assesses affordability and
financial value for money
•Focuses on capital and
resource requirements for
the corporation
•Establishes ‘how much the
project will cost’ in financial
terms
•Provides evidence on
engineering viability
•May consider procurement
strategies, and deliverability
and operating risks
•Establishes ‘what is required
to deliver and operate’ the
project
89

89. BUSINESS CASES AT METROLINX
90
•Business Cases ensure investments are consistent
with our goals and strategic objectives
•Provide the appropriate level of evidence for
decisions throughout the project’s lifecycle
•Create clear accountability and defined roles and
responsibilities for decisions
•Create a feedback loop from project initiation to
post in-service evaluation to support continuous
improvement
METROLINX BUSINESS CASES

90. EVIDENCE IS REFINED THROUGH THE PROJECT LIFECYCLE
METROLINX BUSINESS CASES 91

91. 92 92
A Personal Call to Action: Safety

92. ROAD SAFETY
93 HTTPS://WWW.CHANGE.ORG/P/ONTARIO -GOVERNEMENT -ONTARIO-MUST-CHANGE-LAWS-TO-PROTECT-VULNERABLE-ROAD-USERS-NOW

93. ROAD SAFETY
94 HTTPS://WWW.CHANGE.ORG/P/ONTARIO -GOVERNEMENT -ONTARIO-MUST-CHANGE-LAWS-TO-PROTECT-VULNERABLE-ROAD-USERS-NOW

94. VISION ZERO SEEKS TO ELIMINATE ALL FATALITIES & INJURIES
95

HTTPS://WWW.TORONTO.CA/SERVICES -PAYMENTS/STREETS -PARKING-TRANSPORTATION/ROAD-SAFETY/VISION-ZERO/SAFETY-MEASURES-AND-MAPPING/

95. BLOOR STREET BIKE LANE PILOT
96

96. WHAT IS SUCCESS?
97
•Start with the right goals
& criteria for evaluation
•Make changes & test the
impacts
•Use compelling visual
story telling techniques
to report on findings
•Involve the public in the
decision making process,
be transparent
•Politics matter

97. ROAD MAP REVIEW
98
Introduction to Research & Planning Analytics & Story Telling
Linking Healthy Built Environments to Health Outcomes: EDI, HBE, MHMC…
Case Study: Measuring Performance of the 2041 Regional Transportation Plan
a)Regional Trends & Opportunities
b)Focus on Access to Transit
c)RTP KPIs: Measuring What Matters
Business Cases – An evidence-Based Approach to Investment Decisions
A Call to Action: Protection for Vulnerable Road Users

98. DISCUSSION IDEAS

99
•There is always a story in the data/analysis
•What’s the story?
•What does it mean?
•How can I tell that story in a compelling way to inspire action?

•What topics are you most interested in your careers?
•How can you play a role in shaping the regional transport system?

•What are the impacts of autonomous vehicles or an aging population?
•How do we measure health benefits of Active Transportation?

•Any other questions or thoughts?




INSERT FOOTER

99. FEBRUARY 15, 2019, UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO
ACADEMIC ROUNDS, DALLA LANA SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
Research & Planning Analytics, Planning & Development, Metrolinx
Anthony. [email protected]
Director: [email protected]
Thank You