Marketing To The Machines: Why Algorithms Are Our Destiny

wearesocialsg 30,909 views 183 slides Jun 27, 2017
Slide 1
Slide 1 of 183
Slide 1
1
Slide 2
2
Slide 3
3
Slide 4
4
Slide 5
5
Slide 6
6
Slide 7
7
Slide 8
8
Slide 9
9
Slide 10
10
Slide 11
11
Slide 12
12
Slide 13
13
Slide 14
14
Slide 15
15
Slide 16
16
Slide 17
17
Slide 18
18
Slide 19
19
Slide 20
20
Slide 21
21
Slide 22
22
Slide 23
23
Slide 24
24
Slide 25
25
Slide 26
26
Slide 27
27
Slide 28
28
Slide 29
29
Slide 30
30
Slide 31
31
Slide 32
32
Slide 33
33
Slide 34
34
Slide 35
35
Slide 36
36
Slide 37
37
Slide 38
38
Slide 39
39
Slide 40
40
Slide 41
41
Slide 42
42
Slide 43
43
Slide 44
44
Slide 45
45
Slide 46
46
Slide 47
47
Slide 48
48
Slide 49
49
Slide 50
50
Slide 51
51
Slide 52
52
Slide 53
53
Slide 54
54
Slide 55
55
Slide 56
56
Slide 57
57
Slide 58
58
Slide 59
59
Slide 60
60
Slide 61
61
Slide 62
62
Slide 63
63
Slide 64
64
Slide 65
65
Slide 66
66
Slide 67
67
Slide 68
68
Slide 69
69
Slide 70
70
Slide 71
71
Slide 72
72
Slide 73
73
Slide 74
74
Slide 75
75
Slide 76
76
Slide 77
77
Slide 78
78
Slide 79
79
Slide 80
80
Slide 81
81
Slide 82
82
Slide 83
83
Slide 84
84
Slide 85
85
Slide 86
86
Slide 87
87
Slide 88
88
Slide 89
89
Slide 90
90
Slide 91
91
Slide 92
92
Slide 93
93
Slide 94
94
Slide 95
95
Slide 96
96
Slide 97
97
Slide 98
98
Slide 99
99
Slide 100
100
Slide 101
101
Slide 102
102
Slide 103
103
Slide 104
104
Slide 105
105
Slide 106
106
Slide 107
107
Slide 108
108
Slide 109
109
Slide 110
110
Slide 111
111
Slide 112
112
Slide 113
113
Slide 114
114
Slide 115
115
Slide 116
116
Slide 117
117
Slide 118
118
Slide 119
119
Slide 120
120
Slide 121
121
Slide 122
122
Slide 123
123
Slide 124
124
Slide 125
125
Slide 126
126
Slide 127
127
Slide 128
128
Slide 129
129
Slide 130
130
Slide 131
131
Slide 132
132
Slide 133
133
Slide 134
134
Slide 135
135
Slide 136
136
Slide 137
137
Slide 138
138
Slide 139
139
Slide 140
140
Slide 141
141
Slide 142
142
Slide 143
143
Slide 144
144
Slide 145
145
Slide 146
146
Slide 147
147
Slide 148
148
Slide 149
149
Slide 150
150
Slide 151
151
Slide 152
152
Slide 153
153
Slide 154
154
Slide 155
155
Slide 156
156
Slide 157
157
Slide 158
158
Slide 159
159
Slide 160
160
Slide 161
161
Slide 162
162
Slide 163
163
Slide 164
164
Slide 165
165
Slide 166
166
Slide 167
167
Slide 168
168
Slide 169
169
Slide 170
170
Slide 171
171
Slide 172
172
Slide 173
173
Slide 174
174
Slide 175
175
Slide 176
176
Slide 177
177
Slide 178
178
Slide 179
179
Slide 180
180
Slide 181
181
Slide 182
182
Slide 183
183

About This Presentation

We look at how algorithms will shape the future of absolutely everything in our lives – and what this means for marketers.


Slide Content

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•1
MARKETING TO
THE MACHINES
WHY ALGORITHMS WILL DEFINE THE FUTURE OF ABSOLUTELY EVERYTHING
SUZIE SHAW & SIMON KEMP • we are social•VIVID IDEAS•SYDNEY, 30 MAY 2017

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•2
SIMON KEMP
@eskimon
SUZIE SHAW
@suzsha

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•3

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•4
IN THIS PRESENTATION…
1.KITTENS
2.SEX
3.MARKETING
4.THE END OF THE WORLD?
5.A GLIMMER OF HOPE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•5
THANKS TO CONTAGIOUSFOR ALLOWING US
TO USE THEIR CONTENT IN THIS PRESENTATION

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•6
CONTEXT

7
TOTAL
POPULATION
INTERNET
USERS
ACTIVE SOCIAL
MEDIA USERS
UNIQUE
MOBILE USERS
ACTIVE MOBILE
SOCIAL USERS
BILLIONBILLIONBILLIONBILLIONBILLION
URBANISATION:PENETRATION:PENETRATION:PENETRATION:PENETRATION:
SOURCES:POPULATION:UNITED NATIONS; U.S. CENSUS BUREAU;INTERNET:INTERNETWORLDSTATS; ITU; INTERNETLIVESTATS; CIA WORLD FACTBOOK; FACEBOOK;
NATIONAL REGULATORY AUTHORITIES;SOCIAL MEDIA AND MOBILE SOCIAL MEDIA:FACEBOOK; TENCENT; VKONTAKTE; LIVEINTERNET.RU; KAKAO; NAVER; NIKI
AGHAEI; CAFEBAZAAR.IR; SIMILARWEB; DING; EXTRAPOLATION OF TNSDATA;MOBILE:GSMAINTELLIGENCE; EXTRAPOLATION OF EMARKETERAND ERICSSON DATA.
GLOBAL DIGITAL SNAPSHOTMAY
2017THE LATEST NUMBERS FOR INTERNET, SOCIAL MEDIA, AND MOBILE USAGE AROUND THE WORLD
7.5033.8112.9094.9712.700
54%51%39%66%36%

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•8
HALF THE WORLDIS ALREADY ONLINE, AND
1 MILLIONNEW USERS CONNECT EVERY DAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•9
CONNECTED TECH IS ALREADY A CENTRAL
PARTOF MOST OF OUR DAILY LIVES, TOO

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•10
TOP APP CATEGORIES AROUND THE WORLD
COMMSCONTENTGAMESTRAVELSHOPPING
FOODFITNESSHEALTHDATINGFINANCES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•11
ALMOST ALL OF THIS CONNECTED TECH IS
POWERED BY SOME SORT OF ALGORITHM

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•12
AS OUR DIGITAL DEPENDENCE INCREASES,
SO ALGORITHMS’ INFLUENCEINCREASES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•13
ALGORITHMS ALREADY SHAPE THE MOST
CRITICAL ASPECTSOF OUR DAILY LIVES…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•14

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•15
IT SEEMS FLIPPANT, BUT BUZZFEEDIS A GREAT
EXAMPLE OF THE UBIQUITYOF ALGORITHMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•16
BUZZFEED’SENTIRE MODEL IS BUILT ON
ALGORITHMSAND MACHINE LEARNING

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•17
BuzzFeedis powered by an algorithmthat
monitors the behaviourof hundreds of millions
of visitors across various partner sites. When
the algorithm identifies a piece of content that
is attracting disproportionate traffic via social
sharing–i.e. ‘viral’ content –the algorithm moves
that content to the heart of BuzzFeed’shomepage.

Redacted from posts on BuzzFeed’sown blog

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•18
BUZZFEED’SALGORITHM NOW ACCURATELY
PREDICTSWHAT CONTENT PEOPLE WILL SHARE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•19
AS A RESULT, ALGORITHMS INFORM& INSPIRE
ALL THE CONTENT THAT BUZZFEEDPUBLISHES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•20
BUT THE INFLUENCE OF ALGORITHMS ON DAILY
LIFEEXTENDS WELL BEYOND CURATED KITTENS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•21
ALGORITHMS ALREADY INFLUENCE:
ALGORITHMS IN SOCIAL
MEDIA SELECT WHOSE
POSTS WE SEE, SHAPING
OUR RELATIONSHIPS
SUGGESTION ENGINES
(‘PEOPLE ALSO BOUGHT’)
SHAPE AWARENESS AND
INFLUENCE PURCHASES
WHO WE
TALK TO
WHAT
WE BUY
THE ROUTES SELECTED BY
DIGITAL MAPS DETERMINE
THE NEIGHBOURHOODS WE
VISIT AND BUY PROPERTY IN
WHERE
WE GO
STOCK TRADING SYSTEMS
DETERMINE SHARE PRICES,
IMPACTING OUR SAVINGS
AND OUR SALARIES
HOW MUCH
WE EARN
ALGORITHMS IN DATING
APPS PLAY A KEY ROLE IN
DETERMINING WHO WE
MEET, DATE, AND MARRY
WHO WE
MARRY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•22
Algorithms are already
influencing the entire future
gene poolof humanity.

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•23
IRONICALLY, INSTEAD OF KILLING US OFF,
THE ROBOTS ARE HELPING US PROPAGATE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•24
BUT WHAT EXACTLY ARETHESE ‘ALGORITHMS’
THAT ARE DEFINING THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•25
An algorithm is a finite set
of unambiguous instructions,
performed in a prescribed
sequence, to achieve a goal.“
The American Heritage Science Dictionary

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•26
ALGORITHMS SIT SOMEWHERE BETWEEN
MATHS FORMULAEAND COMPUTER PROGRAMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•27
FOR MOST PEOPLE, EITHER OF THOSE THINGS
IS ENOUGH TO GIVE US THE HEEBIEJEEBIES!

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•28
SO WHY ARE WE ALLOWINGALGORITHMS TO
CONTROL SO MANY ASPECTS OF OUR LIVES?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•29
FITTINGLY, THE ANSWERMAY LIE IN
ONE OF THOSE MATHS FORMULAE…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•30
SCIENTISTS HAVE ACTUALLY CRACKED THE
FORMULAFOR ETERNAL HUMAN HAPPINESS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•31
READY?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•32
Happiness(t) =w0+w1∑!t–jCRj+w2
j=1
t

j=1
t
!t–jEVj+w3∑
j=1
t
!t–jRPEj

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•33
ESSENTIAL
CONCLUSION

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•34
HAPPINESS IS SO INSANELY COMPLEXTHAT WE
MIGHT AS WELL ABDICATE IT TO ALGORITHMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•35
BUT SERIOUSLY…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•36
HOW ALGORITHMS ADD VALUE TO OUR LIVES
WE CAN’T EVALUATE
SO MANY OPTIONS;
ALGORITHMS HELP TO
FOCUS OUR OPTIONS
WE STRUGGLE TO MAKE
INFORMED CHOICES
ABOUT COMPLEX OR
CONFUSING SUBJECTS
TOO MANY
CHOICES
LACK OF
CONFIDENCE
WE WANT TO
‘DELEGATE’ LOWER-
VALUE AND LOWER-
INTEREST TASKS
IMPROVED
EFFICIENCY
WE WANT MORE OF
THE THINGS WE LIKE;
ALGORITHMS HELP
US TO FIND THEM
SEARCH FOR
INSPIRATION

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•37
HOWEVER, THIS RELIANCE ON ALGORITHMS
ISN’T JUST SHAPING SPECIFIC ACTIVITIES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•38
IT’S ALSO GOING TO CHANGE THE
WAY THAT OUR BRAINS WORK

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•39
UBIQUITOUS ACCESS TO THE INTERNET HAS
ALREADY CHANGED HOW WE FORM MEMORIES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•40
Studies show that when we’re faced with
difficult questions, our first reaction is to reach
for our connected devices. What’s more, when
we expect to have future access to information,
we have lower rates of recall of the information
itself, but enhanced recall for where to find it.

Redacted from Sparrow, Liu & Wegner (2011), “Google’s Effect on Memory…”

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•41
ALGORITHMS WILL LIKELY HAVE A SIMILAR
IMPACT ON THE WAY WE MAKE DECISIONS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•42
THE EVOLUTION OF DECISION INFLUENCES
FOR THE MAJORITY OF HUMAN
EXISTENCE, THE PEOPLE WE KNEW
AND INTERACTED WITH HAD THE
GREATEST INFLUENCE ON CHOICE
FOR THE PAST 150 YEARS, MASS-
MEDIA JOURNALISM & ADVERTISING
TOOK OVER AS THE GREATEST
INFLUENCE ON PEOPLE’S CHOICES
SOCIAL
CIRCLES
MEDIA
COVERAGE
VERY SOON, THE DATA COLLECTED,
PROCESSED AND SHARED BY OUR
DEVICES WILL BECOME THE MAIN
FACTOR IN OUR DECISION-MAKING
TECHNICAL
PROCESSES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•43
OUR INCREASING RELIANCE ON ALGORITHMS
HAS MASSIVE IMPLICATIONSFOR MARKETING

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•44
“MASSIVE”?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•45
FUTURE BUSINESS SUCCESS WILL DEPEND ON
HOW WELL WE CAN INFLUENCE ALGORITHMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•46
MARKETING
TO THE
MACHINES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•47
THIS HAS ALREADY STARTED, BUT IT’S ABOUT
TO TAKE OFFIN A MUCH BIGGER WAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•48
VOICE-POWERED DEVICESWILL ACCELERATE
THE TRANSITION TO ALGORITHMIC MARKETING

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•49
WHY?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•50
THINK ABOUT HOW YOU TALK TO FRIENDS AND
FAMILY ABOUT THE GROCERIESYOU NEED…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•51
YOU’RE MORE LIKELY TO TALK ABOUT ‘BEER,
CHIPS& ICE CREAM’ THAN SPECIFIC BRANDS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•52
MOST PEOPLE THINK –AND SHOP –IN TERMS
OF NEEDS AND CATEGORIES, NOT BRANDS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•53
THAT’S MOST LIKELY HOW THEY’LL ORDER ON
VOICE-CONTROLLEDSHOPPING DEVICES, TOO

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•54
!

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•55
WHO WILL DECIDE ON THE BRANDWHEN THE
SHOPPER DOESN’T SPECIFY ONE DIRECTLY?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•56
THE VOICE CHALLENGE: CHOOSING BRANDS
THE DEVICE’S SHOPPING
‘ASSISTANT’ WILL ASK US
TO SPECIFY WHICH
BRAND WE WANT TO BUY
THE PLATFORM WILL
DEFAULT TO THE BRAND
WE USUALLY BUY / LAST
BOUGHT IN THE CATEGORY
THE DEVICE
WILL ASK US
RECURRING
CHOICES
THE PLATFORM WILL
SELECT A BRAND BASED
ON WHAT OUR SOCIAL
CONNECTIONS BUY
SOCIAL
ENGINES
THE PLATFORM WILL
CHOOSE A BRAND FOR
US, BASED ON A VARIETY
OF ALGORITHMIC INPUTS
THE PLATFORM
DECIDES
?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•57
THE ALGORITHMS CAN DECIDE FOR US
THE DEVICE’S SHOPPING
‘ASSISTANT’ WILL ASK US
TO SPECIFY WHICH
BRAND WE WANT TO BUY
THE PLATFORM WILL
DEFAULT TO THE BRAND
WE USUALLY BUY / LAST
BOUGHT IN THE CATEGORY
THE DEVICE
WILL ASK US
RECURRING
CHOICES
THE PLATFORM WILL
SELECT A BRAND BASED
ON WHAT OUR SOCIAL
CONNECTIONS BUY
SOCIAL
ENGINES
THE PLATFORM WILL
CHOOSE A BRAND FOR
US, BASED ON A VARIETY
OF ALGORITHMIC INPUTS
THE PLATFORM
DECIDES
?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•58
BUT WHAT MIGHT THAT ‘VARIETY OF
ALGORITHMIC INPUTS’ INCLUDE?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•59
The best–and worst–thing about
Google Home is that it plugs into
the Google brain, and everything
that company knows about me. “
Tim Bradshaw, Financial Times, as cited in Contagious

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•60
‘EVERYTHING’

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•61
GOOGLE REALLY DOES KNOW EVERYTHING
SEARCHGMAILCALENDARYOUTUBEDOCS
AD NETWORKSCHROMEMAPSHOME & NESTANDROID

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•62
LET’S PUT THIS INTO CONTEXT…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•63
“THE FOUR HORSEMEN”
EVERYTHING WE BUY,
WHAT WE’LL LIKELY BUY
NEXT, AND THE CONTENT
WE WATCH & LISTEN TO
EVERYTHING WE ‘LIKE’,
WHETHER THAT’S ON
FACEBOOK, OR ANY WEB
SITE WITH A LIKE BUTTON
AMAZONFACEBOOK
ANYTHING THAT APPLE
USERS DO THAT NEEDS
COMPUTING OR AN
INTERNET CONNECTION
APPLE
EVERYTHING THAT WE
DO, PRETTY MUCH
ANYWHERE… AND
PROBABLY MORE TOO
GOOGLE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•64
AMAZON ALREADY HAS ENOUGH DATA TO
KNOW WHAT I’LL BUY, BEFOREI KNOW MYSELF

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•65
BUT AMAZON’S DATA IS STILL PRIMARILY
ROOTED IN COMMERCEAND CONTENT

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•66
FACEBOOK TAKES THINGS A SIGNIFICANT STEP
FURTHER BY FOLLOWING US ACROSS THE WEB

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•67
UBIQUITOUS ‘LIKE’ BUTTONS GIVE FACEBOOK
EXCEPTIONALLY RICH INSIGHTSINTO OUR LIVES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•68
By analysing just 68 of our Facebook ‘likes’,
researchers can predict our skin colour, sexual
orientation, religious affiliation, political leaning,
intelligence, and even our alcohol, cigarette, and
drug use to a high degree of accuracy. 70 ‘likes’
are enough to outdowhat our friends know, 150
what our parents know, and 300 ‘likes’ what our
partner knows. More than that, and they start to
know us better than we think we know ourselves.

Redacted from “How Our Likes Helped Trump
Win”, Grassegger& Krogerus, Motherboard

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•69
BUT IF FACEBOOK ONLY NEEDS A FEW ‘LIKES’TO
KNOW US AS WELL AS WE KNOW OURSELVES…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•70
GOOGLE’S REACH GOES FAR BEYOND ‘LIKES’
SEARCHGMAILCALENDARYOUTUBEDOCS
AD NETWORKSCHROMEMAPSHOME & NESTANDROID

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•71
EVEN IF WE FOCUS SOLELY ON ITS ANDROID
PLATFORM, GOOGLE KNOWS FAR, FAR MORE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•72
GOOGLE KNOWS MORE THAN SANTA CLAUS
ALL THE CONTENT WE
CONSUME, AND WHAT
WE WRITE ABOUT IT IN
DOCS, EMAILS, ETC.
LOCATION SERVICES &
MAPS LOCATE AND
TRACK US TO WITHIN
JUST A FEW METRES
EVERYTHING
WE KNOW
EVERYWHERE
WE GO
LOCATION TRACKING ON
EVERYONE’S DEVICES
MEANS GOOGLE KNOWS
WHO WE’RE WITH TOO
EVERYONE
WE MEET
ACCELEROMETERS AND
HEARTRATE MONITORS
TRACK OUR HEALTH
AND EMOTIONAL STATE
OUR HEALTH
& VITALITY
BY ANALYSING OUR
CALENDAR EVENTS,
GOOGLE CAN EVEN
PREDICT OUR FUTURE
WHAT WE’LL
DO NEXT

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•73
Even when you’re not usingyour
phone, its motion sensor captures
how quickly you move and how far
you travel –data which can reveal
insights into your emotional state.“
Adapted from “How Our Likes Helped Trump
Win”, Grassegger& Krogerus, Motherboard

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•74"

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•75
ANDROID CURRENTLY POWERS MORE THAN
3 BILLIONSMARTPHONES AROUND THE WORLD
• SOURCES: EXTRAPOLATED FROM GSMAINTELLIGENCE, ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT, AND STATCOUNTERDATA

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•76
GOOGLE KNOWS EVERYTHING
ABOUT EVERYBODY, EVERYWHERE...

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•77
HOWEVER, EVEN GOOGLE’S EXPERTS HAVE
STRUGGLED TO MAKE SENSEOF ALL THIS DATA

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•78
#FIRSTWORLDPROBLEMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•79
GOOGLE’S ANSWER –OBVIOUSLY –IS TO USE
ALGORITHMSTO ADDRESS THEIR CHALLENGE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•80
THIS IS WHERE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
AND MACHINE LEARNINGCOME INTO FRAME

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•81
Artificially intelligent systems
are agents that can receive
perceptsfrom the environment
and takesubsequent actions
that affectthat environment.

Adapted from Russell & Norvig(1995),
“Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach”

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•82
TYPES OF MACHINE ‘INTELLIGENCE’
SYSTEMS THAT AMPLIFY THE
VALUE OF EXISTING RULE-BASED,
REPEATABLE ACTIVITIES (E.G.
GMAIL’S AUTO-FILTERING SYSTEM)
SELF-REFINING SYSTEMS THAT
ADD NEW CAPABILITY TO HUMAN
ACTIVITY (E.G. NETFLIX’S
RECOMMENDATION ENGINE)
ASSISTED
INTELLIGENCE
AUGMENTED
INTELLIGENCE
SYSTEMS THAT MAKE DECISIONS
WITHOUT DIRECT HUMAN
INVOLVEMENT OR OVERSIGHT
(E.G. STOCK TRADING ALGOS)
AUTONOMOUS
INTELLIGENCE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•83
GOOGLE IS USING THESE TECHNOLOGIESTO
ADDRESS OUR MOST EXISTENTIAL CRISES…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•84

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•85
BUT, AS WITH BUZZFEED’SKITTENS, THIS A.I.
APPLICATION IS NOT AS FLIPPANTAS IT SEEMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•86
If a computer defeats a human
Go champion, it will be a sign
that artificial intelligence is
truly beginning to become
as good as the real thing.
Piet Hut (astrophysicist), Institute for Advanced Study, 1997

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•87
BUT WHY ‘GO’?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•88
2.082 x10170

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•89
2.082 x10170
(MORE THAN DOUBLETHE NUMBER OF ATOMS IN THE UNIVERSE)

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•90
It may be 100 yearsbefore
a computer beats humans
at Go –maybe even longer.
Piet Hut (astrophysicist), New Jersey Institute for Advanced Study, 1997“

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•91
( AHEM )

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•92

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•93
HOW?!

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•94
[Google’s team] programmed
AlphaGoto be able to teach
itself, and not just carry out a
set of fixed moves or activities.
Adapted from Jon Russel, TechCrunch

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•95
THE ALPHAGOALGORITHM REPLICATEDITSELF
MILLIONS OF TIMES IN ORDER TO LEARN FASTER

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•96
ALGORITHMS CAN NOW WRITE THEIR OWN
ALGORITHMS WITHOUT HUMAN INTERVENTION

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•97
WHAT’S MORE, THESE ALGORITHMS AREN’T
JUST OUTPERFORMING US AT BOARD GAMES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•98

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•99
There isn’t a human alive today
who knows how to program a driverless
car; these systems are all being built
using machine learning algorithms.“
Patrick Jeffrey, Head of Trends, Contagious

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•100
REASSURINGLY, WE REALLY ARE USING A.I. TO
SOLVE HUMANITY’SMOST SERIOUS PROBLEMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•101
[IBM] Watson’s successful
diagnosis rate for lung cancer is
90%, compared to a success rate
of just 50% in human doctors.
Ian Steadman, Wired, as cited in Contagious

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•102
VERY SOON, WE’LL RELY ON A.I. FOR ALL OF
THE MOST CRITICAL THINGS IN OUR LIVES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•103
YOU’RE NOT ALONE IF THAT WORRIES YOU;
MANY PEOPLE ARE FEARFULOF A.I.’SPROGRESS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•104
EVEN THE WORLD’S BEST MINDS ARE WARNING
THAT A.I. MAY TRIGGER HUMANITY’S DOWNFALL

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•105

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•106
Artificial intelligence is our
greatest existential threat.“
Elon Musk

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•107

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•108
Success in creating A.I. would
be the biggest event in human
history. Unfortunately, it might
also be the last, unless we learn
how to avoid the associated risks.
Stephen Hawking

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•109
BUT WE MUST BE CAREFUL NOT TO CONFLATE
A.I. WITH HUMAN BIOLOGICAL IMPERATIVES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•110
ALGORITHMS DO NOTCOMPETE FOR THE
SAME RESOURCES OR MATES AS HUMANS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•111
MORE IMPORTANTLY, WHILST EARTHIS IDEAL
FOR HUMANS, IT’S NOT IDEALFOR A.I. SYSTEMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•112
A.I.’S‘HIERARCHY OF NEEDS’
A.I. MACHINES WILL SOON
WORK OUT HOW TO POWER
THEMSELVES ENTIRELY USING
SOLAR (OR ANY STAR’S) ENERGY
IN ORDER TO REPLICATE,
MACHINES WILL NEED ACCESS
TO ELEMENTS THAT ARE MORE
EASILY FOUND IN SPACE
POWERPARTS
HUMANS POSE THE GREATEST
THREAT TO A.I. MACHINES’
SUCCESS, BUT IT’LL BE EASY
TO LEAVE US ALL BEHIND
PEACE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•113
RATHER THAN KILL US, A.I. WILL MORE LIKELY
ABANDON USLIKE A RECALCITRANT TEENAGER

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•114
THE REAL A.I. THREAT TO HUMANITY COMES
FROM HUMANITY MISUSINGAND ABUSINGA.I.

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•115
THE ‘WEAPONISATION’ OF A.I.
IS OF PARTICULAR CONCERN

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•116
A.I. warfare is inevitable.
U.S. Department of Defence report“

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•117
SO, HOW CAN WE MITIGATETHIS
TRULY TERRIFYING PROSPECT?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•118
THE ANSWER MAY LIE IN SOMETHING MOST OF
US WOULD NEVER ASSOCIATEWITH MACHINES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•119
EMPATHY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•120
PEOPLE OFTEN THINK OF EMPATHY AS A
UNIQUELY HUMANTRAIT, DEFINED BY EMOTION

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•121
OUR BLEAKEST VISIONS OF THE FUTURE OFTEN
FOCUS ON MACHINES THAT LACK EMPATHY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•122

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•123
HOWEVER, EMPATHY IS MORETHAN JUST AN
INNATE EMOTION OR BIOLOGICAL RESPONSE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•124
The ability to feeland understand
what another person is feeling,
and to interactwith that person
in a manner that is appropriateto
theirmental and emotional state.

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•125
CRUCIALLY, A LARGE PART OF EMPATHY IS
LEARNED–SO IT CAN ALSO BE ENCODED

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•126
ARTIFICIAL
EMPATHY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•127
‘A.E.’ ISN’T JUST HYPOTHETICAL, EITHER; A
NUMBER OF PROTOTYPESALREADY EXIST

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•128

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•129
BUT THE ‘VALUE’ OF A.E. WILL DEPEND ON HOW,
AND HOW WELL, EMPATHY HAS BEEN ENCODED

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•130
THE CHALLENGE WITH EMPATHY IS THAT IT IS
INDIVIDUALLY AND CULTURALLY SUBJECTIVE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•131
THE SUBJECTIVE BIASES OF HUMAN CODERS
WILL LIKELY END UP SHAPINGA.E. SYSTEMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•132
BUT, JUST AS A.I. IS ALREADY WRITING NEW
A.I., THESE SYSTEMS WILL WRITE NEW A.E.TOO

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•133
BUT WILL A.E. SYSTEMS BUILT BY A.I. SYSTEMS
EMPATHISE WITH HUMANSIN THE LONG-TERM?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•134#

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•135
AS WITH ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, THERE WILL
BE DIFFERENT LEVELSOF ARTIFICIAL EMPATHY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•136
LEVELS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
SYSTEMS THAT CAN DETECT THE
EMOTIONS EXHIBITED BY A HUMAN
INTERACTOR, AND SUGGEST
OPTIONS BASED ON PRE-CODING
SYSTEMS THAT CAN PREDICT
HOW A CERTAIN INTERACTION
MAY ESCALATE, BASED ON
CURRENT EMOTION & BEHAVIOUR
ASSISTED
EMPATHY
AUGMENTED
EMPATHY
SYSTEMS THAT CAN INDEPENDENTLY
IDENTIFY & FORECAST EMOTIONAL
CONTEXTS, AND ADJUST THEIR
ACTIONS AS APPROPRIATE
AUTONOMOUS
EMPATHY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•137
IT WILL LIKELY BE A FEW YEARS BEFORE ANY
OF THESE SYSTEMS BECOMES WIDESPREAD

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•138
HOWEVER

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•139
AS WE SAW EARLIER, OUR SMARTPHONES
CAN ALREADY INFER OUR EMOTIONAL STATE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•140
SO, IT MIGHT NOT TAKE AS LONG AS WE THINK
BEFORE A.E. INTERFACES ARE EVERYWHERE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•141
$Seems like you
had a crazy day!
You totally deserve
an ice-cold beer.

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•142
BUT THE REAL SIGNIFICANCEOF A.E. ISN’T
ABOUT DEVICE-TO-HUMAN INTERACTIONS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•143
THE BIG QUESTION IS, HOW WILL EMPATHETIC
A.I. SYSTEMS INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•144
A.I. warfare is inevitable.
U.S. Department of Defence report“

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•145

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•146
A strange game. The
only winning move
is not to play at all.
Joshua, the A.I. system in the movie, WarGames.“

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•147
INTERACTING A.E. SYSTEMS SHOULD QUICKLY
CONCLUDE THAT ALL WARFARE IS POINTLESS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•148
SO, WHILE A.E. CRACKS WORLD PEACE, WE
CAN RETURN TO MORE FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•149
MARKETING

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•150
IN ALL SERIOUSNESS THOUGH, ALL OF THIS IS
COMING, SO WE NEED TO START PREPARING

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•151
SO, WHAT DO YOUNEED TO KNOW AND DO
TO EFFECTIVELY MARKET TO THE MACHINES?

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•152
3 TIPS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•153
#1
UNDERSTAND
WHERE YOU STAND

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•154
“THE FOUR HORSEMEN”
EVERYTHING WE BUY,
WHAT WE’LL LIKELY BUY
NEXT, AND SOON,
EVERYTHING WE WATCH
EVERYTHING WE ‘LIKE’,
WHETHER THAT’S ON
FACEBOOK, OR ANY
SITE WITH A LIKE BUTTON
AMAZONFACEBOOK
ANYTHING THAT APPLE
USERS DO THAT NEEDS
COMPUTING AND AN
INTERNET CONNECTION
APPLE
EVERYTHING THAT WE
DO, PRETTY MUCH
ANYWHERE, AND
PROBABLY MORE TOO
GOOGLE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•155
IN ALMOST ALL CASES, BRANDS SHOULD BE
APPROACHING THESE GIANTS AS PARTNERS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•156
THEIR DATA AND INSIGHTS SHOULD HELP US
IMPROVE OUR OFFERINGSAND OUR RESULTS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•157
!

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•158
PRIVACY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•159
THE LIKELY SOLUTION WILL BE THE RETURN
OF DATA OWNERSHIP TO INDIVIDUALS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•160
MIT is developing a blockchainthat
lets privacy-conscious individuals
securely store their personal data,
and selectively issue permissionto
other people and to organisationsto
use that data on a case-by-casebasis.
Adapted from Kim Nash, Wall Street Journal

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•161
FINANCE
HEALTHCARE
GOVERNMENT
EDUCATION
DATING
BRANDS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•162
THIS IS FASCINATING, BUT IT’S A RABBIT HOLE,
SO LET’S PARK THAT TOPIC FOR ANOTHER DAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•163
#2
UNDERSTAND
YOUR AUDIENCE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•164
MOST MARKETERS WE’VE SPOKEN TO ABOUT
MARKETING TO ALGORITHMS ARE TERRIFIED

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•165
BUT ALGORITHMS ARE FAR MORE PREDICTABLE
THAN IRRATIONAL ‘CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR’

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•166
IF WE TREAT ALGORITHMS AS JUST ANOTHER
AUDIENCE, WE’RE ALREADY HALFWAY THERE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•167
FUNCTIONAL
EMOTIONAL
TECHNICAL
&
&

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•168
GOOD NEWS:YOU DO NOTNEED TO
BECOME AN EXPERT IN ALGORITHMS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•169
…YOU JUST NEED TO BECOME AN EXPERT
IN IDENTIFYINGAND SELECTINGTHE EXPERTS

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•170
#3
GET STARTED
TODAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•171
Machine learning has created
the biggest business opportunity in
history. But this opportunity is only
going to be around for the next 3
to 5 years; the time to act is now.
Professor Pedro Domingos, University Of Washington, as cited in Contagious

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•172
WHAT?!

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•173
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING
ALGORITHMS WRITINGALGORITHMS WRITING…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•174
1,2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024...

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•175
UNASSAILABLE
ADVANTAGE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•176
“YOU SNOOZE, YOU LOSE” –DON’T END UP A
VICTIMOF THOSE UNASSAILABLE ADVANTAGES

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•177
EXPLORE HOW YOU CAN START MOVING
UP THAT CURVEAS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•178
THAT DOESN’T MEAN YOU MUST CREATE YOUR
OWN ‘BRAND ALGORITHMS’ STRAIGHT AWAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•179
BUT IT DOES MEAN YOU NEED TO START
DEVELOPING YOUR BRAND’S PLANTODAY

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•180
WHAT THAT LOOKS LIKE WILL BE
SPECIFIC TO EACH BUSINESS…

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•181
...BUT IF YOU’D LIKE SOME HELP GETTING
STARTED, FEEL FREE TO GET IN TOUCH WITH US:

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•182
SIMON KEMP
@eskimon
SUZIE SHAW
@suzsha

#VividIdeas• @eskimon& @suzsha•183
SIMON KEMP
@ESKIMON
[email protected]
+65 9146 5356
WEARESOCIAL.COM