Quixoticity index 2018 comms connect final slides - revised

The critical communications industry/community is on a long journey from the ultra-reliable, low-latency voice & short data-centric solutions of 2010 towards the fully-developed 5G URLLC solutions of 2030. The challenge our relatively niche community faces is to make sure our full needs & requirements & those of our wider societies are included in the 5G roadmap. Quixoticity Index - focusing on mission-critical improvements to 5G that help societies & economies achieve United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) - is a response to this need & is intended to inform & guide our industry/community on our journey to a better, smarter, safer world by 2030

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Presentation Title: Global public safety and critical
communications on the road to 5G
Presented By: Peter Clemons, Founder, Quixoticity

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The Index
•The critical communications world
•Mission-critical, 5G & United Nations SDGs
•8 countries, 8 companies
•3 layers of interrelated categories
•Quixoticity Index 2018 results
•Gap Analysis & next steps

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A few words about myself
•First degree in languages, literature & sociology
•Lived, worked & studied in Latin America (1985-94)
•MSc. Economics & Finance, University of Bristol, 1996
•First critical communications report published in 1996
•Member of Global TETRA Association (now TCCA) since 2001
•Director of Communications, Spain, TeltronicS.A.U. 2008- 12
•Director, Board Member, TCCA. 2010-12
•Founded Quixoticity in early 2012 to focus on next generation critical
communications leading to 5G
•First version of Quixoticity Index published in November 2017
•Critical communications projects carried out in 40+ countries, including
Europe, Americas, Asia- Pacific & Middle East
•Quixoticity is a full member of global standards organisations: ETSI &
3GPP (MCPTT, 5G critical communications requirements) as well as
TCCA & CW

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Critical communications in 2010
•Very different core solutions for public safety &
commercial users
•Commercial moving quickly to mobile broadband
•Limited interoperability; capacity
•Most procedures more reactive than proactive
•Voice-centric with messaging + non-critical data
•Austerity requiring more to be done with less
•Increasingly uncertain world of terrorism, natural
disasters, increased mobility, climate change & rapid
technological change

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Critical communications in 2030
•All critical & commercial users - human
or otherwise -everywhere, all the time,
with access to appropriate information
on secure, reliable, always-available
converged, fully-responsive & intelligent
core & edge platforms & devices with
access to mission-critical-grade, full 5G
capabilities for all basic services
•… or else?

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In search of a new model
•“Mission-critical, the SDGs and a full 5G vision are the triumvirate at
the core of a new way of thinking about our future world. This core
binds together a complex array of interconnected blocks – critical
concepts –to build a better, smarter, safer future for humanity.”
(Quixoticity Index 2017, p.21)

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Mission-critical
•Designed for when all other networks fail
•An end- to-end solution with guaranteed availability
•Whether in 2018, 2030 or 1950s, mission-critical never changes:
•The organisations themselves
–Public safety, armed forces, national security, most Critical National
Infrastructure (public/private)
•Coverage; Capacity; Service availability/continuity (99.99% min?)
•Security
–Physical, information, data, cyber, end- to-end/AI encryption
•Redundancy/resilience/fallback
•Staff/human factors
–Vetting, training, motivation
•The rise of machines & other forms of intelligence?
•A mind- set/basic capability rather than any single technology/network solution

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Full 5G
•The necessities of today v the dreams of tomorrow
•TETRA/P25 continue for many years
•LTE-AP –including MCX -continues for many years
•5G much more than just another generation of mobile comms -
the final G?
•SDN/NFV, AI/ML, AR/VR, Big Data/Analytics, blockchain, the
real Internet, full automation (zero-touch), robotics, additive
printing, rapid prototyping, new forms of energy, mobility,
quantum computing etc. etc.
•Visionary leaders, markets, agencies & enterprises will
comprehend and grasp the 5G opportunity.
•eURLLCto enable new critical features for a better, smarter,
safer world by 2030

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United Nations SDGs
(Agenda for sustainable development)
•GDP is a very poor metric for economic, social &
environmental growth/well- being
•We need an alternative model for our troubled times
of rapid technological change
•How does the world grow & develop sustainably,
leaving no-one behind?
•3 Landmark UN Agreements signed during 2015:
1. Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
2. Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
3. UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
(Paris Agreement)

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A few key nations
& companies

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A non-exclusive list
of relevant categories
Mission-Critical
2017
NG911/112
Transport
Latency
Cross-border
Local
Adaptation
SDN/NFV
National
Value-for-money
Value-Add
Reliability
MEC
Coverage
Radio AccessAgile
Innovation
Control Rooms
Market share
Co-creation
AI/ML
COTS
Public Warning Systems
Global
Culture
Funding
Cybersecurity
Core NetworkUN SDGs
Full 5G
Governance
Cross-agency
Open/Standards
Services/Apps
Finance
Security
Visionary Leadership
Disaster Preparedness
Spectrum/Regulation
Ecosystem
Migration
Interoperability
Infrastructure
Social Value
Sustainability
Multi-sector cooperation
Orchestration
D2D
Cloud
Devices
Profitability
Human factors
APIs
Data
Open source
Partnerships
3GPP
MCPTT
Portfolio
R&D
Business models
Drones RoboticsSafe cities
Hybrid

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A solid base + full innovation stack
on the road to 2030?
Automation
Integration
Network-as-a-service
Convergence
Glocal(Global + Local)
Openness
Governance
Sustainability
E2E Connectivity
Safety-Criticality

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Strategy/Power
Net differentiation of flagship products
Ability to drive strategic transformation
Market share in strategic target segments
Nations/companies status compared to others
Critical sector v commercial sector
Categories inspired by Geoffrey Moore’s “Escape Velocity”

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November 2018
-8 countries
73
83
80
79
78
81
80 80
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
Australia Finland France Germany Korea UAE UK USA

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November 2018
–8 companies
76
78
71
80
73
78
80
78
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
Airbus Ericsson Harris Huawei Hytera Motorola Nokia Samsung

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Gap Analysis
–the road ahead
•Nations
•European nations
–Reduce dependence on TETRA
–Accelerate innovation
–Spectrum
–Interoperability at higher layers
•Non-European nations
–Interoperability
–Common platforms
–Sustainability
–New business models
•Companies
•Traditional LMR/PMR
–Open platforms
–Cost considerations
–Accelerated innovation
–Migration/integration
•3GPP heavyweights
–Large-scale PPDR deployments
–Adaptation of commercial portfolios
–Cost considerations
–Understanding/reassuring user
community

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Next steps for Index
•Sensitivity analysis
•Continued engagement with nations, companies & all critical
communications stakeholders
•Increase the number of countries & companies in 2019 (start including
MNOs/SMVNOs etc.)
•Publish best-practice case studies
•Publish articles & reports explaining the methodology in greater detail
•Continue improving the underlying model integrating mission-critical
aspects into 5G to achieve UN SDGs by 2030
•Move to more agile, real-time data addition & score adjustments

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