Yetizen presentation on LTV

3,886 views 41 slides Apr 24, 2013
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About This Presentation

Presentation given to Yetizen on LTV: the importance of it, what to measure and how to affect it, and the predictive nature of LTV. Similar to previous presentation at Groundworks Lab with an added section on Uncertainty.


Slide Content

  How Lifetime value determines your success and how to impact it Lifetime Value

Presentation Overview

From Start-up to BigCo Relevant Background

Been there, done that

The three most important Letters for your Business: LTV Why Lifetime Value

Based on three performance metrics

Interdepence

Relationship between LTV and CPA

Think of LTV starting day 1

Crucial to any Business Importance beyond social media

Online offerings Netflix Ebates Farmville

B2B

SaaS Salesforce HootSuite Basecamp

Retail

Word of Mouth’s exponential effect Virality

Definition of virality K-score K= i * conv % (conversion percentage), where “ i ” is the number of invites sent out by each new customer and “ conv %” is the percentage of invites that convert into costumers

An advanced look

Importance of virality

Improving Virality

Crucial and hard to fix Retention

Definition of retention

Importance of retention If they do not come back, monetization improvements are virtually useless

Improving retention Product quality Get in their heads Make it social Make it global Use email and advertising for re-engagement

Show me the money Monetization

Definition of monetization

Importance of monetization

Improving monetization

Do not forget Variable COsts The Cost Side

Cost Drivers

There is no Single LTV LTV v aries among customers

Cohorts

Segments

Sources

It is a Prediction Uncertainty of LTV

Uncertainty Principle

Risk vs Uncertainty

The major difference between a thing that might go wrong and a thing that cannot possibly go wrong is that when a thing that cannot possibly go wrong goes wrong it usually turns out to be impossible to get at or repair,” wrote Douglas Adams in The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy series .

Do not discount qualitative information

Avoid Overfitting

Solutions

[email protected] www.lloydmelnick.com @ lloydmelnick Thank you