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order of magnitude) those elements that are amenable to quantification. For what cannot
be quantified, note the direction of the impact and your general assessment of its
magnitude (e.g., “++” for a large positive impact or “–” for a small negative one). Then,
add up the quantified impacts and weigh them against the collective impact of the
elements that could not be quantified. While complete quantification is rarely possible,
partial quantification makes clear how much positive or negative impact the remaining
elements must have to sway the decision, improving the ultimate conclusion.
The following sections offer specific suggestions to consider when analyzing each
component of the ADDING value scorecard.
Adding Volume or Growth
Assess the economic profitability of incremental volume—that is, determine accounting
profits minus capital recovery costs. While this may seem like an obvious requirement
for a value-focused analysis, it is worth noting that research indicates many large
companies maintain significant country operations that generate negative economic
returns over long periods of time.
Understand the level at which economies of scale or scope really matter and
calibrate their magnitudes. While it is often assumed in global strategy that global scale
is what counts, there are many other possibilities: national scale, plant scale, share of
customer wallet, and so on. Economies of scale or scope should ideally be calibrated
rather than just identified since their strength varies substantially across industries and
can be dependent on other aspects of a firm’s strategy.
Assess the other effects of incremental volume. The previous point focused on
economies of scale, particularly on the cost side. But incremental volume can also have
other effects—not all of them positive—on a company’s economics. If a key input is in
short supply, for instance, additional volume may raise rather than lower costs.
Decreasing Costs
Unbundle cost and price effects. Expressing costs as a percentage of revenues can
obscure the true effects of cross-border moves on a company’s cost structure. Instead,
think about other ways to normalize costs. In some cases, it is useful to analyze cost per
unit of output to clearly separate volume and price effects. In other cases, it can also be
useful to normalize cost per unit of a key input, such as capital or labor.
Unbundle costs into subcategories. Cross-border moves typically have different
impacts on various line items within a company’s cost structure, so it is important to
analyze each of the major cost components separately. Don’t forget to consider capital
costs in addition to operating costs. Fixed and variable costs also represent another key
distinction, particularly for purposes such as breakeven analyses.
Consider cost increases as well as decreases. This point, already made briefly, is
worth reiterating. Consider, for example, takeover premiums and transaction costs
involved with cross-border mergers. Remember that increases in complexity may impact
not only production costs but also selling, general, and administrative costs.