Predictions 2022 for opportunities in EV Ecosystem
#Charging infra rise to take EVs beyond metros. Tier-II and III cities are an attractive market for any company, and we will see a
rise in charging and swapping infrastructure there.
Mainstream adoption of battery swapping
2021sawsomebatteryswappinginpockets,withafewOEMslaunchingswapping-firstproductsandvisibleswapping
infrastructureinmetrocities.Thishashelpedbreakthemythsassociatedwithswappingasasolutionandshowcasedhowitis
superiortocharging.Itsavesdowntime,removestherecurringcapexproblem,andlowerstheupfrontcosttopurchasethevehicle.
2022willseebatteryswappingbecomeamainstreampropositionfortwo-wheelersandthree-wheelers,especiallyincommercial
usecases,whichwillbeoneofthemostsignificantchangesintheEVspace.Toputthisintoperspective,today,withallswapping
playerscombined,Indiahaslessthan1lakhbatteriesincirculation.Thisnumberissettogrowby100timesin2022,with10crore
batteriesbeingutilized.
Theyearoftwo-wheelers
Onelakhelectrictwo-wheelersweresoldthisyear,whichis1%ofthetotaltwo-wheelersales.Observersanticipatethistoincrease
to4-5%shareinthecomingyear.Everythingfromthepricepointtosubsidiesfromthegovernmentandpoliciestoinfrastructure,
IndiaisexactlywhereChinawasin2016withrespecttoEVtwo-wheelers.Fastforwardfiveyears,Chinanowhas300million
electrictwo-wheelersontheroad.Followingthesametrend,Indiamightreachsimilarheightsinthenext6-7years.Alreadywecan
seeearlyindicators,asthesecondhalfof2021sawsignificantlauncheslikeOla’sElectricS1,Ather’s450x,andBounce’sInfinity
E1.Alloftheseproductshavejuststartedtohittheroad.
India's Top Renewable Energy Stocks: Big Returns Or Boring Returns?
Investingindisruptiveandnichebusinesseshasbecometheinvestmentthemelately.However,ifyouthinkaboutit,thereisn'treally
anythingnewaboutit.Thishasalwaysbeenthewayoflifeandbusinesses.Traditionalbusinessesaretoobigandsetintheirold
ways.Andtheoneindustryseeingahugeamountofmoneybeingpumpedinistherenewableenergyspace.Investorsarefalling
headoverheelswhenevertheyheartheterm‘renewableenergy'.Let'slookatthetopcompaniesfromtherenewableenergysector
andseeifthey'regivinginvestorstheirmoney'sworth.Herearesomeexamples:
#TataPower
TataPowersharesareonadreamrunthisyear.Why?Becausethislegacypowercompanyisforayingintonew-agetechnologies
andthemarkethasfactoredinthenews.TataPowerisoneofIndia'sleadingplayersintherenewableenergyspacewithrenewable
powercapacityof2.6gigawatt(GW)in11states.It'swell-positionedtorespondtotheshiftinglandscapeofIndia'srenewableenergy
push.TataPowerisplanningtotakeitsrenewableproductiontomassive15GWby2025.Thecompanyisafront-runneracrossthe
renewablespectrumthroughitssubsidiaries,TataPowerRenewableEnergy,TataPowerSolarSystems(TPSSL),andWalwhan
RenewableEnergy(WREL).Apartfromrenewableenergy,TataPowerisacingtheEVrace.TataPowerhasvariousordersupits
sleeveintheelectricvehicle(EV)chargingstationssegment.Overthepastthreemonths,TataPowersharepriceisup72%.
Whencomparedyearly,thestockisupawhopping210%inthepast12months.Althoughtheprospectslookgood,thesharprunup
inthestockpriceoverthelastfewmonthsseemstohavecapturedalotofthatupside.Infact,inourview,themarketsmayhave
overdonethebullishnessabit.Thus,ifyouhavenotinvestedinthestockalready,itmaybeagoodideatostaggeryourpurchase
andnotbuyeverythinginonego.Afterall,itpaystobeconservativeifonehasanydoubtsaboutthevaluationofastock.
Budget 2022: Expectations for the EV Industry
RevisedguidelinesandstandardsforcharginginfrastructureforEVpromulgatedbyMinistryofPowerisagreatprecursorto
Budget2022.Goingbythat,EVindustryhashighhopesforthisyear'sunionbudgetandareconfidentthattheGovernmentwill
continuetotakethenecessarystepstoputIndiaontheglobalEVmap.Unlikeearlieryears,EVisnowmainstream,andthe
Budgetmusttreatthisasasunriseindustry.Foradecade,weasanationmissedtheboatonproductdevelopmentand
manufacturingforthesolarindustry.
ThefundamentalkeyexpectationfromBudget2022isthatcharginginfrastructureinthecountryshouldbeenabledatafaster
rate.FAMEschemeshouldincreasinglyencompassEVcharginginfrastructurealotmorethanwhatweseeinthepreceding
years.
TheBudgetshouldaddresstheinclusionofretrofitincentiveprogrammesinFAMEIIpolicy.Buttoreachtheplansandgrowth
envisagedintheEVspace,theGovernmentwillneedtotakeastandonthechickenandeggstoryandhelpfuelupthe
charginginfrabyallocatingahigherbudget.
TheEVcharginginfrastructureshouldnotbeconfinedtobuildingnewchargingstations;itneedstobroadenthehorizon.
Significantinvestmentshouldbemadeintheinfrastructureindustryasawhole,particularlyinspecializedfreightcorridorsand
highways.Furthermore,additionalinformationandspecificsonthePLIprogrammetoassistthelocalizationoftheEVsupply
chaininthenationtoenableinnovationshouldbedisseminated.Amoreefficientregulatoryapprovalmechanismwillalso
benefitthesector.