Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
Logo - Two concentric circles - Bismillah phrase is written in Arabic
The lower part - Council's full name, in Arabic
The inner circle - embossed hexagonal shape that represents the
Council's six member countries
Historical Background
Heads of States of the GCC in
Abu Dhabi on 25 May 1981
Agreement of the GCC was signed on 11
November 1981 in Abu Dhabi
GCC-Geostrategic Importance
Introduction
The
Gulf Cooperation Council
(
GCC)
A regional
intergovernmental political and economic union
consisting of all
Arab states of the Persian Gulf except Iraq
Its member states are
Bahrain,
Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE
Charter of the Gulf Cooperation Council was signed on 25
May 1981
Its headquarters in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Secretary General -Dr. Nayef Falah M. Al-Hajraf (Since Feb 1, 2020)
All current member states are
monarchies
This area has some of the fastest-growing economies in the world
Discussions -future membership of
Jordan, Morocco, and Yemen
GCC Countries Profile
•The Kingdom of Bahrain
- Its 1.4 million people - GDP per capita of
$51,800. It has 124.5 million barrels of proven
oil reserves.
•Kuwait
- Its 2.9 million residents - 11th highest standard of living in the
world. Its GDP per capita is $69,700. The country holds 6%
of the
world's oil reserves. That's 101.5 million barrels.
•The Sultanate of Oman
- 3.4 mn ppl - Oil reserves - 5.4 million barrels.
Shifting
to tourism - GDP per capita is $45,500.
•Qatar
- The second richest country in the world, with a GDP per capita
of $124,900 for each of its 2.3 million residents. It has 25.2 billion
barrels of proven oil reserves - 13% of world's natural gas reserves.
•.
GCC Countries Profile
•The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
- largest GCC country - 28.5 Mn ppl, It
has 16% of the world's proven oil reserves (266.5 mn barrels) Its GDP
per capita is $55,300.
•The United Arab Emirates
- Its 6 million people enjoy a per capita
GDP of $68,00. That's thanks to a diversifying economy that includes
Dubai and the world's tallest building, the Burj Dubai Khalifa. Dubai is
the second-largest of the seven city-states in the UAE. Abu Dhabi is
the largest. The UAE has 97.8 million barrels of proven oil reserves
GCC Area- 2,673,110-square-kilometre (1,032,093 sq mi)
GCC Charter (22 Articles)
ARTICLE ONE - The Establishment of the Council
ARTICLE TWO - The Cooperation Council shall have its headquarters in
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
ARTICLE THREE - Cooperation Council Meetings: The Council shall
hold its meetings in the state where it has its headquarters, and may
convene in any member state.
ARTICLE FIVE- Council Membership -The Cooperation Council shall be
formed of the six states that participated in the Foreign Ministers'
meeting held in Riyadh on 4 February 1981.
ARTICLE SIX - Organization of the Cooperation Council, The
Cooperation Council shall have the following main organizations:
1) Supreme Council 2) Ministerial Council 3) The Secretariate General
The objectives of the GCC (Article-IV )
To effect coordination, integration and inter-connection between
Member States in order to achieve unity
To strengthen relations, links and cooperation between their peoples
in various fields
To formulate regulations in the following:
Economic and financial affairs
Commerce, customs and communications
Education and culture
To stimulate scientific and technological progress
To establish joint ventures and encourage cooperation by the private
sector
Structure
Structure
Goal towards a Monetary Union
In 2001, the GCC Supreme Council set the following goals:
A Common Customs Union
in January 2003
Common market by 2007
Common currency by 2010
The name
’Khaleeji’ has been proposed for this currency.
If realized, the GCC monetary union would be the second-largest
supranational monetary union in the world
What Happens If GCC Drop Dollar
Peg
Dollar peg - when a country maintains its currency's value at a fixed
exchange rate to the U.S. dollar
The GCC countries have reasons to drop their
peg to the dollar
GCC official policy -members will keep it until the Council has created
a monetary union, like
the European Union.
When the dollar fell 40% between 2002 and 2014, it created an
inflation rate of 10%
in these countries.
It forced the price of oil and other commodities to increase. If they
removed the peg to the dollar, they would not need to buy so many
Treasuries
to stabilize their exchange rate. That would cause the
dollar to decline, causing inflation in the United States.
Oil ‘ll no longer be priced in $. That could result in lower oil prices.
GCC’s Internal Dynamics
Oman
announced that it would not be able to meet the target date for a
common currency.
the UAE announced withdrawal from the monetary union scheme, with the
announcement that the central bank for the monetary union would be located
in
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and not in the UAE
Saudi Arabia and Kuwait: disputes over shared oilfields
Saudi Arabia and UAE pressuring Qatar-serious row among the three
Qatar’s exit from OPEC after 57 year to focus on gas
Emirati, Saudi and Qatari governments spent a total of
$ 190 million
lobbying
in Washington between 2017 and 2020 in order to fuel a war of
narratives
GCC’s Internal Dynamics
Divergent paths to develop private sectors (UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait)
Gulf countries continue to rely on public sector enterprises
Government-led mega projects in private sector development translated into low
levels of foreign direct investment
Since 2015, GCC is trimming expat workforce
Nationals now comprise 85 to 90 percent of the public sector workforce
Bahrain, Oman, and Saudi Arabia and around 75 percent in Kuwai
Qatar is the only country with nationals comprising less than 50% of the public sector
workforce
In 2017, GCC agreed to institute a value-added tax (VAT) in countries
Failure in the common imposition of a
VAT at a rate of 5%
KSA and the UAE imposed VAT of 5 percent in January 2018 followed by Bahrain a
year later. Some countries expanded corporate taxes
Monetary Council: Bottlenecks
On 15 December 2009, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia
announced the creation of a Monetary Council
To introduce a
single currency for the union.
Establishing a central bank, and
Choosing a
currency regime
The Council met for the first time on 30
March 2010.
Kuwait said that a single currency may take up to ten years to
establish.
In 2014, major moves - to ensure launch of a single currency.
Oman and UAE later announced withdrawal from proposed currency
Monetary Council:
Bottlenecks
The GCC — set up in 1980 as a fortification against Iran and Iraq
Iraq
is the only Arab country bordering the Persian Gulf that is not a
member of the GCC
In 2012, Iraq stated that it wanted to join the GCC
The lack of membership of Iraq is widely believed to be due to
Low-income economy
Its substantial Shia population
Its political system, and
Its
invasion of member state Kuwait during the gulf war
Iraq under turmoil since the fall of Saddam Hussain
Yemen also negotiated for membership (War & Humanitarian Crisis
Monetary Council:
Bottlenecks
In order to reduce their future dependence on oil, the GCC states are
pursuing wider economic structural reforms
Oil politics in the region
In 2011, Saudi Arabia proposed to transform the GCC into a "Gulf
Union“
With greater economic, political and military coordination
To counterbalance the
Iranian influence in the region
Amid Pandemic
Saudi Arabia’s central bank foreign reserves
fell in march at their
fastest rate in at least 20 years and to their lowest since 2011
KSA slipped into a $9 billion budget deficit in the first quarter
Oil prices fell and Saudi currency dropped on April 2021in the forward
market, after U.S. crude oil futures collapsed below $0 on a
coronavirus-induced supply glut
OPEC, Russia and other oil-producing nations on April 12 finalized an
unprecedented production cut
of nearly 10 million barrels, or a tenth
of global supply
GCC block agreed to establish a network to protect food supply
Pakistan and GCC
Pakistan-GCC Free Trade Agreement
Joint ventures and business opportunities
Pakistan’s manpower in Gulf countries (Forced repatriation)
Rising Indian influence in Gulf region and Middle East-a challenge for
Pakistan
Pakistan tried to strike a balance for its relations with KSA and Qatar
Pakistan holds key role in ECO, SAARC, SCO and OIC
Islamic Force and Pakistan's role
Pakistan and GCC (Recent Years)
In recent years, Pakistan-GCC ties have witnessed a downward trajectory as a
result of changing geopolitical dynamics
Pakistani Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi’s criticism of the Organisation
of Islamic Co-operation (OIC) led to a further degradation of those ties
Apart from the changing dynamics in South Asia, it is also the changing attitudes
of the GCC countries towards Israel that are affecting the relationship
The deterioration in bilateral ties will likely affect economic ties between
Pakistan and the GCC
Conclusion
Economic union and monetary union seem remote possibilities
Peninsula Shield Force has been eclipsed by the Islamic Military
Counter Terrorism Coalition
US involvement in the region and rising pressure on Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia has always looked to the United States for
protection against
Iran
US-Iran rivalry
Iran’s involvement in the ME and Gulf would remain a serious
concern for the GCC
Future expansion or disintegration of GCC??
Organization of Islamic Cooperation
OIC- Starters
Second largest Org after UN - 57 states spread over four continents
Over the last
40 years, membership grown from 30 to 57 states
Members contribution $6.425 trillion to world's (GDP) in 2016 (WB)
This is equivalent to 8.51 percent of the world's GDP
Population - 57 states ;1.769 billion in 2016, 23.77% of world (WB)
Charter amended - keep pace with unraveled developments in world
Present Charter - adopted by Eleventh Summit held in Dakar in 2008
Pillar of the OIC future Islamic action - requirements of 21st century
The OIC has permanent delegations to the
UN and the EU
The official languages are- Arabic, English, and French
History
The arson of Al-Aqsa Mosque in occupied Jerusalem
On 21 August 1969, the
Al-Aqsa Mosque went in flames
Amin al-Husseini, the former Mufti of Jerusalem called for all
Muslim heads of state to convene a summit
The Islamic Conference-was established in Rabat, Morocco on 25
September 1969
A resolution was passed stating that
"Muslim governments would consult with a view to promoting
among themselves close cooperation and mutual assistance in the
economic, scientific, cultural and spiritual fields, inspired by the
immortal teachings of Islam."
History
1970 the first meeting of Islamic Conference of Foreign Ministers
(ICFM) held in Jeddah
to establish a permanent secretariat in Jeddah
In Feb.1972, the Organization of the Islamic Conference (now the
Organization of Islamic Cooperation) was founded
OIC- Observers
States
Bosnia and Herzegovina (1994)
Central African Republic (1996)
Kingdom of Thailand (1998)
The Russian Federation (2005)
Turkish Cypriot State (1979)
International Organizations
United
Nations (UN) (1976), Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) (1977)
League of Arab States (LAS) (1975), African Union
(AU) (1977)
Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) (1995)
OIC Charter
The first OIC Charter - adopted by the 3rd ICFM Session held in 1972
The present revised Charter of the OIC was adopted by the Eleventh
Islamic Summit held in Dakar on 13-14 March 2008
The revised charter promotes
Human rights
Fundamental freedoms, and
Good governance in all member states.
On 28 June 2011 during the 38th Council of Foreign Ministers
meeting (CFM) in Astana, Kazakhstan
the organization changed its name to Organization of Islamic
Cooperation
Organization Structure
Organization Structure
OIC GOALS
According to its Charter, the OIC aims to preserve
Islamic social and economic values
Promote solidarity among member states
Increase cooperation in social, economic, cultural, scientific, and
political areas
Uphold international peace and security
Advance education, particularly in the fields of science and
technology
Take steps to remove misperceptions about Islam and advocate
elimination of discrimination against Muslims in all forms and
manifestations
GCC - Ten Year Program of
Action
OIC face many challenges in the 21st century and to address those
challenges, the Third Extraordinary Session of the Islamic Summit
held in Makkah in December 2005, laid down the blue print called the
Ten-Year Program of Action
It successfully concluded with the close of 2015. A successor
programme for the next decade (2016-2025) has since then been
adopted
The new programme OIC-2025 is anchored in the provisions of the
OIC Charter and focuses on 18 priority areas with 107 goals
Programme of Action OIC-2025
OIC- Issues and Challenges
Israeli–Palestinian conflict
Democracy & Human rights
The Middle-East Conundrum
The Yemen Crisis
The Syrian Civil War and the OIC
Shia-Sunni Divide in the Muslim world
Islamophobia and the Role of OIC
Combating three menaces-Terrorism, extremism and Radicalism
Turning a blind eye to the plights of China’s Uighur Muslims
Overcoming poverty and underdevelopment
OIC- Issues and Challenges
Relationship with India
India's entry into the OIC
Kashmir Issue
OIC & Muslim Renaissance- remote possibility / reality in near future?
Pan-Islamism and the Unity of ‘Ummah’- a huge challenge
Establishing a single economic and political entity as of EU???
Revival of the institution of ‘Khilafat’!!!!
Political landscape of OIC members
Cultural diversities
Sectarianism
terrorism
Recognizing Israel – Quid Pro Quo
UAE -
US approval of the sale (though it requires the agreement of
Congress) of top-of-the-line F-35 aircraft to the UAE to bolster its military
capacity and its prestige in the region.
Morocco – In return of recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the
disputed region of Western Sahara and the sale of four sophisticated
large aerial drones as a further reward for its public embrace of Israel.
Sudan - American offer to take it off its list of terror-supporting states. It
led to a toning down of the criticism in the West for its undemocratic
credentials
Bahrain - to buy insurance from both Israel and the US against its
neighbour Iran, which is seen by the regime as the primary external
supporter of Bahrain’s Shia majority agitating for democratic rights.
Manama’s move is also a trial balloon on behalf of Riyadh
Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition
(IMCTC)
For military intervention against ISIL, Yemen
and other counter-
terrorist
activities
Original 34 members.
countries joined and the number reached to 41
Most of its participants are members of the
OIC
Coalition having majority
Sunni Muslim populations
it has been called "a
sectarian coalition" by Hakeem Azameli, a
member of the Security and Defense Commission in the Iraqi
parliament
Iran has expressed strong reservations
Pakistan and the OIC
Pakistan is the most significant member of
OIC
population, it is the OIC's second largest member.
nuclear weapons- seventh-largest standing military force
research, education and economy
large
labour workforce working in various Muslim countries
The 2nd summit of OIC held in
Lahore between 22–24 February 1974
Support for Palestine and Middle East issues
Islamic Military Counter Terrorism Coalition
Pakistan’s Relations with Iran and Saudi Arabia- striking a balance???
Saudi Arab and Gulf States’ tilt towards India and the India’s increasing
role in the Middle East