Name : M.Jebin Jackson Singh College: Govt. Arts College,Cbe. Topic : Israel-Hamas war and the Palestinians.
Effects of the war: •Civilian casualties. •Economic distress. •Involvement of non-state Actors. ie:Houthis and Hezbollah. •Pause in the normalisation of Israel-Saudi relations. •Strain in the US-Israel relations.
How the war could end?
The ongoing war could end only by the “change in leadership of the US and Israel”. •Likud party – conservative and nationalist in nature,opposes “two-state solution”.
• The Democrats – 71% of American Jews vote for Democrats,trying to retain Jewish voter base. • AIPAC – lobbying group,influences US’s West Asia policy,bipartisan in nature.
Prospects of a Palestinian state: • Federal government: Unified Israel(Central govt.) Provinces(provincial govt.) Demography of unified Israel: ▪︎Isareli Jews -78 lakhs ▪︎Israeli Arabs-20.8 lakhs ▪︎Palestinians -53 lakhs ▪︎Captial at Jerusalem. ▪︎ Palestinians in decision making.
•Lebanon model of government: In Unified Israel’s context: ▪︎Israeli Jews. ▪︎Israeli Arabs. ▪︎Palestinians. (power sharing between these groups) ▪︎ CBMs should precede the power sharing arrangement.
•Separate Palestine: ▪︎Reconstruction of Gaza followed by elections under international observation. ▪︎Peace treaty bt. Palestinian govt. and Israeli govt. “DEVELOPMENT > WAR” “DEVELOPMENT > WAR”