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Multinational Financial
Management
Alan Shapiro
7
th
Edition
J.Wiley & Sons
Power Points by
Joseph F. Greco, Ph.D.
California State University, Fullerton
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CHAPTER 17
CAPITAL BUDGETING
FOR THE
MULTINATIONAL
CORPORATION
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CHAPTER OVERVIEW:
I.BASIS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
II.ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
III. POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS
IV.GROWTH OPTIONS AND PROJECT
EVALUATION
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I.BASICS OF CAPITAL
BUDGETING
I.BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
A. Basic Criterion: Net Present Value
B.Net Present Value Technique:
1. Definition
The present value of future cash
flows, discounted at the
project’s cost of capital less
the initial net cash outlay.
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BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
2.NPV Formula:
where I
0 = initial cash outlay
x
t= net cash flow at t
k = cost of capital
n = investment horizon
n
t
t
t
k
X
INPV
1
0
)1(
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BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
3.Most important property of NPV
technique:
-focus on cash flows with
respect to shareholder wealth
4.NPV obeys value additive principle:
- the NPV of a set of projects
is the sum of the individual project
NPV
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BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
C.International Cash Flows
1.Important principle when
estimating: Incremental basis
2.Distinguish total from incremental
flows to account for
a.cannibalization
b.sales creation
c.opportunity cost
d.transfer pricing
e.fees and royalties
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BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
3.Getting the base case correct
Rule of thumb:
Incremental Global Global
cash flows = corporate - flow
cash flow without
with projectproject
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BASICS OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
4. Intangible Benefits
a. Valuable learning experience
b. Broader knowledge base
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II. ISSUES IN FOREIGN
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
II. TWO ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
A.Issue #1 Parent v. Project Cash Flow
-the cash flows from the project may
differ from those remitted to the parent
1. Relevant cash flows become quite
important
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ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
2.Three Stage Approach
-to simplify project evaluation
a. compute subsidiary’s project
cash flows
b. evaluate the project to the parent
c. incorporate the indirect effects
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ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
3.Estimating Incremental Project
Flows
What is the true profitability of the
project?
a.Adjust for tax effects of
1.)transfer pricing
2.)fees and royalties
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ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
4.Tax Factors:
determine the amount and
timing
of taxes paid on foreign-source
income.
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ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
B. Issue #2 How to adjust for increased
economic and political risk of project?
1. Three Methods of Economic
and Political Risk Adjustments:
a.Shortening minimum payback
period
b.Raising required rate of return
c.Adjusting cash flows
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ISSUES IN FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ANALYSIS
2.Accounting for Exchange Rate and
Price Changes (inflationary)
Two stage procedure:
a.Convert nominal foreign cash
flows into home currency terms
b.Discount home currency flows
at domestic required rate of return.
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III. POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS
I. POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS
A.Political risks
can be incorporated into an NPV
analysis by
- adjusting expected project cash
flows to reflect the risks.
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POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS
B. EXPROPRIATION
- the extreme form of political
risk
C. BLOCKED FUNDS
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IV. GROWTH OPTIONS AND
PROJECT EVALUATION
IV.GROWTH OPTIONS AND PROJECT
EVALUATION
A. Options:
1.an important component of many
investment decisions
2.ignoring options will understate
the NPV of that investment
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GROWTH OPTIONS AND PROJECT
EVALUATION
B. Project Evaluation
1.Growth options require an
expanded NPV rule
2.Investments in emerging markets
can be viewed as growth options