39,880
44,549
49,004
61,255
67,116
37,330
41,264
43,940
46,109
46,109
81,869
35,635
37,400
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
2018A2019A2020A2021E2022E2023E2024E2025E
9,9509,800
10,226
11,998
13,003
7,349
8,252
9,896
10,47810,478
17,000
10,500
10,100
5,000
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
2018A2019A2020A2021E2022E2023E2024E2025E
14,571
18,214
20,94620,94620,946
19,198
18,912
18,488
18,291
18,291
13,500
13,970
14,571
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
2018A2019A2020A2021E2022E2023E2024E2025E
38
Li-Cycle to Benefit from Commodity Pricing Tailwinds
Li-Cycle stands to benefit from the increase in prices of Li, Ni and Co, through production of battery grade materials
The growing electrification demand is driving much of the increase of prices
Commodity prices are also dependent on battery composition as manufacturers may alter their choice of inputs to increase battery range and are not
necessarily indicative of battery grade pricing
Li-Cycle management uses more conservative pricing assumptions relative to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence estimates
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence is a leading market intelligence firm and data provider in the lithium-ion battery supply chain that has materially higher
pricing forecasts
Commentary
Nickel
($ / tonne)
Lithium Carbonate Cobalt
Historicals
(1)
BrokerProjections
(2)
Benchmark Mineral IntelligenceProjections
(3)
Source:Company Projections, Broker Estimates, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, Q4 2020.
Note: All values in real terms.
(1)Sourced from Benchmark Mineral Intelligence,Q4, 2020.
(2)Broker Projections as of December 28, 2020. Nickel broker median includes BAML, Barclays, BMO, CIBC, Citi, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, RBC and TD Securities. Lithium Carbonate broker median includes
Credit Suisse, Citi, Morgan Stanley and UBS. Cobalt broker median includes BAML, Barclays, BMO, CIBC, Citi, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley and RBC.
(3)Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, Q4 2020.
($ / tonne) ($ / tonne)
Management Uses Conservative Forecasts Compared to Leading Market Intelligence Firms