Web-based Survey and Analysis of USAIM Students’ Online Compatibility – Pilot Study
7.2 Predictive linear regression model
Preliminary bivariate correlation between personal parameters and general characteristics showed significant
negative correlation between ‘Concerns’ and ‘Age’ (r = - 0.96; p = 0.037; 2-tailed; N = 4). This meant that
there was a strong linear correlation between the two parameters; when the weighted percentage scores for
‘Concern’ were decreasing, the weighted percentage scores for ‘Age’ were increasing and vice versa. There
was also a strong negative correlation between the weighted scores for predictability of ‘Schedule’ and that
for ‘Hours’ (of online study capable), which fell just short of significance (r = - 0.996; p = 0.058; 2-tailed; N
= 3). No cause-effect relationship was implied in any of these correlations. Thereafter, 3 models of linear
regression were tried; ‘Motivation’ vs. ‘Hours’ and ‘Age’ vs. ‘Hours’ models did not fit the existing data
well. However, ‘Motivation’ and ‘Age’ vs. ‘Concerns’ model fitted the data well (R-Squared = 0.998).
Unlike the results of factor analysis of LS scores, results of regression analysis were quite satisfactory. The
independent variables did a good job explaining the variation in the dependent variable (p = 0.046). Both
‘Motivation’ and ‘Age’ were useful predictors of ‘Concern’; t being well above +2 or well below -2
[t(Motivation) = 5.746; t(Age) = -17.538]. The estimated predictive model was ‘Concerns = 80.261 +
0.638Motivation - 0.898Age’. Problem of collinearity (strong correlations among independent variables) was
suspected but not definite positive. Estimated true errors in the model were minimal. The individual
regression equations were; Equation 1: ‘Concerns’ = 80.261 + 0.638(‘Motivation’); and Equation 2:
‘Concerns’ = 80.261 – 0.898(‘Age’). This meant that ‘Concerns’ regarding online courses increased with
internal ‘Motivation’ and decreased with ‘Age’. This study fulfilled the fifth goal of this study; ‘Identify
relationships between students’ personal / general characteristics vis-à-vis online learning’.
7.3 Comparison with other studies in literature
Several studies and articles have attested to the importance of internal motivation in successfully
undertaking online courses.
[5,8-11]
In a large-scale (N = 1,056), exploratory factor analysis study that
determined the underlying constructs that comprise student barriers to online learning, eight factors were
found; (a) administrative issues, (b) social interaction, (c) academic skills, (d) technical skills, (e) learner
motivation, (f) time and support for studies, (g) cost and access to the Internet, and (h) technical problems.
Independent variables that significantly affected student ratings of these barrier factors included: gender,
age, ethnicity, type of learning institution, self-rating of online learning skills, effectiveness of learning
online, online learning enjoyment, prejudicial treatment in traditional classes, and the number of online
courses completed.
[8]
Our pilot study was not as exhaustive as this; it was single-institution based; we did
not consider administrative, social, gender or ethnic issues. But the importance of skills, motivation, time,
technical access and age, as identified in our study are corroborated in this study.
In another study, multiple linear regressions and discriminant function analysis were used to examine
whether individual differences predicted WebCT use, while analysis of covariance determined whether Web
use influenced academic achievement. The number of hits, length of access, and use of the bulletin board
USAIM Online Survey; Dr S. Sanyal, Assoc. Prof., Faculty of Anatomy & Neurosciences, USAIM, Seychelles May 2008 50