NOAA's NCEI slides on their work with researchers

Deke Arndt presents to the GRA.

1. National Centers for
Environmental Information July 2024
Welcome
Escorting the world’s
environmental observations and
data into their second career.
Deke Arndt, NCEI Director

2. November 2023
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132
NCEI Mission
NCEI provides environmental data, products, and services
covering the depths of the oc ean to the surface of the sun
to drive resilience, prosperity, and equity for current and
future generations.
NCEI Vision
A tenacious and trusted leader in environmental
information for a rapidly chan ging world with a focus on
driving lasting good across our partnerships, our
economy, around the U.S and the world through
generations.

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Department of Commerce
NOAA Line Offices
National Environmental Satellite Data and Information Service (NESDIS) Line Office
Space Weather
Observations
Low Earth Orbit
Observations
Geostationary
Earth Orbit
Observations
Satellite
Applications &
Research
Systems
Architecture &
Engineering
Satellite &
Product
Operations
Office of
Common
Services
NOAA
National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration
National Marine
Fisheries
National Ocean
Service
Ocean and
Atmospheric
Research
National Weather
Service
Office of Marine and
Aviation Operations
Satellite Data and
Information Services
National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
National Centers for
Environmental
Information
Asheville, NC
Headquarters
Boulder, CO Stennis, MS Silver Spring, MD
International &
Interagency
Affairs

4. November 2023
National Centers for Environmental Information - NCEI
NCEI’s Nationwide ecosystem of partners
134

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Authoritative Information and Services
135135
“In the context of authoritative
products and services, the notion
of “authoritative” means…
i
… conferred by
users •Community /Partner
Use and impact
•Proof is in their use
•Reliable, valuable
… credibly
represent earth
system •Accuracy, rigor
•Scientific credibility
… carefully
sourced and
transparent •Discoverability
•Provenance
•Preservation
NCEI:
Aim here
“science”
r

“service”
it
y
“stewardship”

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Tiers of Data Stewardship From Acquisition to Archive to Access F
rom Acquisition to Arc
h
ive to Access
Long Term
Preservation and
Basic Access •Preserve original data
with metadata for
discovery and access
•Serve as expert
advisors on standards
for data providers and
coordinate support
agreements
for sustainable data
archiving
Enhanced
Access
and Basic Quality
Assurance •Create complete
metadata,
automate QA and
provide enhanced
data access
through
specialized
software services
Scientific
Improvements •Improve data
quality or accuracy
with scientific
quality
assessments,
controls, warning
flags, and
corrections
Derived
Products
•Distill, combine,
or analyze
products and
data to create
new or blended
scientific data
products
Authoritative
Records •Establish
authoritative
quality,
uncertainties, and
provenance
National
Services
and
International
Leadership •Establish highly
specialized levels
of data services
and product
assessments
01 02 03 04 05 06

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National Centers for Environmental Information - NCEI
Providing Climate Information to Inform the Future
Tornado Climatology Climate Extremes Index
Regional Snowfall Index U.S. Drought Monitor
Blended Sea Winds
Monthly U.S. & Global
Climate Reports
U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather
& Climate Disasters Report
Hourly Precipitation Data
139

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National Centers for Environmental Information - NCEI
Coast, Oceans, and Geophysics Providing data and information from the Sun to Earth’s seafloor
Deep Sea Corals Data
Portal
Model
Reanalysis
Ocean Exploration
Digital Atlas
World Ocean
Database
Bathymetry and
Global Relief
Enhanced Magnetic
Model
Gulf of Mexico Data
Atlas
Passive Acoustics
140

11. November 2023
National Centers for Environmental Information - NCEI
NCEI’s Value to the Nation NCEI Stakeholders by Sector
23.5%
21.1%
17.6%
12.4%
10.9%
6.9%
23.5%
21.1%
17.6%
12.4%
10.9%
7.6%
Science, Technology, and Engineering
Ecosystems (Agriculture/Aquaculture)
Transportation and Infrastructure
Energy
Insurance, Finance, and Legal
Health and Emergency Management
Higher Education
222222222222
333333333333333333333333
..
55
%%%%%%
21.1%
2
3.5
%
2
1.1
%
1
7.6
%
1
2.4
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
10.9%
22
7.6% 5
%
5
%
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12. November 2023
National Centers for Environmental Information - NCEI
https://cires.colorado.edu/ https://cisess.umd.edu/ https://ncics.org/ https://www.northerngulfinstitute.org/
NCEI’s closest research partners

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Our partner research reflects information’s journey
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/maps/deep-sea-corals/mapSites.htm

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Our partner research reflects information’s journey
https://www.noaa.gov/ai

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Our partner research reflects information’s journey
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/ https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/world-ocean-atlas

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Climate Monitoring & Assessment at NCEI
”
Fifth National Climate Assessment: Broad, accessibly
written comprehensive overview of the state of the
climate and our relationship with it
Ñ
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/
”
BAMS State of the Climate: Deep, observation-driven
“annual physical” of the climate system
Ñ
SoC 2022:
https://doi.org/10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
Ñ
catalog:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-
climate
”
NCEI Climate Monitoring: Routine daily to monthly
updates of climate conditions as measurements allow
Ñ
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/climate-monitoring

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Technical Support Unit for Nat’l Climate
Assessment
https://ncics.org/cics-news/technical- support-for-the-fifth-national-climate-
assessment/
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/
Asheville (NCICS/NCEI) was
again the nerve center for the
National Climate Assessment:
·Science
·Data
·Editorial
·Web / Cloud development
·Communications

18. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
Figure 1.15What would 3.6°F (2°C) of global warming feel like in the United
States?
Figure 26.9The risk of plant bud burst before the last freeze is projected to
increase for the northern portion of the Southern Great Plains. The risk
decreases for the southern portion of the region.
Projected Changes at 3.6ºF (2.0ºC) of Global Warming Projected Change in Annual Risk of Late False-Spring Events Science
SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS OVERVIEW

19. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
Ocean-Related Climate Impacts on People and Ecosystems Wildfires and Wildland–Urban Interface (WUI) Growth
Selected by: Ciara Lemery
Selected by: Laura Stevens
Figure 10.1 Many broad-scale climate-related ecological and human
impacts are occurring in US marine areas.
Figure 36.14 Area burned by wildfires is increasing and the wildland–
urban interface is expanding in the contiguous US.
INDICATORS OCEANS
Favorite Figures

20. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
CLIMATE TRENDS
HUMAN HEALTH Selected by: Tom Maycock
Figure 2.1 China is now the largest single-country
emitter of carbon dioxide on an annual basis. The United
States and Europe have emitted the majority of
cumulative carbon dioxide.
Selected by: Mark Essig
Figure 15.4 The number of climate hazards a person
born in North America will experience during their
lifetime depends on how much Earth warms above
preindustrial levels
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from the US and Other Sources
Intergenerational Inequity
Favorite Figures

21. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
AGRICULTURE ECONOMICSSelected by: Aaron Grade
Figure 11.7 Ruminant livestock systems contribute to US
methane emissions primarily through belching.
Cattle-Based Methane Emissions
The Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases
Selected by: April Lamb
Figure 19.5 The social cost of greenhouse gases is a monetary
estimate of the total economic impact of an additional greenhouse
gas emission today.
Favorite Figures

22. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
Website and Web Development
”Serves as the official report of record
”Developed over the course of a year
”Hosted on Amazon Web Services
”Iterative design work and rigorous testing for
usability and accessibility
”Improvements from NCA4 include:
|new and improved Search
|Key Messages used to organize chapter
content
|All Figures page
|Art × Climate gallery
|links to the NCA Interactive Atlas, companion
podcast, and additional resources
Screenshot from the All Figures page
Screenshot from the Art x Climate Gallery

23. Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov Fifth National Climate Assessmen t | nca2023.globalchange.gov
Metadata
”Collected for all report figures and extensively reviewed to
ensure that figures and data sources are findable,
reproducible, accessible, and interoperable.
”Include (if applicable):
|figure source information and terms of reuse
|spatial and temporal extents
|keywords
|analysis and visualization methods, software, and code
|dataset details, including URL and citation
”Viewable on the NCA5 website by clicking the metadata
viewer (eyeball icon) located to the upper right of each
figure.
President’s
Climate
Action Plan
Climate
Data Initiative
Information
Quality Act
(IQA)
Highly
Influential
Scientific
Assessment
(HISA)
Evidence/Open
Data Act
(FEBPA)
Directive
to combat
climate
change
Leverage &
provide federal
climate data
Quality data =
transparent and
accessible
Findings =
reproducible
Open, license-distributed,
machine readable, tracked

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Let’s talk about trends, but first …
“ … human-caused climate change are already far-reaching and
worsening across every region of the United States. Rapidly reducing
greenhouse gas emissions can limit future warming and associated
increases in many risks. Across the country, efforts to adapt to climate
change and reduce emissions have expanded since 2018, and US
emissions have fallen since peaking in 2007. However, without deeper
cuts in global net greenhouse gas emissions and accelerated adaptation
efforts, severe climate risks to the United States will continue to grow .
Fifth National Climate Assessment

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)Global temperature, difference from 20th century average
Source:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-
glance/
2023
2024

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
U.S. Billion Dollar Weather & Climate Disasters, 2023
Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Climate Trends
dashboard view
Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/cei/
Fifth National Climate
Assessment, Figure 2.3.

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Climate Trends
dashboard view
Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/cei/
Fifth National Climate
Assessment, Figure 2.3.

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)The rate of warming varies around the world
Arctic: 1.05°F / decade
In the past half century,
temperatures in these major
zones increased by:
Land surface: 0.60°F / decadeSea surface: 0.23°F / decade
From NCEI Annual Climate Report:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202313/supplemental/page-3
Data: NOAAGlobalTemp, from Climate at a Glance:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)The rate of warming varies around the world
Arctic: 1.05°F / decade
In the past half century,
temperatures in these major
zones increased by:
Land surface: 0.60°F / decadeSea surface: 0.23°F / decade
From NCEI Annual Climate Report:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202313/supplemental/page-3
Data: NOAAGlobalTemp, from Climate at a Glance:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
U.S. GHG Emissions Profile since 1990
U.S. emissions have fallen
since peaking in 2007.
Without deeper cuts in
global net GHG emissions
and accelerated adaptation
efforts, severe climate risks
to the U.S. will continue to
grow.
Paraphrased from Fifth National Climate Assessment
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/32/
Fig. 32.1

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Sea Ice Extent & Multi-Year Arctic Ice
•Left: Sept. (red) Arctic Sea Ice Extent has
decreased by about 14% per decade since 1979.
•Right: Multi-year Arctic sea ice extent, showing
“[s]ince 2012, the Arctic has been nearly devoid
of the oldest ice (>4 years old) ” •Figs. 5.11 and 5.12 of BAMS State of the Climate in 2022 .
Source:
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-climate

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
What About
Other
Potential
Explanations
for Warming?
Fifth National Climate Assessment. Fig 3.1: https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA5.2023

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)Temperature and
precipitation changes
over the United States.
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2
/ Fig. 2.4
Present day (2002-21) versus early
20th century (1901-60)

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Sea Level Rise & associated consequences
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2
/ Fig. 2.5
Observed Sea Level Trends, 1993-2020
Change, Recurrent Tidal (“Nuisance”) Flooding
https://coast.noaa.gov/states/fast-facts/recurrent-tidal-
flooding.html
fflflf
oooooo
o
oo
o
oooooo
o
oo
dddddd

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Climate Extremes Index (component 2): Trends in extremes of summer minimum temperatures (overnight
lows)
What you’re looking at:
Percent area of CONUS
with top 10% warm (red)
or cool (blue) summer
morning temperatures,
since 1910.
Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/cei/

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Big Heat generally increasing (mostly at night)
Shisr Plot for Boston

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Big Rain is generally getting Bigger
https://nca2023.globalchange.gov/chapter/2
/ Fig. 2.8

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Industry Proving Grounds
Part of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022
Coming soon to https://www.noaa.gov/industry

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)The Long View: Build on Lasting Success
Listening
Sessions with
5 sectors
IPG kickoff
w/ DSG, DRS
IPG support
vehicles in place
Specific
work on
IPG tasks
begins
Ongoing
industry
interactions,
national and
regional
2020s 2010s
NCEI User
Conference -
incl. IPG sectors
as speakers
Multiple RAA
]všŒš]}vW
detailed
needs catalog
Multiple Engineering
engagements over the
decade incl ASCE,
ASHRAE, waste water.
ASCE data and
chapter updates
Climatic Data for Frost Protected Shallow Foundations
2000s
Sector Success Stories hilight NCEI impact to US economy
NCDC Normals
into building stds
incl. footer depth
from Air Freezing
Index
NOAA-ASCE
Taskforce
NCEI information
incorporated in
AIA curriculum
Insurance
educational
outreach
NCEI info
in row
crop
parametric
insurance
Arch & EngrIns & Reins
RetailIPG / proto-IPG

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)U.S. Billion Dollar Weather & Climate Disasters, 1980-2023
Source: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/billions/

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
Industry Proving Grounds Legacy
Data, Info,
Products & Services new / improved @NOAA
Maybe spark private
sector opportunities
Sector Literacy &
Capacity tools, help,
understanding Sectors more informed on the
value of authoritative data
and how to use it.
Renewed
Relationships sectors - NOAA - public
Generate post IPG
momentum for
innovation, advocacy
Equity Offshoots
and Investments tools, info & practice
Ensure the rest of us
benefit from these
investments

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National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service National Centers for Environmental Information
NCEI National Climate Services Partnership
v
ir
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mmmmmmm
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National scope
- 6 Regional Climate Service Directors
-Voice of NOAA Climatein each region
- NOAA and cross-Agency engagement and coordination
Implemented Regionally
- 6 Regional Climate Centers (RCC)
- Regional themes
- State coordination
and at the
State level
- State climatologists

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National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service National Centers for Environmental Information
What is NCEI’s RCS
a Federated network of climate service professionals
p
NCEI:climate info
services since 1951.
RCS Directors grow
partnerships and
help products &
services mean even
more locally.
Regional Climate
Centers:est.
nationwide 1982
State
Climatologists:
chartered and
headquartered in
Asheville, practicing
since mid 1970s

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National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service National Centers for Environmental Information
Relationships with States
Recognize State Climatologists
(consistency / confidence of services in states)
Support States (grants via AASC) (to improve services appropriate to
their states )
Co-Produce with States
(RCCs, SCOs refine NCEI/CISESS
state summaries )

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) A Story that has little to do with climate change,
little to do with today,
little to do with Asheville,
and also, everything to do with all three

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
I’m from Oklahoma …
… you may know part of our climate history

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
The Drought Decade
Palmer Hydrologic Drought Index: OKCD2

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
The Drought Decade
Palmer Hydrologic Drought Index: OKCD2
The “Dust Bowl”
The 1950s

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National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)
NCEI Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NOAANCEI NCEI Twitter: https://twitter.com/NOAANCEI
[email protected] www.ncei.noaa.gov
Thank you for your time