Population Growth in India : Trends & Patterns

A description of the population growth in India

1. Dr. MeenakshiPrasad
Assistant Professor
P.G. Deptt. of Geography
MagadhUniversity
BodhGaya
Source : googleimages

2. Some Amazing Facts
•India accounts for 17.5% of the global
population (Census 2011) while covers 2.4% of
the global area
•Second most populous country in the world
after China
•Population of India (121.08 crores) equates
the combined population of 6 countries,i.e.
U.S.A, Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Japan &
Bangladesh

3. Population Clock of India
(30
th
January, 2020)
TIME POPULATION GROWTH
PER SECOND 1
PER HOUR 2403
PER DAY 57,685
PER MONTH 13,84,457
PER YEAR 16,613,486
Source : www.medindia.net

4. Population Growth in India
(1901-2011)
CENSUS YEAR POPULATION (IN CRORES)
1901 23.83
1951 36.10
1991 84.64
2001 102.87
2011 121.08
Source : Census of India

5. Growth Trends
•In the first 5 decades of the last century (1901-
1951) the population increased by 12.27 crores
•During the next 5 decades (1951-2001) it
increased by 66.77 crores& if another decade is
added to it (2001-2011) then this growth is of
84.98 crores
•This is a population explosion
•The population of India has increased by 408.1%
between 1901-2011

6. Annual Growth Rate of Population
(1901-2011)
CENSUSDECADE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (IN %)
1901-1911 0.56
1911-1921 -0.03
1921-1931 1.04
1931-1941 1.33
1941-1951 1.25
1951-1961 1.96
1961-1971 2.20
1971-1981 2.22
1981-1991 2.11
1991-2001 1.93
2001-2011 1.64
Source : Census of India

7. The Great Population Divide
•The year 1921is regarded as the
Great Population Divide in the
Demographic history of India as it is
the only year to have registered a
negative growth in India’s total
population

8. Is India facing Population Explosion?
•Demographically an annual
population growth rate of 2
or more than 2% is termed
as ‘Population Explosion’
•For three decades (1961-
1991) India recorded an
average annual growth rate
of more than 2% and was
said to be facing population
explosion
•Though the growth rate
declined after that the
situation of explosion still
persists due to large
absolute size of population

9. U.N.F.P.A. Population Projections
(1992)
YEAR POPULATION (IN CRORES)
INDIA CHINA WORLD
1950 35.8 55.5 251.8
1990 85.3 113.9 529.2
2000 104.2 129.9 626.1
2050 169.9 152.8 1001.9
2100 187.0 140.5 1118.6
2150 194.9 138.9 1154.3
India all set to surpass China’s population by 2030 A.D.

10. Stages of Population Growth
•Period of stagnant growth (1901-1921)
•Period of slow growth (1921-1951)
•Period of rapid growth (1951-1991)
•Period of high growth with signs of declining
(1991-2011)

11. Period of Stagnant Growth
(1901-1921)
•Birth rate and death rate were equally high
•Causes of high death rate –plagues,
epidemics, famine & lack of food security, First
world war
•1921 registered a negative growth in
population

12. Period of slow growth
(1921-1951
•Reforms in the agricultural sectors & increase
in health care facilities brought down the hidh
death rate, however, the birth rate remained
high

13. Period of Rapid Increase in Population
(1951-1991)
•Post-independence period
•Growth in agriculture, improvement in food
security and supply, increase in health services
significantly brought down the death rate
•However, the same factors maintained a high
birth rate
•Period of population explosion

14. Period of High Growth with signs of
Declining (1991-2011)
•The decennial growth rate continuously
declined
•Causes responsible were –success of family
planning programmes, desire for a higher
standard of living, increase in educational
level, increasing participation of females in
work force, decline in joint family syaytem

15. ALL SET TO ENTER THE 3
RD
STAGE OF
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION

16. Regional Trends : Variations
•There are variations in the growth trend of
population at regional level in India
•These variations can be studied under 2
distinct heads :
•(i)Long term growth variations &
•(ii)Short term growth variations

17. Variations in long Term Growth
•During the last 110 years, i.e. between 1901-
2011, the population of India has increased by
408.1%
•During the last century this growth was
approximately 329%
•The long term growth depicts regional
variations

18. Variations in Long Term Growth
Based on variations in long term growth
the country can be divided into three
regions :
(i)Areas of very high growth (more than
500%)
(ii)Areas of moderate growth (250-500%)
(iii)Areas of low growth (less than 250%)

19. Areas of Very High Growth in
Population
•Includes the north-eastern
states of India
•There are 3 basic causes of
exceptionally high growth
here –
(i)In-migration of labourers
from Bihar, West Bengal &
Odisha
(ii)Arrival of illegal immigrants
from Bangladesh
(iii)High natural growth rate
post independence
Source : googleimages

20. Areas of Moderate Growth
•The plateau states of
peninsular India and the
states of central plains
come under the
category
•Natural growth rate is
responsible for
moderate growth
•Negligible impact of
migrant population
Source : googleimages

21. Areas of Low Growth
•Includes states of north-
western India –Punjab,
Haryana, J & K (including
Laddakh), Himachal Pradesh
•Emigration and out-
migration of population to
other areas, economic
development of Punjab &
Haryana, militant activities
in Punjab and J& k, Article
370 in J & K are the
responsible factors for this
low growth
Source : googleimages

22. Short Term Growth
•This is the growth of the last decade (2001-2011)
•Tremendous regional variations are observed in
the short term growth of population in India
•There are only 4 states and 1 U.T. where the
decennial growth rate of population has
increased in 2011 as compared to the last decade
(1991-2001)
•These include Arunachal Pradesh, Chhattisgarh,
Manipur, Tamil Nadu & Puducherry

23. Regional Variations in Shot Term
Growth
•Based on the decennial growth rate of (2001-
2011) Indian States & U.T.’s can be classified
under four groups:
(i)Areas of Very High Growth (45-60%)
(ii)Areas of High Growth (30-45%)
(iii)Areas of Moderate Growth (15-30%)
(iv)Areas of Low Growth (less than 15%)
•The national average of decennial growth during
this period was 17.7%

24. Areas of Very High Growth
•Only 2 Union Territories of Dadar& Nagar
Haveli (55.9%) and Daman & Diu (53.8%) are
included in this group
•The main cause of very high growth is
population migration to these areas
Areas of High Growth
•No region of India falls in this category

25. Areas of Moderate Growth
(2001-2011)
State / U.T DecennialGrowth
(%)
State / U.T Decennial Growth
(%)
Puducherry(U.T.)28.1 Madhya Pradesh 20.30
Delhi(NCR) 21.2 Uttar Pradesh 20.2
Chandigarh(U.T.)17.20 Haryana 19.90
Meghalaya 27.9 Gujarat 19.3
Arunachal Pradesh26.0 Uttarakhand 18.8
Bihar 25.4 Manipur 24.5
Jammu & Kashmir23.6 Assom 17.1
Mizoram 23.5 Maharashtra 16.0
Chhattisgarh 22.6 Tamil Nadu 15.67
Jharkhand 22.4 Karnataka 15.60
Rajasthan 21.3
Source : Census of India, 2011, Provisional Population Totals

26. •Most of the states of India & the U.T’s of
Chandigarh & Puducherryare included in this
group
•The mortality rate has been controlled in
these areas to a large extent but the birth rate
is still high
•Inspiteof being in the category of moderate
growth in several states trends of population
explosion are visible
•Meghalaya has recorded the highest decennial
growth rate in the census of 2011
Continued ….

27. Areas of Low Growth
(2001-2011)
State/U.T DecennialGrowth
(%)
State / U.T Decennial Growth
(%)
Tripura 14.8 Andhra Pradesh 11.0
Odisha 14.0 Goa 8.2
Punjab 13.9 Andaman &
Nicobar Islands
6.9
West Bengal 13.8 Lakshadweep 6.3
Himachal Pradesh12.9 Kerala 4.9
Sikkim 12.9 Nagaland -0.6
Source : Census of India, 2011, Provisional Population Totals

28. The areas having low growth can be sub-divided
into 3 categories:
•First category includes states like Kerala, Goa &
Punjab where population control programmes
have been successful due to economic & social
development
•The second category includes states like Tripura,
West Bengal, Himachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Andhra
Pradesh & Nagaland where apart from
developmental works, political & administrative
efforts & participation of the people have made
population control programmesa success
•Odishalies in the third category and has a
different situation. It is a backward state & has a
high death rate
Continued ….

29. Conclusion
TheNationalPopulationPolicy,2000,adopted
bytheGovernmentofIndiapresentedthe
longtermobjectiveofachievingastable
populationby2045.Butthecrucialquestionis
canthisobjectivebeachieved?Itwas
envisagedthatiftheNPPisfullyimplemented,
thepopulationofIndiashouldbe1013million
by2002&1107millionby2010.However,in
2001itselfIndiaexceededtheestimated
populationfortheyear

30. 2002 by 14 million and the population in 2011
census is higher by about 110 million
compared to the target set for the year 2010.
It will no doubt be an uphill task for the
Government & the people to achieve the
much cherished goal of stable population.

31. References:
•Census of India
•Chandana, R.C: Population Geography, Kalyani
Publisers, New Delhi, 2017
•Ojha, S.K : Jansankhyaevamnagrikaran,
BauddhikPrakashan, 2017
•http://censusindia.gov.in/2011-prov-
results/data_files/india/Final_PPT_2011_chap
ter3.pdf