Qualimetre: A forecasting tool for mycotoxins for wheat and corn - OECD Pesticide Risk Reduction Seminar - Xavier Leprince

26 June 2019: The Pesticides Risk Reduction Seminar provided a good opportunity for experts in OECD governments and stakeholders to share their knowledge, experience and possible concerns in the area of Evolving Digital and Mechanical Technologies for Pesticides and Pest Management.

1. Qualimetre
A forecasting tool for mycotoxins for wheat and corn
Xavier Leprince
Head of Business SustainabilityEAME –Syngenta
OECD ConferenceJune26th 2019 –Paris
Evolving Digital and Mechanical Technologies for Pesticides and Pest Management
Presentationmade withsupport of Alain Froment –Syngenta France

2. 2
Fusariumand mycotoxinsissues
Fusarium
•Significantpotentialyieldlosses
•Variabilityrelatedto weatherconditions and agronomical
practices
•Field infection levelnot alwayscorrelatedwithDON content
Mycotoxins
•Food safetybecauseof harmfuleffects
•Mycotoxinsworldwideregulationor recommendation
•ProtocolswithinFood and Feedchain

3. DON forecastingtoolfor
soft and durumwheat

4. 4
●Climate around flowering stage
●Importance of GAP : variety tolerance, crop rotation, soil
preparation, …
●Crop Protection contribution : Fungicides(Foliar, Seedcare)
Main factors and DON in wheat

5. 5
Agronomic matrix for DON in wheat
Reducingcrop
(1)
= Rapeseed, pea, linseed, potato, barley, alfalfa, cabbage, …
Neutralcrop
(2)
= Oat, sugarbeet, wheat, chicory, endive, bean, fallow, lupin, onion, ray grass, soya, sunflower
Maize
(3)
= maizegrain or sorghum
Previous crop
Varietal sensitivity to DON
I a
I a
I b
I a
I b
I b
II a
II a
II b
II a
II b
II a
II b
III a
III a
III a
III b
III a
III b
III a
III b
IV
IV
IV
Soil
cultivation
Grain
(3)
Fodder
Grain
(3)
Fodder
Maize
Low Low to mediumMedium to high High
No
ploughing
Ploughing
No
ploughing
All
Ploughing
Neutral
(2)
Reducing
(1)
Matrix created in 2001 and modified in 2008 issued from Syngenta wheat monitoring

6. 6
WheatMonitoring in France –Syngenta data base
●Data with17 157 soft wheat
samples
●More than17 yearfor DON
●14 243 data for DON, 385 ZEA,
537 T2+HT2
●2003, 2007, 2008, 2012 et 2016,
yearsmore riskyfor DON
●No T2-HT2 > 100 ppb
Année
Nb. refs
Année
Nb. refs
Année
Nb. refs
170
410
590520
140
230
1140
1230
310290
70
730
370
170
80
870
370
460
2%
8%
10%
6%
2%
4%
23%23%
5%
6%
2%
16%
7%
1%
1%
19%
9%
8%
0%
25%
50%
75%
20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017Total
107580778813661664107194192079767249281488151751755936214243
0
625
1250
1875
% > 1250 ppb
DON (ppb)
Moyenne de DON % Depassement seuil (1250 ppb)
4
45
25
22
4
13
55
3
5
9
18
0%
11%
8%
3%
0%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%0%
4%
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017Total
18575969034302525152825385
0
25
50
75
% >100 ppb
ZEA (ppb)
Moyenne de ZEA % Depassement seuil (100 ppb)
21
7
98
13
22
5
222
4
8
0%0%
0%0%0%
0%
0%0%0%
0%
0%
0%0%
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017Total
33985759882034302525152825537
0
15
30
45
% > 100 ppb
T2+HT2 (ppb)
Moyenne de T2+HT2 % Depassement seuil (100 ppb)
Syngenta France 2018 in partnershipwithgrain collectors
Analysismade on grain fromfield(no cleaning, no grading)

7. 7
ClimaticriskSoft wheatQualimetre2018
France84
07
09
11
12
15
19
23
26
30
34
39
43
46
48
63
83
87
04
06
01
03
38
4269
71
73
74
13
05
66
14
2229
44
50
53
56
61
85 86
49
79
35
16
24
32
33
40
81
31
65
47
82
17
64
54
57
67
88
0208
10
5155
52
77
68
27
59
60
62
76
80
95
78
18
28
36
41
45
58
72
37
91
21
25
70
89
90
•from800 000 ha soft wheatdata in Qualimetre
2011 2005 2006 2015 2017 2001 2009 2013 2002 2014 2004 2010 2012 2000 2003 2018 2007 2008 2016

8. 8
Qualimetrereport

9. A toolto predictDON, ZEA
and FUMO risk

10. 10
Risque climatique
pré
-
flo
& floraison
Très Fort
Fort
Moyen
Faible
years
2015 20162013
Summerclimaticrisk
2014
+
Risque climatique
automnal
Très Fort
Fort
Moyen
Faible
years
2015 20162013 20142017 20172018 2018
Autumnclimaticrisk
Qualimètrein maize provides early information
QualimètremaizeDON and ZEA
Earlyclimaticriskfor harvestadvise
Global estimation of climatic risk
available middle of September

11. 11
Qualimètre: mycotoxinspredictiontoolin France
84
07
09
11
12
15
19
23
26
30
34
39
43
46
48
63
83
87
04
06
01
03
38
4269
71
73
74
13
05
66
14
2229
44
50
53
56
61
85
86
49
79
35
16
24
32
33
40
81
31
65
47
82
17
64
54
57
67
88
02
08
10
51
55
52
77
68
2
7
59
60
62
76
80
95
78
18
28
36
41
45
58
72
37
9
1
21
25
7089
90
54 partnershipswheatand 16 maizewithgrain collectors in 2018
Predictionsbasedon more than150 000 plots
380area of collectand more than1 300 reports
estimatingmore than4,5 million hectares
Qualimètreisa forecastingtool
to quantifyDON levelin grain in ppb
for an area accordingto the agronomicrisk
withresultsfor eachplots beforeharvestingin wheat.