This presentation is about comparative analysis

Economic growth

1. Comparative Analysis of Public Revenue and Economic Growth in Pakistan, Nigeria, and Thailand Purpose: To compare the impact of public revenue on economic growth in three distinct national contexts. Countries: Pakistan, Nigeria, and Thailand Focus: Revenue structure, elasticity, causality, and policy implications

2. Methodology Overview Country | Data Period | Tools Used | GDP Type Pakistan | 1979-2017 | ADF, ARDL, GDP Forecast Model | Nominal GDP Nigeria | 1986-2017 | ADF, Johansen Cointegration, ECM, VAR | Real GDP Thailand | 2015-2017 | Qualitative Methods, Expert Interviews | Local Gov. Index

3. Long-Run Revenue Elasticity Pakistan: +1.24% GDP for every 1% increase in tax revenue Negative elasticity for Additional Receipts (–0.18%) Nigeria: Oil, Non-Oil, and FG Independent Revenues: all positively correlated with GDP Thailand: Local tax authority weak; heavy dependence on central grants

4. Revenue Composition & Growth Revenue Source | Pakistan | Nigeria | Thailand Tax Revenue | Highly Elastic | Strong Impact | Undermined by centralization Non-Tax Revenue | Insignificant | Significant | Minimal, reform suggested Additional/Grant Revenue | Negative | Neutral | Dominant, but growth-neutral

5. Causal Relationship Pakistan: One-way causality (Tax Revenue → GDP) Nigeria: Bi-directional causality (Revenue ↔ GDP) Thailand: Causality not tested, autonomy restricted

6. Policy Recommendations Pakistan: Strengthen and broaden tax base; reduce reliance on non-productive receipts Nigeria: Stabilize oil revenue; intensify non-oil tax compliance Thailand: Shift to local tax authority; introduce property, environmental, and vehicle taxes

7. Strategic Insights Rule-based taxation promotes stable investment climates Diversification cushions economic volatility Fiscal autonomy enables responsive and accountable governance Elasticity analysis can inform dynamic fiscal planning

8. Conclusion The quality, composition, and governance of public revenue are decisive in shaping economic trajectories Fiscal strategies must be context-sensitive but evidence-led Sustainable growth requires more than revenue volume: it needs structure, strategy, and synergy