1. NTP- Review_ Rupson_ April 14_MS_ Feedback.pptx

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About This Presentation

project review of Nepal NT


Slide Content

Government of Nepal MoUD , DUDBC New Town Project Coordination Office Babarmahal , Kathmandu, Nepal Review of IDP and its implementation in 10 new towns and propose future course of action of New Town Project Preliminary Presentation Prepared By (Study Team) : Mr UB Malla - TL/ Sen. Planner Mr Kumar Dhamala- Urban Planner Mrs S Moktan Limbu - GESI Expert Dr BR Poudel - Economist Mrs R Sujakhu – Civil Engineer Experts (From the RUPSON EC): Dr M Subba - President Dr S Upreti – Gen. Secretory,

Background Study Objective Scope of the study Approach & Methodology of the study The study organization Methods/ Process of the study Data gathering and analysis Data gathered Urban Economics GESI Discussion Presentation outline

Background of the Study The New town project was conceived in 2010 to develop 10 new towns along the MHH with an aim to foster planned urbanization, create livelihood opportunities through development of market & urban services, and discourage out migration. Since then, GoN has extended to have 27 New Towns across the country—which also includes 15 NTs in Madhes and Terai Regions. And more than NPR 8.5 billion spent to develop different hard and soft infrastructures. After more than a decade time, this study marks the first comprehensive review of the NTs and NTP including its various facets. Thus , the review will have multiple objectives.

PROJECT BACKGROUND (CONTD.) Project Objectives To develop the NTs as catalytic market & service centres of 100,000 pop. for the MHH to provide business opportunities & urban facilities, and to foster economic livelihood conditions . To develop second generation growth centres to provide impetus to the under-developed region of the country. Project Operation Project Planning Phase: 2010-2015 Capital Investment Phase 2016 – 2023 Annual Budget Allocation NPR 15.5 Billion

Changed Political Economy Context Promulgation of new constitution: the NTs occupies small segments of the largely extended municipalities: Implications for spatial & sectoral plans/programs. The NT plans/programs coordination with annual municipal plans/programs The NT project office vis a vis reorganised municipal structure. The local government operation act verses Town Development Act 1988. Planning implications: The five development regions replaced by the seven provinces.

British New Towns: International Example Post war new towns(NTs) covering a period up to 1971. Essential features: Relief from housing problems of London & big cities; Self-contained communities. Govt. corporation entrusted with new town development. The NTs as a policy instrument population & employment distribution. Scottish NTs as growth points for promoting regional development.

Nepal’s New Towns Rajbiraj – Early 20 th Century New Town a new HQ for S aptary District. Shifted from Hanuman Nagar. Mahendra Nagar – A New Town in Kanchanpur developed in the 1960s to promote resettlement of people from the hills/Mountains. Birendra Nagar - Developed as a growth Centre of the Mid-West Development Region during the 1970s. All those NTs were built in the virgin land.

PROJECT BACKGROUND (CONTD.) Project Objectives To develop the NTs as catalytic market & service centres of 100,000 pop. for the MHH to provide business opportunities & urban facilities, and to foster economic livelihood conditions . To develop second generation growth centres to provide impetus to the under-developed region of the country. Project Operation Project Planning Phase: 2010-2015 Capital Investment Phase 2016 – 2023 Annual Budget Allocation NPR 15.5 Billion

Background of the Study The New town project was conceived in 2010 to develop 10 new towns along the MHH with an aim to foster planned urbanization, create livelihood opportunities through development of market & urban services , & discourage out migration. Since then, GoN has extended to have 27 New Towns across the country—which also includes 15 NTs in Madhes and Terai Regions. And more than NPR 8.5 billion spent to develop different hard and soft infrastructures. After more than a decade time, this study marks the first comprehensive review of the NTs and NTP including its various facets. Thus , the review will have multiple objectives.

Objective of Study Examine the conceptualization, planning, & design framework ( Conceptualization, spatial extent & form, integrated development plan, Approach & methods of planning & Project goals, objectives, & operational policies) Examine the execution & implementation framework ( Institutions , Resources, identification, prioritization, Policies, practices & Periodic monitoring & evaluation ) Examine the project accomplishment ( Overall investment & output & Outcome) Examine the deficiencies, gaps, & problems prevalent in the project ( Limitations in & deviation between the concept, design & implementation including the Problems and its causal factors and constraints which are impeding the overall performance and outcome of the project ) Make necessary recommendations for the way forward ( Potential new outlook, approach, and desired condition including Potential innovation in policies & practices )

Apart physical & spatial dimensions , the examination will also include appraisal of social & economic variables. Policy decisions pertaining to selection of all 27 new towns shall be assessed and their basic information shall also be gathered. However, the study shall focus mainly on 10 New Towns of MHH . Of these, the field appraisal shall be confined to only 2 project sites ( Basantapur - Terhathum & Chaurjahari - Rukum ) Scope of the Study

Based on qualitative research where observation & examination of cases, variables, problems, & issues shall be stressed. This shall be amplified with relevant quantitative examination including hard data; Factual examination of the project plans, policies, practices; Beneficiary and stakeholder’s views; On-site inspection of project sites & development works; and The findings therefrom. Approach of the Study

The core study team will be led by a senior Planner comprising urban planner, urban economist, & GESI expert. Backstopping Support EC of RUPSON ( Dr M Subba , Dr S. Upreti ) Senior Professionals Other thematic experts     The Client: NTPCO The Consultant:   TL/ Urban Planner - Mr U B Malla Civil engineer - Mrs R. Sujakhu   Urban Planner - Mr K Dhamala GESI expert - Mrs S Moktan Urban Economist - Dr B. K Poudel The advisory body of RUPSON comprising of senior experts, relevant thematic experts, & Executive Committee shall provide necessary technical guidance and feedback to the study team. RUPSON will additionally facilitate administrative and consultative meetings to ensure continuous progress throughout the review process. the Study organization

The review study will involve broadly 5 stages; Inception, (Team convergence, Preliminary desk work, Consultation, Conceptualization, Proposing) Elaboration , Field appraisal, Analysis, Findings, & Conclusion, and Recommendation. Methods/ Process of the Study

Process Elaboration Detailing out the initial concept & inception , Reviewing of Relevant literatures (Project reports , Selected policies, acts, and guidelines) Reviewing of the data and examining the trend and tendencies from the beginning of project (Institutions, Resources, Resource & information flow, Sub-project/activity, Implementation plan & practices, and Periodic monitoring & evaluation) Reviewing NTP (against the emerging priorities : federal governance, inclusion, climate factor and resilience) New dimensions and perspectives on NT—through expert opinions & reviews Concretizing the preliminary concept and idea of NT and NTP Firming up the preliminary concept and idea of NT and NTP—through deliberation among the stakeholders by holding the kick-off workshop Identifying specific cases, variables, problems—requiring greater attention and focused observation/examination in the field

Process Field Appraisal Undertaking case examination of Basantapur ( Tehrathum ) & Chaurjhari (west Rukum ) Project Areas The field stage includes undertaking observation and examination of the selected subject/cases including project practices, and verification and testing of the ideas and expectations in real life situation of different physical, social, and economic context. The rapid appraisal in this stage allows to see overall capital investment & its output, outcome, & impact (positive changes felt by households ) within the project area. This also allows to observe & understand the problems, issues, & challenges prevalent at ground.

Process Rapid Field Appraisal of each project site Consultation with relevant stakeholders Project site office chief/staffs; TDC officials, Local/provincial Government representatives & officials; sectoral agencies officials Officials of the sector agencies (water supply, roads, plus other agencies if required); Other stakeholders (local chamber of commerce and industry, Agriculture Cooperative or Farmers Association, Small Entrepreneurs Association, Development Partners and etc ) Interview (KII and or Households-beneficiaries in the project area) Case observation (On-site inspection and Interview with targeted households (especially if there is any traditional settlement or special deprived and marginalized groups within the project area) Examination of problem — which is impeding and constraining the project

Process Analysis, Findings & Conclusion Analysis of primary and secondary data The situation analysis probing the problems and issues; Trend analysis including comparison of cases, reflection of a case against the desired condition. Comparative studies between the project areas—allows to know the unique, common, and varying project conditions. Adequacy and consistency examination within & in between project planning, design, and implementation Examining the Problems which are impeding the overall performance & outcome of the project

The input analysis Will be done by assessing adequacy of project’s organizational structure & legislative provisions to implement the project. The trend in the allocation and expenditure of the annual budget as well as adequacy of staffing shall be examined. The prioritization and selection of the sub-projects (including hard or soft infrastructures) in the annual programs including any criteria attached thereto shall be examined. Data gathering and Analysis

The Project Output analysis Analyzing the primarily works and services or other household entitlements (such as awareness for say resilience against hazards , various skills imparted to households to support livelihood) created and generated by the project through its annual programs since its inception to until now. Performance and quality of services of the built amenities and infrastructures shall be assessed by interviewing the beneficiaries in the project area and whenever feasible and with the field inspection. This shall enable to know adequacies and deficiencies in the delivery of desired services. The outcome will be adjudged by the project’s ability to induce urbanization; market activities and their concentration ; and their potential effect on out-migration in the longer term. Data gathering and Analysis

Spatial analysis -Growth analysis Examining convergence of population, land use & economic assets within the project area. The population concentration in the CPA and its trend shall also be compared with that of surrounding wards. Population influenced by the infrastructure provisions built within the central project area and in the project’s functional region shall be compared with the desired standards—whenever it is feasible. Land use change and development of economic assets and market including youth engagement in these especially in the central project area shall also be examined. Quick Case examination to know as how the households of outlying areas of the project are benefiting from such evolving market and services. Data gathering and Analysis

Process Recommendation The recommendation stage will finally reveal strategies & actions to strengthen the project means, & reimagine NT in new context Recommend corrective measures and strategic interventions Imagine pragmatic outlook, approach, & desired condition of NT Imagine innovation in policies and practices

Sn NTs Area (Ha) Demography Remarks Population Density 2021 (PPH) CBS 2011 CBS 2021 1 Phidim NT 3727.8 17399 19680 5.28   2 Basantapur NT 1841.7 4839 4727 2.57   (-) growth 3 Khurkot NT 1840.0 2298 2756 1.50   4 Baireni- Galchhi NT 3425.0 13479 13386 3.91   (-) growth 5 Dumre-Bhansar NT 3221.8 7779 7784 2.42   6 Burtibang NT 3297.5 8771 12146 3.68   7 Chaurjahari NT 2877.4 9364 10345 4.01   8 Rakam Karnali NT 5435.9 9225 9899 1.82   9 Sanfebagar NT 6345.0 18239 14300 2.25   (-) growth 10 Patan NT 11963.0 20579 19882 1.66   (-) growth   Total           Data- Demography If 5PPH is the threshold (NUP-2064 assumes 10) >> all 9 NTs are of Rural characteristics

Sn NTs Planned Budget (Million) Expenditure upto 2079/80 ( MIllion ) Expenditure (%) Remarks 1 Phidim NT 6980 817.28 11.71   2 Basantapur NT 11330 839.97 7.41 3 Khurkot NT 45360 751.82 1.66 4 Baireni- Galchhi NT 35790 689.92 1.93 5 Dumre-Bhansar NT 44560 3098.98 6.95 6 Burtibang NT 37430 838.24 2.24 7 Chaurjahari NT 11100 1152.40 10.38 8 Rakam Karnali NT 19830 262.85 1.33 9 Sanfebagar NT 88010 877.31 1.00 10 Patan NT 69430 333.73 0.48   Total 3,69,820 9,662.50 2.61   Data- Budget Planed Budget >> 3 Kharba 69 arba 82 karod Expense (14 years)>> 2.61%>>9 arba 66 karod

Sn Activities Physical Social Env., DRR & Climate Change Institution Dev. Economy & financial Tourism & Culture Total Lead Sector 1 Phidim NT 3.653 0.506 0.159 0.173 0.062 2.414 6.97   2 Basantapur Nt 27.829 0.173 0.050 0.303 0.176 0.845 29.38 Agriculture Tourism 3 Khurkot NT - - - - - - -   4 Baireni - Galchhi NT - - - - - - -   5 Dumre-Bhansar NT 16.984 18.454 3.350 1.500 2.975 1.295 44.56   6 Burtibang NT 17.491 13.250 3.500 1.500 3.375 1.350 40.47   7 Chaurjahari NT 4.613 3.062 1.047 0.150 1.915 0.310 11.10 Trade & business, Education & health Tourism 8 Rakam Karnali NT 9.457 8.077 2.482 1.500 1.215 0.160 22.90   9 Sanfebagar NT 24.676 19.746 36.834 1.500 3.850 1.406 88.01   10 Patan NT 4.608 1.315 2.201 0.074 0.233 0.416 8.85     Total 109.312 64.583 49.623 6.700 13.801 8.197 252.22   The way IUDP Planed_ - Tentative Budget Plan proposed for Sectoral area of NTs (Source: IUDP Report)

Sn Activities Unit NTs Plan Progress up to 2079/80 % Remarks 1 Road Track / Upgrading / Graveled Km 5734.96 588.8 10.27   2 Black Topped road Km 897.57 110.2 12.28   3 RCC Road Km 512.36 77.6 15.15   4 Drainage Km 1330.57 332.9 25.02   5 Government Office Nos 264 44 16.67   6 Solar light Nos 1963     7 Vegetable Market ( Hatbazar ) Nos 141 13 9.22   8 Buspark Nos 34 11 32.35   9 Play Ground Nos 125 11 8.80   10 Public Park Nos 184 20 10.87   11 Water Supply Project (396Km) Nos 12 12 100   12 Land Development (4777 Ropani ) Nos 33 9 27.27   13 Construction of Landfill site Nos 10 4 40   14 Land Purchase Nos 3 NTs 164-08-0-3.84     Physical Progress of 10 NTs (Source: The Audit report of Financial Controller -2080)

The boundary of the project area >> ( re)examined by taking into account of functional relations of the designated core of the project area with its surroundings. The first >>CPA>> H alf an hour travel time for HHs required to walk to access urban amenities and services located at the core The Second >> functional region /boundary>> one-hour travel time for peasants to travel by vehicle to carry their agricultural produce to the market as well as access to agricultural input services, and other urban amenities and services located at the project core area. The project boundary

Core Project Area & Functional Boundary

Chaurjahari NT IUDP CPA Functional Boundary Operating speed Design speed Municipality Pass 1 3 6 12 Area (ha) 2880 1962 47200 103463 Population 1034 20043 70943 153580 Density (PPH) 0.36 10.22 1.50 1.50 Basantapur NT   IUDP CPA Functional Boundary       Operating speed Design speed Municipality Pass 1 3 7 11 Area (ha) 1842 1257 35714 80339 Population 4727 12316 56727 132267 Density (PPH) 2.57 9.80 1.59 1.65 The project area >> Only the CPA is near to the Threshold population of Urban area

Economics_ _-

GESI

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