Japan’s Broadcasting System
from the Perspective of Its Demographics
in 2040
George Shishido
1 Introduction
By 2040, Japan’s population will be in a precipitous decline, and its elderly population
is expected to peak. There is a conspicuous movement to backcast from this point to
reexamine the issues faced by Japanese society and local communities, and discuss
the means of their resolution.
These population projections and the related policy trends should not be viewed
as
unrelated to broadcasting; they have the power to impact the very foundations
of broadcasting as a keystone of society. For example, a declining population is
directly linked to a decline in viewership and advertising revenues for commercial
broadcasting; the aging of society amidst a trend in which the younger generation
is “turning away from television” could lead to a relative decline in the role and
importance of broadcasting. Changes in local administration resulting from depop-
ulation may lead to the transformation of broadcasters’ obligation to maintain “uni-
versality” and the subjects of their reporting under the Dissemination Plan for Basic
Broadcasting.
Therefore, this chapter (1) summarizes the projected demographic changes in
Japan
in 2040 and the government’s ongoing studies of these changes, (2) envisages
the impact of these changes on the broadcasting business (and specifically, regarding
terrestrial television broadcasting), (3) considers the relationship between various
measures that have been examined by the hˉosˉo o meguru sho kadai ni kansuru
kentˉokai [Study Group on the Various Issues Surrounding Broadcasting] (here-
inafter termed as the “Issues Study Group”), under the leadership of the Ministry of
Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC) (4) considers several points of Japan’s
G. Shishido ( B)
The Graduate Schools for Law and Politics, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
e-mail:
[email protected]
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022
H.
Mitomo and M. Kimura (eds.), Broadcasting in Japan, Advances in Information
and Communication Research 5, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-4699-8_2
33